Musings

Bringing things into focus

Graduation day

As the USA is frozen over today, it seemed like a terrific time to do a further bit of speculation as to what human society in the future might look like. I have no special expertise as a futurist, but I am pretty good at technological forecasting, and I think some of its principles can be applied to the search for solutions to our social ills and dilemmas.

I imagine I confuse some of you with my comments regarding my political philosophy. I talk about being a semi-anarchist, and yet in most of my posts on the subject suggest that future society will be highly cohesive and to a degree, regimented. And, yet, I go on and on about the great value of individuals and individual initiative in advancing civilization.

The greatest struggle of our age has been trying to balance the needs of the individual against the needs of society as a whole. The second greatest struggle has been in lifting human beings from a brutish and selfish lot into an educated and compassionate branch of Primates that almost, but not quite, fit the definition of ‘Human Being’.

Part of the process of getting through our adolescence as a species, has been trying on various political systems to see if they fit, and might qualify as a suitable replacement for, or upgrade to, that great institution that led us down the pathway to civilization in the first place: Religion.

In dealing with people, one thing is for sure: The more educated they are, the more thoughtful and compassionate they become. And, the use of violence in settling disputes is far less frequent. In the past, our evolution down this course has gone in fits and starts, with many setbacks. Yet, we have made a lot of progress in a fairly short time, considering that our genus left the womb two million years ago, and our own species has been doing its thing for only about three hundred thousand of them.

Now, we face the very real prospect of a wrenching, nearly total collapse of all we have accomplished as an organized global society. We have the choice of entering a new ‘dark age’ or finishing the job that was started in earnest when the glaciers retreated.

To do this, we must first realize and admit that ‘modern’ political systems are a primitive response to social ills, primarily massive overpopulation. Well, I believe that population pressures are about to greatly diminish as a result of the old bugaboos, war, drought, and famine. But this time, an accelerant to the die-off has been added: global climate change.

It is entirely possible that the earth will lose 4/5 of its human population within the next thirty years. We will be extremely lucky if we avoid this outcome. I’d give ten to one odds that we don’t. There simply isn’t enough time, and if the U.N. is an example, we do not have functional institutions to deal with the urgent issues in a rational and timely manner.

When the dust settles, and it is time to rebuild and reorganize, it is possible to construct a society with no political systems at all. NO government. Just us. Educated, compassionate, responsible citizens who take responsibility for our actions, and contribute, unasked, to the common good. Instead of coercion and the use of force to control behaviors, we can exercise self-control if we choose to do so, and rehabilitate those who don’t. Instead, we could have volunteerism, ad hoc committees, uncompensated relief and support groups, and instead of warriors, boy scouts. These are the types of organizations that might fill the void of government. A lot of small, specialist groups that form and dissolve as required to deal with any problems that arise and impact everyone. Educational institutions would be the binding agents for the new society, and the Rule of Law will be an agreed upon codex of principles that is reviewed often, by everyone, and modified as needed.

Back in the days of pulp science fiction like, ‘Amazing Stories’, I read a novel by A.E. Van Vogt, titled ‘The Pawns of Null-A’, which described such a society. This book attracted my attention because it was, to my knowledge, the first attempt to describe a social system based on the principals of General Semantics.

While General Semantics may not be a cure-all, the book is entertaining, and it might stimulate your own thinking as to what a genuinely human society could become if we learn from the lessons of the past, and apply our new knowledge to problem solving, before those problems get out of hand.

Either our graduation day is at hand, or we go about business as usual and become relegated to the dustbin of history.

Things aren’t always as they seem

Rage at the machineHappy Holidays!

Comments

Sansanshan Sunday, December 21, 2008 9:26:16 PM

I've always thought of myself as a semi-anarchist as well. True anarchism is not about chaos and violence as many people believe, but creating a society that is loving and compassionate. It's great in theory , just as communism is, but of course there are always power hungry people who just go and mess things up!

DavidRavo Monday, December 22, 2008 3:44:31 AM

Thanks for your support, San. I knew there was something about you I liked! bigsmile

The only things needed to make it happen is first, to raise our young in a nurturing environment, teach them personal responsibility at an early age, and let them absorb the important values in life through mimicry of our own actions and lifestyle. And secondly, make education a life-long process, with all of the support possible available for achievers.

Government-like decisions about social issues would evolve from academic study and debate, and ultmately, a popular vote. No government required, thanks. Things like police, justices of the peace, and the military would be contracted out to private organizations, funds permitting. And, those funds, by the way, would come from VAT, usage, and property taxes. And of course, donations from satisfied citizens.

Sansanshan Monday, December 22, 2008 4:12:32 AM

You think this can be done without a leader? I think all this can only be accomplished with people who are very aware of their egos. Not unlike a good marriage, you don't always see eye to eye, but you compromise for the good of the relationship.

DavidRavo Monday, December 22, 2008 4:23:30 PM

Hi San,
It all hinges on how we raise the next generation of kids. There will be leadership alright, but it will be based on merit and qualifications, and not how charismatic he or she is. Government will be replaced by the Handheld. Nearly the entire world is connected now;80% or more. And, the global instrument of this connection is the handheld: what started out, only a few years back, as the cell phone.

Wireless changed everything. View all humans now as virtually the same when it comes to communication and information. View humans now as creatures with certain "standard-issue" indispensable tools of their age and era. The handheld is fast becoming THE ubiquitous tool to EVERY man and woman of our age just as the basic tool like the hammer, the knife, and the flint-and-iron firestarter was to the Paleolithic. smile

Anonymous Monday, December 22, 2008 9:05:03 PM

Anonymous writes: The movement that calls itself the modern American Conservative Movement is ensconced with theories of Social Darwinism. The survival of the fittest has been hijacked and change to mean something far more sinister: The belief of Aryan-like supremacy that the 3rd Reich attached to and so many today appear to be heading towards. One can argue the actual validity of Social Darwinism itself in modern, industrialized societies, and especially in nations outside of the Western world. The "weak" are not necessarily a burden on society (outside of economic considerations), as humanity has evolved past being hunter-gatherers. The "weak" may contain certain traits such as artistic creativity or intelligence, with Darwin a shining example, which greatly benefits our industrialized civilization. Social Darwinism, in most free-market, modern societies, seems to merely foster once favorable, but now negative traits, such as greed, egotism, materialism, and selfishness. These traits are no longer needed in a society that bases itself on the individual citizen's collection of intrinsically worthless currency, not raw materials, clean water, or savagely-caught food.

DavidRavo Monday, December 22, 2008 10:14:16 PM

Hi Anonymous,
Thanks for visiting my blog, and for posting yourt interesting commentary.
I think you might be interested in taking a look at 'Sociobiology', a discipline invented by E.O. Wilson at Harvard University, and in particular, E.O. Wilson's other work with insect social organizations, some of which can be applied to human social organizations. smile

Anonymous Monday, December 22, 2008 10:32:10 PM

Anonymous writes: Many critics draw an intellectual link between sociobiology and biological determinism, referring to the social Darwinism and eugenics movements of the early 20th century, and to more recent ideas such as the IQ test controversy of the early 1970s. Steven Pinker argues that critics have been overly swayed by politics and a "fear" of biological determinism.[8] However, all these critics have claimed that sociobiology fails on scientific grounds, independent of their political critiques. In particular, Lewontin, Rose & Kamin drew a detailed distinction between the politics and history of an idea and its scientific validity,[1] as has Stephen Jay Gould.[9] Wilson and his supporters counter the intellectual link by denying that Wilson had a political agenda, still less a right-wing one. They pointed out that Wilson had personally adopted a number of liberal political stances and had attracted progressive sympathy for his outspoken environmentalism. They argued that as scientists they had a duty to uncover the truth whether that was politically correct or not. They argued that sociobiology does not necessarily lead to any particular political ideology as many critics implied. Many subsequent sociobiologists, including Robert Wright, Anne Campbell, Frans de Waal and Sarah Blaffer Hrdy, have used sociobiology to argue quite separate points. Noam Chomsky came to the defense of sociobiology's methodology, noting that it was the same methodology he used in his work on linguistics. However, he roundly criticized the sociobiologists' actual conclusions about humans as lacking substance. He also noted that the anarchist Peter Kropotkin had made similar arguments in his book Mutual Aid: A Factor of Evolution, although focusing more on altruism than aggression, suggesting that anarchist societies were feasible because of an innate human tendency to cooperate.

DavidRavo Monday, December 22, 2008 11:34:25 PM

Thanks for you very interesting comments regarding Sociobiology.

"He also noted that the anarchist Peter Kropotkin had made similar arguments in his book Mutual Aid: A Factor of Evolution, although focusing more on altruism than aggression, suggesting that anarchist societies were feasible because of an innate human tendency to cooperate."

This is an important point regarding my thinking on the matter. Humans carry an entirely programmable, organic, highly parallel analog computer, outfitted with a sensor suite that is so range and frequency restricted that it barely percieves external reality. It can be programmed as we see fit during childhood and the impressionable years.[ EDIT | DELETE ]

Anonymous Tuesday, December 23, 2008 2:41:54 PM

Anonymous writes: Fiscal conservatism is a good thing. But today's Modern American Conservative Movement embraces Social Darwinism (as The 3rd Reich did) with it's legions of Rush Limbaugh fanatics believing they have some sort of God-given right to dictate what is a liberal, what is a socialist, an American, morality ... ad nauseum. The Election last month was the signal that this fascist-like ideology is doomed. Thank God!

DavidRavo Tuesday, December 23, 2008 3:30:15 PM

I agree that change is necessary, and quickly. I suspect that our new wireless connectivity world-wide will make many of our old political institutions as useless as buggy whips.

BleachFinderbleachfinder Wednesday, December 24, 2008 4:07:20 PM

Merry Christmas From Heart of BleachFinder

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 2009 From Heart of BleachFinder

53north Thursday, March 19, 2009 7:42:35 PM

Isn't it written in an esteemed web page some where that all the people on Earth could live in terraced housing in Texas, no problem.
I know when I flew from L.A. To Dallas in 89 we passed over 4hrs of nothing and nobody at 500mph...
Over Population? =o}

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