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荒诞者共和

ABSURDIST REPUBLIC

Posts tagged with "National Security"

UPI/Zogby Poll: 75% say China top U.S. economic rival

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ZOGBY INTERNATIONAL
May 23, 2007


Most view China as an economic threat to the U.S. and are worried about China’s increased consumption of energy resources

Americans overwhelmingly believe China is the chief economic rival of the U.S. and more than half view China as an economic threat, a new UPI/Zogby Interactive poll shows.

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Lung Ying-tai: If You Want Peace, You Must Not Keep Hurting Taiwan

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EastSouthWestNorth
May 18, 2007


(China Times) If You Want Peace, You Must Not Keep Hurting Taiwan. By Lung Ying-tai (龍應台). May 18, 2007. Public speech on May 17, 2007 at Cambridge University, England.

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The Far & Wide Weekly Interview of Lung Ying-tai

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EastSouthWestNorth
May 22, 2007


On May 17, 2007, the famous writer, scholar and Taiwan Tsinghua University and Hong Kong University professor Lung Ying-tai was invited by Cambridge University (UK) to deliver a speech (in English) about getting more international space for Taiwan. The speech was published in China Times (in Chinese) from which a translation was made available at this website: If You Want Peace, You Must Not Keep Hurting Taiwan. After the speech, Professor Lung was interviewed by <Far & Wide weekly> researcher Michael Anti and she explained her views about cross-strait politics, responsibility for political speech, etc. Here is the translation of the interview.

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China the Indispensable?

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John Feffer, IRC
Foreign Policy In Focus
March 9, 2007


John Feffer is the co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the International Relations Center.

China is everywhere you turn: the label on your sweater, every second item on the shelf at Wal-Mart, the computer on which you read this essay, the weather satellite zapped out of the sky in January by a ballistic missile. Unlike Britney Spears, however, China is not merely ubiquitous. It is an essential part of the international community.

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The Frankenstein Alliance

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Emanuel Pastreich
Foreign Policy In Focus
March 9, 2007


Emanuel Pastreich is the dean of academic affairs and associate professor of international relations at SolBridge International College, Woosong University in Daejeon, Korea. He is a contributor to Foreign Policy In Focus

If you read U.S. newspapers through a security lens, you might get the impression that Washington is well on its way to containing China economically, politically and militarily. China is portrayed in the media as America’s enemy of choice: the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Report states explicitly that “of the major and emerging powers, China has the greatest potential to compete militarily with the United States and field disruptive military technologies that could over time offset traditional U.S. military advantages absent U.S. counter-strategies.”

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Two CIA Prisoners in China, 1952-73

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Nicholas Dujmovic
Studies in Intelligence VOL. 50, NO. 4, 2006
CIA.org


(All statements of fact, opinion, or analysis expressed in this article are those of the author. Nothing in the article should be construed as asserting or implying US government endorsement of an article’s factual statements and interpretations.)

“Shot down on their first operational mission, Downey and Fecteau spent two decades in Chinese prisons. ”

This article draws extensively on operational files and other internal CIA records that of necessity remain classified. Because the true story of these two CIA officers is compelling and has been distorted in many public accounts, it is retold here in as much detail as possible, despite minimal source citations. Whenever possible, references to open sources are made in the footnotes.

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Thinking Straight: Cognitive Bias in the US Debate about China

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Josh Kerbel
Studies in Intelligence VOL. 48, NO. 3, 2004
CIA.org


Josh Kerbel is an analyst/synthesist in the Strategic Assessments Group in the Directorate of Intelligence.

TOOLS TO COUNTER LINEAR BIAS AND MIND-SET IN THE INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY

Culturally embrace uncertainty.

Thematically: Emphasize the understanding of possibilities, not prediction.

Methodologically: Make alternative scenarios/futures a “mainstream,” not an “alternative,” approach to tradecraft. Emphasize the explication of the assumptions, key variables, and signposts for each scenario.

Editorially: Resist the temptation to try to wash out analytical uncertainty by eliminating caveats.

Managerially: Do not necessarily pressure analysts to “make a call” in the face of significant uncertainty.

Metaphorically: Recognize that language both reflects and reinforces bias/mind-set, and consequently, consciously adopt more nonlinear terminology and metaphors. (A good symbolic starting point for CIA might be modification of the Kent School’s name to read: The Sherman Kent School for Intelligence Analysis and Synthesis.)

Training: Require all analysts, managers, and editors to take a course in linear/nonlinear thinking and dynamics. Such a course should be developed and taught by the Kent School.
Increase computer modeling, visualization, and simulation.

Make a concerted and serious effort to pursue the development of agent-based modeling (ABM), visualization, simulation, and other advanced computer tools/techniques for exploring and explaining the dynamics of highly complex/nonlinear systems.

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China: What's the Big Mystery?

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John Feffer, IRC
Foreign Policy In Focus
December 4, 2006


John Feffer is the co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the International Relations Center.

The latest recruitment brochure from the Central Intelligence Agency, which beckons the uninitiated to “be a part of a mission that's larger than all of us,” opens to reveal an image of the red-roofed entrance to Beijing's Forbidden City. From an oversized portrait on the ancient wall, Chairman Mao and his Mona Lisa smile behold the vast granite expanse of Tiananmen Square. The Cold War is over, and the Soviet Union is gone. The cloak-and-dagger games of Berlin and Prague have been replaced by business and tourism. But China—land of ancient secrets, autocratic leaders, and memories of suppressed uprisings—still holds out the promise of world-historical struggle that can help the CIA meet its recruitment goals.

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China Takes on the World

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By Michael Elliott
Time Magazine
Jan 11, 2007


The railroad station in the Angolan town of Dondo hasn't seen a train in years. Its windows are boarded up, its pale pink façade crumbling away; the local coffee trade that Portuguese colonialists founded long ago is a distant memory, victim of a civil war that lasted for 27 years. Dondo's fortunes, however, may be looking up. This month, work is scheduled to start on the local section of the line that links the town to the deep harbor at Luanda, Angola's capital. The work will be done by Chinese construction firms, and as two of their workers survey the track, an Angolan security guard sums up his feelings. "Thank you, God," he says, "for the Chinese."

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Explaining the Turnaround in the US-China Relationship

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Summary prepared by Tamer Nagy Mahmoud, Junior Fellow, China Program, Carnegie Endowment
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
April, 11, 2003


Many observers believe the current relationship between Washington and Beijing is the best it has been in over a decade. The strong rhetoric and tense encounters of the first year of President George W. Bush's administration have given way to growing signs of bilateral cooperation in several areas. What explains the current turnaround? Is a more cooperative Chinese foreign policy of a tactical or strategic nature? What actions or events could bolster, or disrupt, the current relationship? In particular, how might the war in Iraq and the North Korea crisis affect it?

To examine these and other related questions, the Carnegie Endowment's China Program has invited former U.S. Ambassadors Chas W. Freeman and J. Stapleton Roy to present their views at a special lunch forum, Explaining the Turnaround in the U.S.-China Relationship.

Ambassadors Freeman and Roy are both retired career Foreign Service officers with extensive, in-depth experience in China and Asia. For further information, please see attached biographies.

Michael D. Swaine, Co-Director of the Carnegie China Program, will serve as the moderator for this event--the first in a yearlong series of seminars and discussions examining the durability of the current Sino-U.S. rapprochement.

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