Graduation day
Sunday, December 21, 2008 8:06:06 PM
As the USA is frozen over today, it seemed like a terrific time to do a further bit of speculation as to what human society in the future might look like. I have no special expertise as a futurist, but I am pretty good at technological forecasting, and I think some of its principles can be applied to the search for solutions to our social ills and dilemmas.
I imagine I confuse some of you with my comments regarding my political philosophy. I talk about being a semi-anarchist, and yet in most of my posts on the subject suggest that future society will be highly cohesive and to a degree, regimented. And, yet, I go on and on about the great value of individuals and individual initiative in advancing civilization.
The greatest struggle of our age has been trying to balance the needs of the individual against the needs of society as a whole. The second greatest struggle has been in lifting human beings from a brutish and selfish lot into an educated and compassionate branch of Primates that almost, but not quite, fit the definition of ‘Human Being’.
Part of the process of getting through our adolescence as a species, has been trying on various political systems to see if they fit, and might qualify as a suitable replacement for, or upgrade to, that great institution that led us down the pathway to civilization in the first place: Religion.
In dealing with people, one thing is for sure: The more educated they are, the more thoughtful and compassionate they become. And, the use of violence in settling disputes is far less frequent. In the past, our evolution down this course has gone in fits and starts, with many setbacks. Yet, we have made a lot of progress in a fairly short time, considering that our genus left the womb two million years ago, and our own species has been doing its thing for only about three hundred thousand of them.
Now, we face the very real prospect of a wrenching, nearly total collapse of all we have accomplished as an organized global society. We have the choice of entering a new ‘dark age’ or finishing the job that was started in earnest when the glaciers retreated.
To do this, we must first realize and admit that ‘modern’ political systems are a primitive response to social ills, primarily massive overpopulation. Well, I believe that population pressures are about to greatly diminish as a result of the old bugaboos, war, drought, and famine. But this time, an accelerant to the die-off has been added: global climate change.
It is entirely possible that the earth will lose 4/5 of its human population within the next thirty years. We will be extremely lucky if we avoid this outcome. I’d give ten to one odds that we don’t. There simply isn’t enough time, and if the U.N. is an example, we do not have functional institutions to deal with the urgent issues in a rational and timely manner.
When the dust settles, and it is time to rebuild and reorganize, it is possible to construct a society with no political systems at all. NO government. Just us. Educated, compassionate, responsible citizens who take responsibility for our actions, and contribute, unasked, to the common good. Instead of coercion and the use of force to control behaviors, we can exercise self-control if we choose to do so, and rehabilitate those who don’t. Instead, we could have volunteerism, ad hoc committees, uncompensated relief and support groups, and instead of warriors, boy scouts. These are the types of organizations that might fill the void of government. A lot of small, specialist groups that form and dissolve as required to deal with any problems that arise and impact everyone. Educational institutions would be the binding agents for the new society, and the Rule of Law will be an agreed upon codex of principles that is reviewed often, by everyone, and modified as needed.
Back in the days of pulp science fiction like, ‘Amazing Stories’, I read a novel by A.E. Van Vogt, titled ‘The Pawns of Null-A’, which described such a society. This book attracted my attention because it was, to my knowledge, the first attempt to describe a social system based on the principals of General Semantics.
While General Semantics may not be a cure-all, the book is entertaining, and it might stimulate your own thinking as to what a genuinely human society could become if we learn from the lessons of the past, and apply our new knowledge to problem solving, before those problems get out of hand.
Either our graduation day is at hand, or we go about business as usual and become relegated to the dustbin of history.
Things aren’t always as they seem
I imagine I confuse some of you with my comments regarding my political philosophy. I talk about being a semi-anarchist, and yet in most of my posts on the subject suggest that future society will be highly cohesive and to a degree, regimented. And, yet, I go on and on about the great value of individuals and individual initiative in advancing civilization.
The greatest struggle of our age has been trying to balance the needs of the individual against the needs of society as a whole. The second greatest struggle has been in lifting human beings from a brutish and selfish lot into an educated and compassionate branch of Primates that almost, but not quite, fit the definition of ‘Human Being’.
Part of the process of getting through our adolescence as a species, has been trying on various political systems to see if they fit, and might qualify as a suitable replacement for, or upgrade to, that great institution that led us down the pathway to civilization in the first place: Religion.
In dealing with people, one thing is for sure: The more educated they are, the more thoughtful and compassionate they become. And, the use of violence in settling disputes is far less frequent. In the past, our evolution down this course has gone in fits and starts, with many setbacks. Yet, we have made a lot of progress in a fairly short time, considering that our genus left the womb two million years ago, and our own species has been doing its thing for only about three hundred thousand of them.
Now, we face the very real prospect of a wrenching, nearly total collapse of all we have accomplished as an organized global society. We have the choice of entering a new ‘dark age’ or finishing the job that was started in earnest when the glaciers retreated.
To do this, we must first realize and admit that ‘modern’ political systems are a primitive response to social ills, primarily massive overpopulation. Well, I believe that population pressures are about to greatly diminish as a result of the old bugaboos, war, drought, and famine. But this time, an accelerant to the die-off has been added: global climate change.
It is entirely possible that the earth will lose 4/5 of its human population within the next thirty years. We will be extremely lucky if we avoid this outcome. I’d give ten to one odds that we don’t. There simply isn’t enough time, and if the U.N. is an example, we do not have functional institutions to deal with the urgent issues in a rational and timely manner.
When the dust settles, and it is time to rebuild and reorganize, it is possible to construct a society with no political systems at all. NO government. Just us. Educated, compassionate, responsible citizens who take responsibility for our actions, and contribute, unasked, to the common good. Instead of coercion and the use of force to control behaviors, we can exercise self-control if we choose to do so, and rehabilitate those who don’t. Instead, we could have volunteerism, ad hoc committees, uncompensated relief and support groups, and instead of warriors, boy scouts. These are the types of organizations that might fill the void of government. A lot of small, specialist groups that form and dissolve as required to deal with any problems that arise and impact everyone. Educational institutions would be the binding agents for the new society, and the Rule of Law will be an agreed upon codex of principles that is reviewed often, by everyone, and modified as needed.
Back in the days of pulp science fiction like, ‘Amazing Stories’, I read a novel by A.E. Van Vogt, titled ‘The Pawns of Null-A’, which described such a society. This book attracted my attention because it was, to my knowledge, the first attempt to describe a social system based on the principals of General Semantics.
While General Semantics may not be a cure-all, the book is entertaining, and it might stimulate your own thinking as to what a genuinely human society could become if we learn from the lessons of the past, and apply our new knowledge to problem solving, before those problems get out of hand.
Either our graduation day is at hand, or we go about business as usual and become relegated to the dustbin of history.
Things aren’t always as they seem









Sansanshan # Sunday, December 21, 2008 9:26:16 PM
DavidRavo # Monday, December 22, 2008 3:44:31 AM
The only things needed to make it happen is first, to raise our young in a nurturing environment, teach them personal responsibility at an early age, and let them absorb the important values in life through mimicry of our own actions and lifestyle. And secondly, make education a life-long process, with all of the support possible available for achievers.
Government-like decisions about social issues would evolve from academic study and debate, and ultmately, a popular vote. No government required, thanks. Things like police, justices of the peace, and the military would be contracted out to private organizations, funds permitting. And, those funds, by the way, would come from VAT, usage, and property taxes. And of course, donations from satisfied citizens.
Sansanshan # Monday, December 22, 2008 4:12:32 AM
DavidRavo # Monday, December 22, 2008 4:23:30 PM
It all hinges on how we raise the next generation of kids. There will be leadership alright, but it will be based on merit and qualifications, and not how charismatic he or she is. Government will be replaced by the Handheld. Nearly the entire world is connected now;80% or more. And, the global instrument of this connection is the handheld: what started out, only a few years back, as the cell phone.
Wireless changed everything. View all humans now as virtually the same when it comes to communication and information. View humans now as creatures with certain "standard-issue" indispensable tools of their age and era. The handheld is fast becoming THE ubiquitous tool to EVERY man and woman of our age just as the basic tool like the hammer, the knife, and the flint-and-iron firestarter was to the Paleolithic.
Anonymous # Monday, December 22, 2008 9:05:03 PM
DavidRavo # Monday, December 22, 2008 10:14:16 PM
Thanks for visiting my blog, and for posting yourt interesting commentary.
I think you might be interested in taking a look at 'Sociobiology', a discipline invented by E.O. Wilson at Harvard University, and in particular, E.O. Wilson's other work with insect social organizations, some of which can be applied to human social organizations.
Anonymous # Monday, December 22, 2008 10:32:10 PM
DavidRavo # Monday, December 22, 2008 11:34:25 PM
"He also noted that the anarchist Peter Kropotkin had made similar arguments in his book Mutual Aid: A Factor of Evolution, although focusing more on altruism than aggression, suggesting that anarchist societies were feasible because of an innate human tendency to cooperate."
This is an important point regarding my thinking on the matter. Humans carry an entirely programmable, organic, highly parallel analog computer, outfitted with a sensor suite that is so range and frequency restricted that it barely percieves external reality. It can be programmed as we see fit during childhood and the impressionable years.[ EDIT | DELETE ]
Anonymous # Tuesday, December 23, 2008 2:41:54 PM
DavidRavo # Tuesday, December 23, 2008 3:30:15 PM
BleachFinderbleachfinder # Wednesday, December 24, 2008 4:07:20 PM
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 2009 From Heart of BleachFinder
53north # Thursday, March 19, 2009 7:42:35 PM
I know when I flew from L.A. To Dallas in 89 we passed over 4hrs of nothing and nobody at 500mph...
Over Population? =o}