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荒诞者共和

ABSURDIST REPUBLIC

Posts tagged with "China-US Relation"

Structure vs Conjuncture

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Robert Brenner
New Left Review 43, January-February 2007

Robert Brenner reads the US mid-term results against deeper structural shifts in the American polity. The rise of the Republican right seen in the context of the long downturn and dismantling of the liberal compact: from New Deal and Great Society to the capitalist offensive under Reagan, Clinton and Bush.

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China the Indispensable?

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John Feffer, IRC
Foreign Policy In Focus
March 9, 2007


John Feffer is the co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the International Relations Center.

China is everywhere you turn: the label on your sweater, every second item on the shelf at Wal-Mart, the computer on which you read this essay, the weather satellite zapped out of the sky in January by a ballistic missile. Unlike Britney Spears, however, China is not merely ubiquitous. It is an essential part of the international community.

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The Frankenstein Alliance

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Emanuel Pastreich
Foreign Policy In Focus
March 9, 2007


Emanuel Pastreich is the dean of academic affairs and associate professor of international relations at SolBridge International College, Woosong University in Daejeon, Korea. He is a contributor to Foreign Policy In Focus

If you read U.S. newspapers through a security lens, you might get the impression that Washington is well on its way to containing China economically, politically and militarily. China is portrayed in the media as America’s enemy of choice: the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Report states explicitly that “of the major and emerging powers, China has the greatest potential to compete militarily with the United States and field disruptive military technologies that could over time offset traditional U.S. military advantages absent U.S. counter-strategies.”

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Two CIA Prisoners in China, 1952-73

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Nicholas Dujmovic
Studies in Intelligence VOL. 50, NO. 4, 2006
CIA.org


(All statements of fact, opinion, or analysis expressed in this article are those of the author. Nothing in the article should be construed as asserting or implying US government endorsement of an article’s factual statements and interpretations.)

“Shot down on their first operational mission, Downey and Fecteau spent two decades in Chinese prisons. ”

This article draws extensively on operational files and other internal CIA records that of necessity remain classified. Because the true story of these two CIA officers is compelling and has been distorted in many public accounts, it is retold here in as much detail as possible, despite minimal source citations. Whenever possible, references to open sources are made in the footnotes.

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Thinking Straight: Cognitive Bias in the US Debate about China

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Josh Kerbel
Studies in Intelligence VOL. 48, NO. 3, 2004
CIA.org


Josh Kerbel is an analyst/synthesist in the Strategic Assessments Group in the Directorate of Intelligence.

TOOLS TO COUNTER LINEAR BIAS AND MIND-SET IN THE INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY

Culturally embrace uncertainty.

Thematically: Emphasize the understanding of possibilities, not prediction.

Methodologically: Make alternative scenarios/futures a “mainstream,” not an “alternative,” approach to tradecraft. Emphasize the explication of the assumptions, key variables, and signposts for each scenario.

Editorially: Resist the temptation to try to wash out analytical uncertainty by eliminating caveats.

Managerially: Do not necessarily pressure analysts to “make a call” in the face of significant uncertainty.

Metaphorically: Recognize that language both reflects and reinforces bias/mind-set, and consequently, consciously adopt more nonlinear terminology and metaphors. (A good symbolic starting point for CIA might be modification of the Kent School’s name to read: The Sherman Kent School for Intelligence Analysis and Synthesis.)

Training: Require all analysts, managers, and editors to take a course in linear/nonlinear thinking and dynamics. Such a course should be developed and taught by the Kent School.
Increase computer modeling, visualization, and simulation.

Make a concerted and serious effort to pursue the development of agent-based modeling (ABM), visualization, simulation, and other advanced computer tools/techniques for exploring and explaining the dynamics of highly complex/nonlinear systems.

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China: What's the Big Mystery?

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John Feffer, IRC
Foreign Policy In Focus
December 4, 2006


John Feffer is the co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the International Relations Center.

The latest recruitment brochure from the Central Intelligence Agency, which beckons the uninitiated to “be a part of a mission that's larger than all of us,” opens to reveal an image of the red-roofed entrance to Beijing's Forbidden City. From an oversized portrait on the ancient wall, Chairman Mao and his Mona Lisa smile behold the vast granite expanse of Tiananmen Square. The Cold War is over, and the Soviet Union is gone. The cloak-and-dagger games of Berlin and Prague have been replaced by business and tourism. But China—land of ancient secrets, autocratic leaders, and memories of suppressed uprisings—still holds out the promise of world-historical struggle that can help the CIA meet its recruitment goals.

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The Great China Sale

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By Peter Morici
Asia Times
Mar 16, 2007


Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Business and former chief economist at the US International Trade Commission.

On Wednesday, the US Commerce Department reported that the 2006 current-account deficit was US$856.7 billion, up from $791.5 billion in 2005 and setting a new record. The deficit was 6.5% of gross domestic product (GDP).
In the fourth quarter, the current-account deficit was $195.8 billion, down from $229.4 billion in the third quarter. The reduction was mostly attributable to lower oil prices during the latter months of 2006, and this situation reversed in the first quarter of 2007.

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Hillary Clinton sounds the China alarm as 2008 issue

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By Tom Curry
National affairs writer
MSNBC
March 2, 2007


Democratic contender warns of debt and 'erosion of economic sovereignty'

WASHINGTON - Many voters, pundits and pollsters think Iraq will be the decisive issue in the 2008 election, but increasingly Democratic presidential contender Sen. Hillary Clinton is focusing on another country: China.

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The Fallacy of Chinese Containment

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By Robert B. Reich
ViewWeb
The American Prospect


The best way to deal with China is to let it prosper.

First the President goes to India -- China’s long-term rival and border contestant -- and agrees to give India nuclear fuel. Then the Secretary of State goes to Southeast Asia for what are billed as "security talks" with Australia and Japan. Before she leaves she says China could become a "negative force" in the region. Then, during the meetings last week in Sydney, an anonymous member of the administration tells the The New York Times that the White House hopes China views those meetings with concern.

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Why China wants you to learn Chinese

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By Carol Huang
The Christian Science Monitor
January 04, 2007


Many Americans are eager to learn, but some are concerned about China's motives behind 'Confucius Institutes.'

What do New York, Hawaii, Kansas, California, Mexico, France, Serbia, South Korea, Egypt, Australia, Russia, and Rwanda have in common?

Almost nothing, except that they now play host to the language-and-culture centers being mass-produced by the Chinese government with trademark Chinese speed and efficiency: 130 Confucius Institutes (CI) have been established in 50 countries over the past few years. The United States already has a dozen, with several more in the works. Their purpose, say Beijing officials, is to promote the Chinese language and enhance China's relationships around the world.

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