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ToxicRabbit

Ramblings

Deeper and Deeper...



Update: U.S. military analyst Tony Cordesman lays down a rhetorical barrage, calling Israeli policy in Lebanon and U.S. policy in Iraq "stupid, incompetent, and obsolete." (Via Eric Umansky). Finally, some real straight talk. Also...
I found this Los Angeles Times' lead, unsigned editorial to be refreshingly frank in its bracing language about Israel. "Israel Can't Keep on Like This" reads the headline condeming the gruesome massacre at Qana.

An op-ed on the facing page by my Nation colleague Adam Shatz also takes up the same tack.

The Israeli government apparently disagrees. It not only can continue the war as is, but is fully intending to do so -- even expanding it. Condi Rice now sounds faintly ridiculous as she promises to really, really try to bring a cease-fire within "days not weeks" even as Israel sends thousands of new troops into Lebanon. And as the Israeli Prime Minister vows the fighting can still go on for some time.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it sure looks Rice and the Bush administration have been doing little else but running interference for the IDF, knowing full well, from the onset, that the Israeli military campaign was more open-ended than not.

It also seems rather irrefutable that the Israelis misjudged the situation in Lebanon every bit as much as the White House didn't comprehend what it was getting into in Iraq. The first phase of the Israeli campaign, the air war to eliminate Hezbollah, failed rather dramatically. The second phase, trying to break the Hezbollah hold with incursions by small, elite units, was equally ineffective.

Now, Israel has moved to Phase Three: The sledgehammer.

The biggest casualty to date in the conflict is, of course, the moral authority of the Middle East's only democracy -- Israel. Michael Oren, an analyst at the Shalem think tank in Israel told the New York Times: "Israel started this crisis with the most favourable diplomatic position it has ever had in its history, and over the course of three weeks the Olmert Government has managed to squander that advantage."

Sound a bit familiar to you? Isn't this exactly what the Bush administration did in the wake of 9/11? Great minds must think alike.

Pity the poor Israelis (as well as those on the receiving end of their policies). Imagine having the victorious Conquerors of Baghdad as your most valued and trusted strategic partner. What terrific advice Rummy and the Boys must be able to offer to their Israeli allies.

P.S. I have taken some relish in trashing the screwball conspiracy theories of some self-proclaimed lefties who argue the Twin Towers were taken down on 9/11 by "controlled demolitions" set off by the Bush administration. So now seems a good time to heap mountains of scorn and derision on the Right-wing fringe-types who, with equal nuttiness, are suggesting that the Israeli bombing massacre at Qana was somehow staged or exaggerated by Hezbollah. If your stomach can take it, check out this frothy rant from Confederate Yankee who-- from the cushy comfort of his armchair-- "deconstructs" the photos of the dead children dug out from the collapsed building. From his vantage point 5,000 miles away he concludes the young corpses just don't have enough dust on them to convince him, in his towering forensic expertise, that they died in a building collapse. Devious little bastards those dead kids.

Nauseating, really. Words fail me. Even the perpetrators of the Qana attack, the Israeli military, has not questioned the basic facts. But excessive ideology is a vicious disease. It takes otherwise healthy minds and turns them into stinking sewers.

TR.

The Most Unsuccessful War...

By Ze'ev Sternhell

Haaretz

No situation can continue to exist for long without an ideological reason. That's how when once it was clear that it was not achieving its aims, an unsuccessful military campaign was upgraded with the wave of a magic wand to the level of a war of survival. When everyone understood that a moral reason had to be found both for the dimensions of the destruction sowed in Lebanon and the killing of the civilian population there, and for the Israeli dead and wounded (nobody is even talking about the exposure of the entire civilian population in the North of Israel to enemy fire while people are kept in disgraceful conditions in bomb shelters), a war of survival was invented, which by nature must be long and exhausting.

That is how a campaign of collective punishment that was begun in haste, without proper judgment and on the basis of incorrect assessments, including promises that the army is incapable of fulfilling, turned into a war of life and death, if not some kind of second War of Independence. In the press there have even been embarrassing comparisons to the struggle against Nazism, comparisons that are not only a crude distortion of history, but disgrace the memory of the Jews who were exterminated.

The architect of this unsuccessful campaign has outdone himself: In order to cover up his failures, he delivered a poor man's pseudo-Churchillian speech, and promised us more "pain, tears and blood." There really is no limit to shamelessness. It must be said in favor of the government spokesmen who are in greatest demand on the foreign stations, from the Israel Defense Forces Spokesman to Tourism Minister Isaac Herzog and former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu -- that none of them has stooped to propaganda of this kind.



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At the same time, the campaign's goals have been reduced and shrunk during these three weeks. From restoring Israel's power of deterrence, eliminating Hezbollah, and disarming it immediately -- after three weeks we have arrived at the present goal, which is the dismantling of the forward outposts of Hezbollah and the deployment of an international force to defend the North of Israel from the possibility of a repeat attack.

At this point, the average citizen, who is not working day and night in the corridors of power and is not sunning himself near the generals' command rooms, is at a loss. Is this how we are restoring the IDF's power of deterrence? Haven't we accomplished exactly the opposite? Hasn't it become clear to the entire world that our "invincible" air force not only failed for three weeks to end the barrage of rockets, but also even needs an emergency airlift of war materiel, as during the 1973 Yom Kippur War?

Moreover, the ordinary citizen is asking himself another question: If several thousand guerrilla fighters do constitute an existential danger to a country with a strike force and weaponry that are unparalleled in this part of the world, how is it that during the past five or six years we heard nothing to that effect from government leaders?

It is true that since 2000 we have not been preoccupied with anything except the Palestinian issue. Hypnotized by the "Palestinian danger," Israel turned its back during the past two years on all national efforts that preceded the disengagement from Gaza, and then the split in the Likud and the establishment of Kadima, as a prologue to the second major campaign, "convergence" behind the separation fence. And when the present government was formed, a national agenda was formulated for the next two, if not four, years, whose main component is fulfillment of the "Sharon legacy": a unilateral drawing of borders in the territories, pulverizing them into cantons and in effect eliminating the possibility of establishing a Palestinian state in them. This led citizens to understand that this is the issue that will determine Israel's future.

The clearest evidence of the national order of priorities is the situation in which the IDF's fighting units find themselves. It was no secret that the army almost stopped training in large units and complex operations, and became totally immersed in the struggle against the Palestinian uprising. When infantry brigades turn into a police force specializing in breaking down doors and walls in refugee camps, or in pursuit of groups of terrorists in olive orchards, when the criterion for the success of a senior officer is the number of wanted men he has managed to catch rather than his operational talents and ability to command large units -- the army deteriorates.

I cannot recall that the reserve divisions that were drafted on Yom Kippur in 1973, or the Israelis who returned as individuals from abroad in order to join the fighting, were in need of training and refresher exercises. Nevertheless, the Agranat Commission of inquiry was established to investigate, among other things, the level of the forces' battle preparedness.

The Six-Day War and Yom Kippur War were wars of survival, and through them the IDF was revealed in all its greatness. The present war is the most unsuccessful we have ever had; it is much worse than the first Lebanon War, which at least was properly prepared, and in which, with the exception of gaining control over the Beirut-Damascus highway, the army more or less achieved its goals as determined by then-defense minister Ariel Sharon.

It is frightening to think that those who decided to embark on the present war did not even dream of its outcome and its destructive consequences in almost every possible realm, of the political and psychological damage, the serious blow to the government's credibility, and yes -- the killing of children in vain. The cynicism being demonstrated by government spokesmen, official and otherwise, including several military correspondents, in the face of the disaster suffered by the Lebanese, amazes even someone who has long since lost many of his youthful illusions.

From the Other Side...

Following is a letter from an American in Ramallah, who is a friend. Checkpoints, Nasrallah, IDF, jokes, arrests, kidnapping — it’s all in there. We pick up after the initial greeting:

I apologize for the huge gaps in my emails. These past few weeks have
been very very busy and it has become nearly impossible for me to plan
ahead of time. Yesterday I was planning on going to Hebron when my
friend called me and told me that there was going to be a huge rally
“welcoming” Condalezza Rice. Sure enough he was right. The rally was
enormous. All of Ramallah—all the stores, all the supermarkets, all
the food stands—shut down protesting her arrival and the entirety of
the city hit the streets yelling, screaming, and chanting. So while
Condalezza was talking peace in Arafat’s compound, the entire city was
on the streets telling her to ‘go back to where she came from.’
Judging from the rally, it seems that Abu Mazen, the Palestinian
president, and Condalezza Rice were the only two people in all of
Ramallah (or more accurately all of the West Bank) who didn’t realize
that Condalezza was wasting her breath talking to a powerless
government and a powerless people. I guess the Bush Administration
never got the newsflash that more than half of the Palestinian
government was detained only a few weeks back by Israeli soldiers and
now are being tried in court. There are a few leaders who managed to
escape the roundups and the Israeli soldiers have come into Ramallah
nearly every night looking for them. A few days ago, I was coming home
from a wedding in a nearby village at around 1:30 a.m. when all of a
sudden nearly 16 jeeps, tanks, and enormous Israeli round-up cars (the
size of a small truck) passed us by. I’ve never seen an Israeli
roundup mission so close and it was very nerve-racking seeing one
military car after another pass by us with undoubtedly hundreds of
soldiers waiting to take away some Palestinian or another. Because we
didn’t know in which direction the cars were heading, we had to drive
very carefully through the city, hoping they wouldn’t see us and shoot
at our car. After some debate, the Palestinians I was with told me
that it was too dangerous to go to my house because I live very close
to many governmental buildings. So even though I lived only a few
kilometers from their house, I had to sleep the night at one of their
houses. Only last night, the Israeli soldiers completely closed off
Umm al-Shara’it, right next to where I live, because one of the
Parliamentary leaders lives there. In fact he lives in the same
building as my friend and just this week alone, the soldiers have come
four times looking for him, always at 1:30 in the morning and staying
until 4:00 a.m. waking up everyone in the building. My friend told me
that it is only a matter of time before the soldiers will take his
wife and children and force the parliamentary head to turn himself in.

The detained parliamentary heads have recently had three charges
served against them. The first charge is being part of a terrorist
organization, the second charge is being part of an organization that
promotes terrorist activities, and the third charge is being a member
in the Parliament representing a terrorist organization. I was at an
organizing meeting with members of the Parliament, including the
Parliament president, and various lawyers when they first announced
the charges. I had to nearly leave the room because I was laughing so
hard. Of the many things that the Israeli government needs to work on,
I think some creativity should be on the top of the list. I have been
working with a PLFP parliamentary head, Khalida, in order to try to
get word out to the international community about the complete
blasphemy of the detention of these parliamentary and ministry
leaders. I can’t properly describe the irony of the governmental
situation here other than to say that nothing speaks more of the
Palestinian spirit than attending a parliament meeting. In the big
hall, the parliamentary heads from Gaza and the West Bank speak to one
another via telecom because Gaza citizens are not allowed to come into
the West Bank and vice versa. From the telecom conference, we could
see that the Gaza citizens don’t have any electricity and are fanning
themselves with paper fans with windows wide open as they are trying
to conduct the meeting. As for the parliamentarians from the West
Bank, half of them arrived late…some of them very late because they
were held up for hours at the various checkpoints. Yet the most
striking part of the meeting was the enlarged pictures of all the
detained parliamentary leaders placed on their seat. Considering that
more than half of the parliamentary heads have been detained, there
were many many of these photos around the parliament hall. But despite
all these challenges, the parliamentarians continue to conduct
meetings and try to get business done as much as possible.

Another newsflash that the Bush Administration never got was that the
Palestinians have really had absolutely no role in this war other than
shutting down their stores in solidarity with the Gaza and Lebanese
people and holding protests. The Israeli government has openly
admitted that their invasion into Gaza was not related to the
kidnapping of the Israeli soldier. It was something that they have
been wanting and planning on doing for months on end now. But even if
we were to play devil’s advocate and imagine that the invasion into
Gaza was directly related to the kidnapping, I’ve completely lost
count of the death toll just in Gaza (not including Nablus or any
other region in the West Bank), but it is definitely over 200
Palestinians. And if that is not enough, in one night alone, over 150
Palestinians in Nablus were “kidnapped” by Israeli soldiers and they
are yet to be released. Because of the number of these detainees, the
Israeli soldiers have taken over schools in Nablus to hold these
Palestinians. This death-toll also doesn’t include the countless
homes, farms, and livelihoods that have been destroyed by Israeli
tanks and bulldozers. I still can’t quite comprehend the justice or
the equity of the Israeli reaction to the kidnapping. When the
kidnapping and killing first happened, I was talking to my colleagues
at work. They all agreed, including my friend ____ whose entire
family still lives in Gaza, that the kidnapping is worth the price
that the Gaza citizens have paid. “It is like someone opened up the
air channels in our body and we have finally been able to breath,”
they kept saying.

Hasan Nasrallah has become the all-time hero of every Palestinian. I
remember the day that Hizbollah kidnapped the two Israeli soldiers,
the Palestinians were absolutely astounded. People on the streets were
dancing and celebrating. For once, someone stood up and defended the
Palestinians. For once, someone actually tried to turn the tables and
hurt the oppressive Israeli regime in an offensive rather than a
defensive manner. Palestinians have come to expect complete
international rejection. Even though many countries around the world
provide financial support to Palestinians, it is a rare country that
provides open support to the Palestinian struggle against the Israeli
occupation. Almost all types of support are done under the table in a
very hush hush manner. When the Israeli soldiers were first kidnapped,
nearly every Arab country ( Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, etc.) came
out in strong opposition of the kidnapping and the Palestinian and
Lebanese resistance. They all spoke of their disappointment on the
attacks on Israel, never mentioning Israel’s attack into Gaza or its
destruction of other Palestinian territories in the West Bank. Yet
over the past few weeks every one of these countries has provided
millions, if not billions, of dollars in relief while continuing to
re-enforce their position of disappointment at the kidnapping of the
soldiers. For Palestinians, Nasrallah is the only one who will stand
by Palestinians tooth and nail despite the consequences, which have
been nothing short of disastrous.

Since the beginning of this war, the people here in Palestine have
been fixated to the television and radio and newspapers. Wherever you
go, all you hear is people talking politics. Like fans of a soccer
game, the Palestinians are cheering on Hasan Nasrallah and talking and
watching intently, waiting to see who is getting closer to the goal
line and who has made what goal. Yet the goals here are made at the
expense of lives. For every Israeli soldier killed, hundreds of
Lebanese women and children are being killed. As several Israelis have
told me unflinchingly, killing civilians is a necessary evil because
one never knows where the Hizbollah soldiers are hiding. Yet the idea
of collective punishment has not only been concentrated on the
Lebanese. In the OPT, it has become nearly impossible to travel from
one region to another. Checkpoints have been set up nearly every mile
and going from point A to point B is the ultimate test of patience.
The last thing that someone here wants to do is get an Israeli
soldier’s bad side. My American colleague, gina, got detained at the
Kulendia checkpoint recently when she was trying to go to Jerusalem
for rolling her eyes at the female soldier. All of a sudden, the
soldier told her that her visa was illegal and she was taken into the
backroom with two large male soldiers. Needless to say, gina has
traveled with this very same visa for nearly two months through dozens
of checkpoints, including Kulendia, many times over and never has had
any problems. In the backroom, one of the soldiers put his face in her
face and began screaming at her, “Why do you like Arabs!!! Why do you
like Arabs?!?” gina tried to call the American Consulate yet when she
got through to the Consulate, they told her that they don’t get
involved in local politics and there was nothing they can do to help
her. Only after flirting with one of the Israeli soldiers, did he
agree to release her, not forgetting to give gina his number.

On one of my trips to Nablus, at one of the checkpoints, the Israeli
soldier who was examining our passports and hawiyas suddenly opened
the chauffeur’s door and began screaming at the chauffeur of the
microbus, “Why are you trying to kidnap me?!” Everyone on the bus was
so confused and nobody knew what to say. The chauffeur told him in
Arabic, “Even if I wanted to kidnap a soldier, surely I wouldn’t want
to kidnap you. You’re not good looking.” I started laughing but the
soldier was not laughing. He called the police and after three hours
of waiting and watching one of the most ridiculous scenarios I’ve ever
experienced, the soldier started laughing and winking at the other
soldiers and told the bus driver to go on his way. The soldiers had
their fun at the expense of the integrity, time, and nerves of all of
us in the bus.

Four days ago, I called my friend to check up on him and found out
that his uncle had just been killed. His uncle had a heart attack and
the ambulance was trying to take him to the hospital but the Israelis
had set up a checkpoint on the road and wouldn’t let the ambulance go
through. So his uncle died in the ambulance just like so many
Palestinians have died over the years.

Like a rock that is thrown into a pond, the place that the rock falls
is considered ground zero where all the direct blows are taking place.
The rock is the towns in Lebanon and Gaza where hundreds and thousands
have been killed and injured. Then there are the ripples of the rock
and those ripples have extended into the lives of nearly every single
person in the OPT, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan , and beyond. I was recently
told that in Syria, almost all the schools have turned into refugee
centers for the 600,000 some Lebanese refugees. Schools in Syria won’t
start in September this year since it’ll take longer to find housing
for the hundreds of thousands of refugees.

The Israelis have similarly left the northern regions of Israel that
have been bombed. Those who have decided to stay are living in their
bomb shelters. Nearly every Israeli family has a bomb shelter under
their home that is fully furnished, with a full kitchen, amenities,
television and satellite. The Arabs, on the other hand, who live in
the same region, share poorly furnished and equipped bomb shelters
between several families. For example, the Arabs in Jaffa are
prevented by law from upgrading or making any improvements to their
homes which includes building bomb shelters. The Israelis living in
the same region, on the other hand, have no such laws and are building
new and beautiful homes with state of the art bomb shelters. Only two
days ago, I was able to go to Jaffa and see first hand the difference
between the Arab and Israeli neighborhoods.

Now that my stay has nearly come to an end, the thought of leaving
Palestine is very painful. I can’t even try to make myself feel better
by thinking that I’ve really done something to improve the situation
or provide any type of support. But at the very least, when living
here, I become like the Palestinians to a certain extent. Like all the
Palestinians, I must also take the blows as they come. When the
Palestinians are forced to wait at a checkpoint for hours on end, I am
similarly forced to wait. When the Palestinians are prevented from
staying out past curfew, I am similarly forced to go indoors. When the
Palestinians cry over a detained daughter or son, or over an
assassinated relative, I also join them in their pain and tears.
Living in America, we are so often caught up in our material lives
that we forget that there are people, like the Palestinians, who don’t
even have the means to control a single aspect of their lives. To go
from nearly no control and freedom to nearly full control and freedom
will be a very difficult transition. Anyways, I only ask that everyone
please remember the people here in your thoughts, prayers, daily
lives, and actions.

Daily Dirt - On Cronyism...

ExxonMobil has posted the highest record profit of all time. In the last 3 months, it has made a $9 Billion profit on a revenue of $100 Billion. Was the Iraq war really about Democracy or Freedom – or was it about oil?

Is it just a coincidence that ExxonMobil CEO, Lee Raymond met Vice President Dick Cheney to discuss Oil exploration in Iraq before the war started? Is it just a coincidence that Raymond stepped down just months before the war to be appointed onto the board of the American Enterprise Institute, a Washington think tank that has been key in promoting the invasion and occupation of Iraq? Is it just a coincidence that Willima R. Howell sits on the board of ExxonMobil and Halliburton Inc. (a company Cheney was head of before he became Vice President). Halliburton has won billions of dollars in uncontested military contracts. Is it just a coincidence that if ExxonMobil were to get an agreement for the giant Majnoon oil field in southern Iraq, it would double its state reserves, vastly increasing the market value of the company, which already owns access to more oil around the world than any other private oil firm?

But ExxonMobil doesn’t just 'coincidentally' support the Iraq war, it also tries to shut down any discussion of global warming….. Sterling Burnett is a senior fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis, an organization that has received over $390,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998. On Fox, Burnett compared watching Al Gore’s movie, An Inconvenient Truth, to watching a movie by Nazi propagandist Joseph Goebbels to learn about Nazi Germany.

ExxonMobil doesn’t have a substantive answer to Gore’s movie, so it bankrolls people like Burnett to smear Gore personally. Dutifully, Burnett recently wrote an editorial defending former Exxon CEO Lee Raymond’s lavish compensation (which amounted to $190,000 a day in 2005). He failed to mention his financial connection to the company.

Transcript from FOX:
That’s the problem. If I thought Al Gore’s movie was as you like to say, fair and balanced, I’d say, everyone should go see it. But why go see propaganda? You don’t go see Joseph Goebbels’ films to see the truth about Nazi Germany. You don’t go see Al Gore’s films to see the truth about global warming.

Not just blood for oil, but the planet for oil as well. God bless crony capitalism.

TR.

Too Late for Empire...


ToxicRabbit.

(This article, which will appear in the August 14/21 issue of The Nation, is posted here with the permission of the editors of that magazine.)

Anyone who wants to write about the constitutional crisis unfolding in the United States today faces a peculiar problem at the outset. There is a large body of observations that at one and the same time have been made too often and yet not often enough - too often because they have been repeated to the point of tedium for a minority ready to listen, but not often enough because the general public has yet to consider them seriously enough.

The problem for a self-respecting writer is that the act of writing almost in its nature promises something new. Repetition is not really writing but propaganda - not illumination for the mind but a mental beating. Here are some examples of the sort of observations I have in mind, at once over-familiar and unheard:

President George W Bush sent US troops into Iraq to find weapons of mass destruction (WMD), but they weren't there. He said Saddam Hussein's regime had given help to al-Qaeda, but it had not.

He therefore took the nation to war on the basis of falsehoods.

His administration says the torture at Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq and elsewhere has been the work of a few bad apples in the military, whereas in fact abuses were sanctioned at the highest levels of the executive branch in secret memos.

His administration lambastes leakers, but its own officials illegally leaked the name of a Central Intelligence Agency operative, Valerie Plame, to discredit her husband politically.

He flatly stated to the public that all wiretaps of Americans were ordered pursuant to court warrants, whereas in fact he was authorizing and repeatedly reauthorizing warrant less wiretaps. These wiretaps violated a specific law of Congress forbidding them.

His administration has asserted a right to imprison Americans as well as foreigners indefinitely without the habeas corpus hearings required by law.

Wars of aggression, torture, domestic spying and arbitrary arrest are the hallmarks of dictatorship, yet Congress, run by the president's party, has refused to conduct full investigations into either the false WMD claims, or the abuses and torture, or the warrant less wiretaps, or the imprisonment without habeas corpus.

When Congress passed a bill forbidding torture and the president signed it, he added a "signing statement" implying a right to disregard its provisions when they conflicted with his interpretation of his powers.

The president's secret legal memos justifying the abuses and torture are based on a conception of the powers of the executive that gives him carte blanche to disregard specific statutes as well as international law in the exercise of self-granted powers to the commander-in-chief nowhere mentioned in the constitution.

If accepted, these claims would fundamentally alter the structure of the US government, upsetting the system of checks and balances and nullifying fundamental liberties, including guarantees in the Fourth Amendment to the constitution against unreasonable searches and seizures and guarantees of due process. As such, they embody apparent failures of the president to carry out his oath to "preserve, protect and defend the constitution of the United States".

Opposing one-party government …
The need to repeat these familiar points, as I have just done (while also begging the indulgence of the reader, as I do), is itself a symptom of the crisis. The same concentration of governmental and other power in the hands of a single party that led to the abuses stands in the way of action to address them. The result is a problem of political sanitation. The garbage heaps up in the public square, visible to all and stinking to high heaven, but no garbage truck arrives to take it away. The law-breaking is exposed, but no legislative body responds. The damning facts pour out, and protests are made, but little is done. Then comes the urge to repeat.

The dilemma is reflected in microcosm in the news media, especially television - a process particularly on display in the failure to challenge the administration's deceptive rationale for the Iraq war. The reasons for severe doubt were, at the very least, available before the war, and they were expounded in many places. More truthful, contrary voices could and did speak up, especially on the Internet, the freest of today's media. But they were not widely heard. They were drowned out by the dominant voices in the mainstream, acceding to the deceptions of power and their variations and derivatives.

All over the world, autocratic-minded rulers, from Italy's former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi to Russian President Vladimir Putin, have learned that de facto control of the political content of television is perhaps the most important lever of power in our day. They have learned that it does not matter politically if 15% or even 25% of the public is well informed as long the majority remains in the dark. The problem has not been censorship, but something very nearly censorship's opposite: the deafening noise of the official megaphone and its echoes - not the suppression of truth, still spoken and heard in a narrow circle, but a profusion of lies and half-lies; not too little speech, but too much. If you whisper something to your friend in the front row of a rock concert, you have not been censored, but neither will you be heard.

The one major breach in the monopoly has been made by the US Supreme Court, especially in its decision in Hamdan vs Rumsfeld requiring application of the Geneva Conventions and the Uniform Code of Military Justice to detainees. The decision's reasoning, if it carries the day in practice, would roll back many of the usurpations by the executive, which has already claimed that it will apply the Geneva Conventions to prisoners in US custody (though there is doubt what this will mean) and will seek a constitutional opinion by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act court on its wiretapping. When the Supreme Court speaks, it is more than repetition. It is effective action.

Yet in the last analysis, the outcome of the contest will be decided in the political arena, where public opinion and, ultimately, voters are the decision-makers. It's notable that the reaction to the Supreme Court's decision in Hamdan by one Republican congressional leader was to accuse Democrats who applauded the decision of wanting "special privileges for terrorists".

One-party monopoly of power is not the only inhibiting factor.

Any oppositionist who is honest will keep in mind that a majority, however narrow, of Americans voted that one party into power in a series of elections. Especially important was the presidential election of 2004, when many, though not all, of the abuses were already known. (And then the election itself was subject to grave abuses, especially in Ohio.) The weight and meaning of that majority do not disappear because it was demonstrably misinformed about key matters of war and peace. It's one thing to oppose an illegitimate concentration of power in the name of a repressed majority, another to oppose power backed and legitimised by a majority. In the first case, it will be enough to speak truth to power; in the second, the main need is to speak truth to one's fellow citizens.

As the end is restoring democratic process, so the means should be democratic. It's true that since 2004 the president's positive ratings in the polls have plummeted, but there is no guarantee that this shift in opinion will translate into Republican defeats in the forthcoming congressional election, and a renewal of Republican majorities in both houses of Congress would add another stamp of approval to the Bush policies, however misguided.

The mechanisms inhibiting opposition to state power, especially when backed by electoral majorities, are not something new. Even in the freest countries there is at all times a conventional wisdom, which may wander more or less far from reality. Sometimes it strays into a fantasyland. Then marginal voices (which of course are not correct merely because they are marginal) have a special responsibility to speak up, and sometimes they shift the mainstream - as happened in the US, for instance, in the 1960s regarding the Vietnam War and legal segregation. For the better part of a century, segregation fit squarely within the banks of the US mainstream. Then it didn't.

A persistent pathology…
As the mere mention of Vietnam suggests, the repetition dilemma also has causes that go deeper into the past. The war and the threatened Nixon impeachment were connected at every point. It wasn't just that Nixon's wiretapping was directed against Daniel Ellsberg, war critic and leaker of the Vietnam-era Pentagon Papers; or that the "plumbers" outfit that carried out the Watergate break-in was founded to spy on, disrupt and attack war critics; or that Nixon's persistence in trying to win the war even as he withdrew US troops from it drove him into the paranoia that led him to draw up an "enemies list" and sponsor subversions of the electoral process - it was that his entire go-it-alone, imperial conception of the presidency originated in his pursuit of his war policy in secrecy and without congressional involvement.

And now, 30 years later, we find ourselves facing an uncannily similar combination of misconceived war abroad and constitutional crisis at home. Again a global crusade (then it was the Cold War, now it is the "war on terror") has given birth to a disastrous war (then Vietnam, now Iraq); again a president has responded by breaking the law; and again it falls to citizens, journalists, judges, justices and others to trace the connections between the overreaching abroad and the overreaching at home. In consequence, not only are we condemned to repeat ourselves for the duration of the current crisis, but a remarkable number of those repetitions are already repetitions of what was said 30 years ago.

Consider, for instance, the following passage from a speech called "The Price of Empire", by the great dissenter against the Vietnam War, senator William Fulbright:
~Before the Second World War our world role was a potential role; we were important in the world for what we could do with our power, for the leadership we might provide, for the example we might set. Now the choices are almost gone: we are almost the world's self-appointed policeman; we are almost the world defender of the status quo. We are well on our way to becoming a traditional great power - an imperial nation if you will - engaged in the exercise of power for its own sake, exercising it to the limit of our capacity and beyond, filling every vacuum and extending the American "presence" to the farthest reaches of the Earth. And, as with the great empires of the past, as the power grows, it is becoming an end in itself, separated except by ritual incantation from its initial motives, governed, it would seem, by its own mystique, power without philosophy or purpose. That describes what we have almost become …~

Is there a single word - with the possible exception of "almost" at the end of the paragraph - that fails to apply to the United States' situation today? Or consider this passage from Fluorite’s ‘The Arrogance of Power’ with the Iraq venture in mind:
~Traditional rulers, institutions and ways of life have crumbled under the fatal impact of American wealth and power, but they have not been replaced by new institutions and new ways of life, nor has their breakdown ushered in an era of democracy and development.~

Recalling these and other passages from Fulbright and other critics of the Vietnam era, one is again tempted to wonder why we should bother to say once more what has already been said so well so many times before. Perhaps we should just quote rather than repeat - cite, not write.

Of course, people like to point out that Iraq is not Vietnam. They are right insofar as those two countries are concerned. For instance, today's anarchic Iraq, a formerly unified country now on or over the edge of civil war, is wholly different from yesterday's resolute Vietnam, divided into North and South, but implacably bent on unity and independence from foreign rule.

And of course the two eras could scarcely be more different. Most important, the collapse of the Soviet Union has effectuated a full-scale revolution in the international order. The number of the world's superpowers has been cut back from two to one, China has become an economic powerhouse, market economics have spread across the planet, the industrial age has been pushed aside by the information age, global warming has commenced, and rock music has been replaced by rap.

Yet in the face of all this, US policies have shown an astonishing sameness, and this is what is disturbing. In our world of racing change, only the pathologies of US power seem to remain constant. Why?

The pitiful helpless giant …
Perhaps a clue can be found in the famous speech that senator Joseph McCarthy gave in Wheeling, West Virginia, in February 1950. This was the occasion on which he announced his specious list of communists in the State Department, launching what soon was called McCarthyism. He also shared some thoughts on America's place in the world.

~“The Allied victory in World War II had occurred only five years before. No nation approached the United States in wealth, power or global influence. Yet McCarthy's words were a dirge for lost American greatness. He said: "At war's end we were physically the strongest nation on Earth and, at least potentially, the most powerful intellectually and morally. Ours could have been the honour of being a beacon in the desert of destruction, a shining living proof that civilization was not yet ready to destroy itself. Unfortunately, we have failed miserably and tragically to arise to the opportunity." On the contrary, McCarthy strikingly added, "We find ourselves in a position of impotency." ~

By what actions had the United States thrown away greatness? McCarthy blamed not mighty forces without, but traitors within, to whom he assigned an almost magical power to sap the strength of the country. America's putative decline occurred "not because our only powerful potential enemy has sent men to invade our shores, but rather because of the traitorous actions of those who have been treated so well by this nation". And, he raved on in a later speech: "We believe that men high in this government are concerting to deliver us to disaster. This must be the product of a great conspiracy, a conspiracy on a scale so immense as to dwarf any previous such venture in the history of man. A conspiracy of infamy so black that, when it is finally exposed, its principals shall be forever deserving of the maledictions of all honest men."

McCarthy seemed to look at the United States through a kind of double lens. At one moment the nation was a colossus, all-powerful, without peer or rival, at the next moment a midget, cringing in panic, delivered over to its enemies, "impotent". Like the genie in Aladdin's bottle, the United States seemed to be a kind of magical being, first filling the sky, able to grant any wish, but a second later stoppered and helpless in its container. It was to be depended not on any enemy, all of whom could easily be laid low if only America so chose, but on Americans at home, who prevented this unleashing of might. If Americans cowered, it supposedly was mainly before other Americans. Get them out of the way, and the United States could rule the globe.

The right-wing intellectual James Burnham named the destination to which this kind of thinking led. "The reality," he wrote, "is that the only alternative to the communist world empire is an American empire, which will be, if not literally worldwide in formal boundaries, capable of exercising decisive world control."

McCarthy's double vision of the United States must have resonated deeply, for it turned out to have remarkable staying power. Consider, for example, the following statement by the super-hawkish columnist Charles Krauthammer, penned 51 years later, in March 2001 (six months before September 11). Again we hear the King Kong-like chest-beating, even louder than before. For the end of the Cold War, Krauthammer wrote, had made the United States "the dominant power in the world, more dominant than any since Rome". And so, just as McCarthy claimed in 1950, "America is in a position to reshape norms, alter expectations and create new realities."

But again there is a problem. And it is the same one - the enemies within. Thus again comes the cry of frustration, the anxiety that this utopia, to be had for the taking, will melt away like a dream, that the genie will be stuffed back into its bottle. For the "challenge to unipolarity is not from the outside but from the inside. The choice is ours. To impiously paraphrase Benjamin Franklin: “history has given you an empire, if you will keep it." The remedy? "Unapologetic and implacable demonstrations of will".

We find expressions of the same double vision - a kind of anxiety-ridden triumphalism - again and again in iconic phrases uttered in the half-century between McCarthy and Krauthammer. Walt Rostow, chair of the State Department's Policy Planning Council, articulated a version of it in 1964, on the verge of the Lyndon Johnson administration's escalation of the Vietnam War, when he spoke in a memo to secretary of state Dean Rusk of "the real margin of influence ... which flows from the simple fact that at this stage of history, we are the greatest power in the world - if only we behave like it".

Madeleine Albright, then United Nations ambassador, gave voice to a similar frustration when she turned to chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Colin Powell and asked, "What's the point of having this superb military you are always talking about if we can't use it?"

But it was Nixon who gave the double vision its quintessential expression when, in 1970, at the pinnacle of America's involvement in Vietnam, he stated, "If, when the chips are down, the world's most powerful nation, the United States of America, acts like a pitiful, helpless giant, the forces of totalitarianism and anarchy will threaten free nations and free institutions throughout the world."

For Nixon, as for McCarthy and Krauthammer, the principal danger was on the home front. He said on another occasion: "It is not our power, but our will and character that is being tested tonight. The question all Americans must ask and answer tonight is this: does the richest and strongest nation in the history of the world have the character to meet a direct challenge by a group which rejects every effort to win a just peace?" And, even more explicit: "Because let us understand: North Vietnam cannot defeat or humiliate the United States. Only Americans can do that."

The question is how the United States could be a "giant" yet pitiful and helpless, the "richest and strongest" yet unable to have its way, in possession of the most superb military force in history yet unable to use it, the "greatest power the world had ever known" yet at the same time paralysed. Why, if the United States has had no peer in wealth and weaponry, has it for more than a half-century been persistently, incurably complaining of weakness, paralysis, even impotence?

'Losing' country X…
McCarthy, of course, presented the "loss" of China as Exhibit A in his display of the deeds of his gallery of traitors. For example, in the Wheeling speech, he specifically mentioned John Service, of the State Department's China desk, and charged that he "sent official reports back to the State Department urging that ,“we torpedo our ally Chiang Kai-shek and stating, in effect, that communism was the best hope of China".

By such false accusations - including the spurious allegation about the communists in the State Department - did McCarthy transpose the "lost" war in China to the domestic sphere, where the phantom saboteurs of US global hegemony were supposedly at work. Soon, the communist tactic of the purge was adopted by the US government, with the result that many of those most knowledgeable about Asia, such as Service, were driven out of government.

As has often been pointed out, whether the United States "lost China" depends on whether you think the United States ever had it. The question has lasting importance because the alleged loss of one country or another - China, Laos, Vietnam, Chile, Iran, Nicaragua, Iraq - became a leitmotif of US politics, especially at election time. In each of these cases, the United States "possessed" the countries in question (and thus was in a position to "lose" them) only insofar as it somehow laid claim to control the destinies of peoples on a global basis, or, as Fulbright said, an imperial basis.

But if there is one clear lesson that the history of recent empires has taught, it is that modern peoples have both the will and the capacity to reject imperial rule and assert control over their own destinies. Less interested in the contest between East and West than in running their own countries, they yearned for self-determination, and they achieved it. The British and French imperialists were forced to learn this lesson over the course of a century. The Soviet Union took a little longer, and itself collapsed in the process. The United States, determined in the period in question to act in an imperial fashion, has been the dunce in the class, and indeed under the current administration has put forward imperial claims that dwarf those of imperial Britain at its height. It is only because the United States has attempted the impossible abroad that it has had to blame people at home for the failure.

Fortunately, US involvement in China in the 1940s was restricted to aid and advice, and virtually no fighting between Americans and Mao Zedong's forces occurred. Now that the price of the military intervention in Vietnam - a much smaller country - is known, we can only shudder to imagine what intervention in China would have cost. Perhaps one of the few positive things that can be said about the Vietnam disaster is that if the United States was determined to fight a counter-insurgency war, it was better to do it in Vietnam than in China. But even without intervention, the price of China's defection from the US camp was high. The causes of McCarthyism were manifold, but in a very real sense, what the country got instead of war with Mao was the "war" at home that was McCarthyism.

The true causes of the Nationalist government's fall - its own incompetence and corruption, leading to wholesale loss of legitimacy in the eyes of its own people - were expunged from consciousness, and the lurid fantasy of State Department traitors and conspirators was concocted in their place. Then the delusion that Chiang could return from what then was called the island of Formosa (the Portuguese name for Taiwan) to retake China was fostered by the China lobby. Delusion ran wild. Myths were created to take the place of unfaceable truths. The internal conspiracy to destroy the United States, said McCarthy, was supposedly headed by, of all people, president Harry Truman's secretary of state, General George Marshall.

"It was Marshall, with [Dean] Acheson and [John Carter] Vincent eagerly assisting," he said, "who created the China policy which, destroying China, robbed us of a great and friendly ally, a buffer against the Soviet imperialism with which we are now at war." And he added for good measure: "We have declined so precipitously in relation to the Soviet Union in the last six years. How much swifter may be our fall into disaster with Marshall at the helm?"

Impotent omnipotence…
Another event, scarcely more than a month before Mao declared the existence of the People's Republic of China, also fuelled McCarthy's theme of thrown-away greatness. On August 29, 1949, the Soviet Union tested its first atomic bomb - Joe-1, named after Josef Stalin. At once, in an experience strangely parallel to the loss of China from America's sphere of interest, intoxicating dreams of atomic monopoly and the lasting military superiority that was thought to go with it shrivelled up. Not superiority, but stalemate was suddenly the outlook - not dominance but the stasis of the "balance of terror".

The outlines of the new limitations soon took shape in the long, wearying, poorly understood and publicly disliked Korean War, in which America's atomic arsenal, whose use was considered but rejected, was no help. The theme of thwarted US greatness was sounded again, when General Douglas MacArthur, who proposed using atomic weapons in Korea, announced, "There can be no substitute for victory," and was fired by Truman for insubordination.

Meanwhile, a connection with the enemy within was discovered when Soviet spying on the Manhattan Project came to light. Scientists had long known that there could be no "secret" of the bomb - that the relevant science was irretrievably available to all - and that the Soviet Union would be able to build one. The Soviet timetable had indeed been sped up by the spying, but now it seemed to McCarthy and others that the domestic traitors were the prime agents of the sudden, apparent reversal of US fortune. (Truman sought to compensate for the loss of the atomic monopoly with his prompt decision to build the H-bomb.)

The full implications of the ensuing nuclear standoff sank in slowly. As the Soviet Union gradually built up its arsenal, American strategic thinkers and policymakers awakened to some unpleasant discoveries about nuclear arms. The bomb, too, had a distinctly genie-like quality of looking formidable at one instant, but useless the next. Even in the days of US nuclear monopoly, between 1945 and the first Soviet explosion of 1949, nuclear weapons had proved a disappointing military instrument. Stalin had simply declared that nuclear weapons were for scaring people with "weak nerves" and acted accordingly. And once the monopoly was broken, no use of nuclear weapons could be planned without facing the prospect of retaliation.

During the 1950s, president Dwight Eisenhower tried to squeeze what benefit he could out of the United States' lingering numerical nuclear superiority with his "massive retaliation" policy, but its prescription of threatening nuclear annihilation to gain advantage in far-flung local struggles was never quite believable, perhaps even by its practitioners. By the late 1950s a new generation of strategists was awakening to the full dimensions of a central paradox of the nuclear age: possession of nuclear arsenals did not empower but rather paralysed their owners. Former secretary of state Henry Kissinger remarked, "The more powerful the weapons, the greater the reluctance to use them," and fretted about "how our power can give impetus to our policy rather than paralyse it".

Here at the core of the riddle of US power in the nuclear age was the very image of the pitiful, helpless giant, a figure grown weak through the very excess of his strength. But the source of this weakness, which was very real, had nothing to do with any domestic cowards, not to speak of traitors, or any political event; it lay in the revolutionary consequences for all military power of the invention of nuclear arms, even if - with a hint of defensiveness, perhaps - the United States now called itself a "superpower". (The H-bomb was first called "the super".) Here was a barrier to the application of force that no cultivation of "will" could change or overcome.

But the policymakers did not accept the verdict of paralysis without a struggle. Within the precincts of high strategy, the "nuclear priesthood" mounted a sustained, complex intellectual insurrection against this distasteful reality of the nuclear age. Even in the face of the undoubted reality that if the arsenals were used, "mutual assured destruction" would result, they looked for room to manoeuvre. One line of attack was the "counterforce" strategy of targeting the nuclear forces rather than the society of the foe.

The hope was to preserve the possibility of some kind of victory, or at least of relative military advantage, from the general ruin of nuclear war. Another line of attack was advocacy of "limited war", championed by Kissinger and others. The strategists reasoned that although "general war" might be unwinnable, limited war, of the kind just then brewing in Vietnam, could be fought and won. Perhaps not all war between nuclear adversaries had been paralysed. Thus the impotent omnipotence of the nuclear stalemate became one more paradoxical argument, in addition to those drummed into the public mind by McCarthy and his heirs, in favour of US engagement in counter-insurgency struggles. And this time the United States, unprotected by the prudence of a George Marshall, did go to war.

The results are the ones we know. US military might was no more profitable when used against rebellious local populations in limited wars than it was in general, nuclear wars. This time, the lessons were learned, and for a while they stuck: peoples, even of small countries, are powerful within their own borders; they have the means to resist foreign occupation successfully; military force will not lead them to change their minds; the issues are therefore in essence political, and in this contest, foreign invaders are fatally disadvantaged from the outset; if they are not willing to stay forever, they lose.

The decline of power…
By the late 1970s, adverse experience sufficient to illuminate the utterly novel historical situation of the United States in the late 20th century was in hand. Undoubtedly, it had the biggest heap of weapons of any country. Without question, they were the most varied, sophisticated and effective in the world at their job of killing people and blowing things up. The question was what the United States could accomplish with this capacity.

Certainly, if a conventional foe lacking nuclear arms arrayed itself in battle against the United States, it could be handily defeated. That was the mistake that Saddam Hussein made in 1990 when he sent his army out into the Kuwaiti desert, where it was pulverized from the air. But few wars in fact conformed to this conventional pattern any longer.

Of far greater importance was what happened to two kinds of war that had historically been the most important - wars of imperial conquest and general, great-power wars, such as World War I and World War II. During the 20th century the first kind had become hopeless "quagmires", because of the aroused will of local peoples everywhere who, collectively, had put an end to the age of imperialism. The second were made unfightable and unwinnable by the nuclear revolution. It was these two limitations on the usefulness of military force, one acting at the base of the international system, the other at its apex, that delimited the superiority of the superpower. (The paradox of impotent omnipotence was even more pronounced for the other superpower, the Soviet Union, which actually disappeared.)

Very possibly, the United States, with all its resources, would have been the sort of globe-straddling empire that McCarthy wanted it to be had it risen to pre-eminence in an earlier age. It was the peculiar trajectory of the United States, born in opposition to empire, to wind up making its own bid for empire only after the age of imperialism was over. Though it's hard to shed a tear, you might say that there was a certain unfairness in America's timing. All the ingredients of past empires were there - the wealth, the weapons, the power, hard and soft. Only the century was wrong. The United States was not, could not be, and cannot now be a new Rome, much less greater than Rome, because it cannot do what Rome did. It cannot, in a post-imperial age, conquer other countries and lastingly absorb them into a great empire; it cannot, in the nuclear age, not even today, fight and win wars against its chief global rivals, who still, after all, possess nuclear arsenals.

Even tiny, piteous, brutalized, famine-ridden North Korea, more a cult than a country, can deter the United States with its puny putative arsenal. The United States, to be sure, is a great power by any measure, surely the world's greatest, yet that power is hemmed in by obstacles peculiar to our era. The mistake has been not so much to think that the power of the United States is greater than it is as to fail to realize that power itself, whether wielded by the United States or anyone else - if conceived in terms of military force - has been in decline. By imagining otherwise, the United States has become the fool of force - and the fool of history.

In this larger context the repeated constitutional crises of the past half-century assume an altered aspect. The conventional understanding is that an excess of power abroad brings abuses at home. The classic citation is Rome, whose imperial forces, led by Julius Caesar, returning from foreign conquest, crossed the river Rubicon into the homeland and put an end to the republic. (Thus both the proponents of American empire and its detractors can cite Rome.) But that has not been the American story. Rome and would-be Rome are not the same. Empire and the fantasy of empire are not the same.

It is rather the repeatedly failed bid for imperial sway that has corrupted. It was not triumph but loss - of China, of the atomic monopoly, among other developments - that precipitated the McCarthyite assault on liberty at home. It was persistent failure in the Vietnam War, already a decade old and deeply unpopular, that led an embattled, isolated, nearly demented Nixon to draw up his enemies list, illegally spy on his domestic opposition, obstruct justice when his misdeeds became known, ramble drunkenly in the Oval Office about using nuclear weapons, and ultimately mount an assault on the entire constitutional system of checks and balances. And it is today an unpopular Bush, unable either to win the Iraq war or to extricate himself from it, who has launched his absolutist assault on the constitution.

Power corrupts, says the old saw. But is "power" the right word to use in the face of so much failure? The sometimes suggested alternate - that weakness corrupts - seems equally appropriate. In a manner of speaking perhaps both saws are true, for in terms of military might the United States is unrivalled, yet in terms of capacity to get things done with that might, it so often proves weak - even, at times, impotent, as McCarthy said. The pattern is not the old Roman one in which military conquest breeds arrogance and arrogance stokes ambition, which leads to usurpation at home. Rather, in the case of the United States, misunderstanding of its historical moment leads to misbegotten wars; misbegotten wars lead to military disaster; military disaster leads to domestic strife and scapegoating; domestic strife and scapegoating lead to usurpation, which triggers a constitutional crisis. Crises born of strength and success are different from crises born of failure. Fulbright warned of the corruption of imperial ambition and the arrogance of power. But we need also to speak of the corruption of imperial failure, the arrogance of anxiety.

What the true greatness - or true power - of the United States is or can be for the world in our time is an absorbing question in pressing need of an answer. Our very conceptions of greatness and power - military, economic, political, moral - would need searching reconsideration. Those true powers - especially the economic - also have an "imperial" aspect, but that is another debate. An advantage of that debate is that it would be about things that are real. Jettisoning the mirage of military domination of the globe that has addled so many American brains for more than half a century and also shunning the panic-stricken fears of impotence that have accompanied the inevitable frustration of these delusions, the debate would take realistic stock of the nation's very considerable yet limited resources and ask what is being done with them, for good or ill, and what should be done. Perhaps it will still be possible to shoehorn the United States into a stretched definition of "empire", but it would look nothing like Britain or Rome. Or perhaps, as I believe, a United States rededicated to its constitutional traditions and embarked on a cooperative course with other nations would find that it possesses untapped reserves of political power, though it will take time for US prestige to recover from Bush's squandering of it.

Restoring illusion…
Until very recently those authentic questions went substantially unexplored outside scholarly journals, and the US instead busied itself repairing the imperial illusions so rudely dashed by the Vietnam War. Suppressing the lessons of the Chinese revolution had been easy, since the United States had not fought in China. Getting over the lessons of Vietnam took longer. Many segments of US society, none more than the military, had learned them deeply and vowed "never again". (The poignancy of the generals' recent outspoken statement against the conduct of the war in Iraq lies precisely in the officers' chagrin that they did indeed let it happen again.)

The lessons were formulated in military terms in the so-called Powell Doctrine, requiring that before military action proceeded there must be a clear military - not political - objective, that there must be a commitment to the use of overwhelming force and that there must be an "exit strategy". Nevertheless, in other quarters the lessons were named a "Vietnam syndrome", an illness, and other explanations were brought forward. The lessons of Vietnam were not so much forgotten as vigorously suppressed, in the name of restoring the reputation of America's military power.

Ronald Reagan said of the Vietnam military, "They came home without a victory not because they were defeated, but because they were denied a chance to win." After the first Gulf War, then president George H W Bush crowed, "By God, we've kicked the Vietnam syndrome once and for all!" The country was getting ready for the second Iraq war, which violated every tenet of the Powell Doctrine.

A parallel evolution was occurring in the constitutional domain. The lesson most of the US learned from Watergate and the forced resignation of Nixon was that the imperial presidency had grown too strong. (In general, America's imperial-minded presidents have had much more success rolling back freedom at home than extending it abroad.)

Vice President Dick Cheney, who had served as chief of staff for president Gerald Ford, drew an opposite lesson - that the powers others called imperial were in fact the proper ones for the presidency and had been eviscerated by the opposition to Vietnam and the Watergate scandal. As he has put it: "Watergate and a lot of the things around Watergate and Vietnam, both during the 1970s, served, I think, to erode the authority ... the president needs to be effective, especially in the national security area."

Taking the Nixon presidency as a model rather than a cautionary tale, Cheney sees new usurpation as restoration. In doing so, he brings an old theme back in new guise - that US weakness in the world is caused by domestic opponents at home. In his view domestic subversion - this time of executive authority, not misguided imperial ambition - is the country's problem.

Can this pattern be broken? Voices are already being heard advising that the opposition to the Iraq war and the failed vision it embodies should, with the next election in mind, now embrace a generalized new readiness to use force. But that way lies only a new chapter in the sorry history of the pitiful, helpless giant. The needed lesson is exactly the opposite - to learn or relearn, or perhaps we must say re-relearn, the lessons regarding the limitations on the use of force that have been taught and then rejected so many times in recent decades. Only then will they be able to stop repeating themselves and, giving up dreams of imperial grandeur, start saying and doing something new.






Better Now...



Sorry about my little breakdown. It was the article about the rabbis blaming the gay pride march for starting World War III that did it. Coming on top of all the other insanities I've seen today, it was just too much. I started laughing hysterically and literally couldn't stop.

Anyway, I may have to take a blogging break tomorrow -- for work-related as well as emotional reasons. But first I want to post something: a brief situation report, if you will, (Jeez, I'm starting to sound like Dick Cheney) based on a conversation I had with a friend today.

My friend is an old Middle East hand who has some good sources on the Israeli side, mostly ex-military and ex-Mossad, plus some contacts among the Bush I realist crowd -- although of course they're not in government any more either.

He didn't have any secret dope on what the next military or diplomatic moves will be -- it seems to be purely day-to-day now -- but he DID get a clear sense that the Americans and the Israelis both understand now that they are in serious danger of losing the war.

They're freaking out about this, of course, because they're deathly afraid that if Israel is seen to fail, and fail badly, against Hizbullah, everybody and their Palestinian uncle will get it into their heads that they can take a crack at the Zionist entity. (The tough guy realists see this as a disaster in its own right; the "cry and shoot" gang frets the IDF will have to pound the West Bank and Gaza even harder to re-establish the balance of terror. Either way, it's an unacceptable outcome.)

Plan B, then, is to try to "make something happen" on the ground -- although what, exactly, isn't clear. Today it was killing a low-level Hizbullah leader (in a border village they supposedly secured three days ago) and pumping him up as a big catch (shades of Zarqawi's 28,000 "lieutenants".) Tomorrow it will be something else -- maybe the capture of the "terror capital" of south Lebanon, beautiful downtown Bint Jbeil.

But, of course, I'm getting the impression from reading between the lines of the official propaganda that the IDF is struggling just to produce these little symbolic victories -- they seem to be "securing" the same objectives over and over again. So my guess is that the internal debate will now turn to how many more divisions to commit to the battle, how far north to push, etc. My friend can't tell, nor can I, if the primary objective is still to smash the hell out of Hizbullah, or whether the Israelis are just looking to save a little face.

But the Israelis are being squeezed between two relentless pressures. One is the desire to avoid taking too many casualties, and the other is the amount of time left to achieve even their minimal objectives. The less time, the more casualties -- and the more firepower that will be unloaded on Lebanon to try to keep those casualties as low as possible. More firepower means more scenes of civilian death and destruction. (The Arab puppet regimes can see perfectly clearly what's coming, which is probably why they all bailed out today.)

But the end game remains stubbornly unclear. Or rather, what is being put forward as the official end game -- insertion of a force of NATO peacekeepers into the "buffer zone" -- is so outlandish it's hard to believe the Israelis (the ultimate hard-eyed realists) believe it for a second. An ex-Mossad guy actually told my friend the Israelis are hopeful that the EU would provide the troops. The EU!

So I explained to my friend that the EU manages a currency and writes standardized regulations for toaster safety and stuff like that, but it doesn't do peacekeeping. If the Israelis want boots on the ground, they're going to have to go to NATO or directly to the Germans and the Danes and the Poles and the French (yes, the cheese eating surrender monkeys) -- who are about as enthusiastic for the idea as they are for Mad Cow disease. Maybe less so.
Chirac: OK, we'll do it. But only if Jonah Goldberg agrees to kisse my French ass in Macy's window for a month of Sundays.

One possible twist: The Condi might ask the Turks to jump in. This has certain uncomfortable historical overtones (call it the return of the Ottomans) but the Turkish Army is pretty good and might actually be able to handle the job, if anyone can. But one imagines that before the Turks agreed to do any such thing, they would name their price. And if I were the Kurds, I'd be a little nervous about that.

To me the whole thing sounds like cloud cuckoo land. It seems particularly so after today. My conversation with my friend pre-dated the strike on the UN observers, so I don't know if it has changed anybody's thinking. But to me it seems like such an enormous provocation that I almost have to wonder if some military crazies on the Israeli side didn't do it on purpose -- just to foreclose the possibility of anyone or anything getting in the way of a fight to the death with Hizbullah.

I know that sounds paranoid, but then this is the Middle East.

In any case, the chances of a face-saving NATO solution will go from remote to nil unless the IDF can quickly batter Hizbullah to the point where it's willing to agree, or at least tacitly accept, the presence of foreign peacekeepers on its turf. And that's going to require the Israeli Army to move a hell of a lot more quickly than it has up until now, and produce more tangible results than it has shown so far. It could get very bloody.

The one thing nobody -- at least in my friend's circle of sources -- appears to be talking about is expanding the war to Syria and/or Iran. I don't know if that's because that part of the war plan is way too hush hush for my friend to have heard about, or because Syria and Iran truly aren't in play, at least for the moment. Right now I'm not even sure the IDF could take on Hizbullah and Syria, which isn't something I ever thought I would say. And Iran is still very big and very far away.

If all this sounds familiar -- the half-baked war plan, the unexpected setbacks, the frantic search for foreign legions, the lack of an exit strategy, the rising tide of blood -- it certainly should. We've already seen this movie, in fact we're still sitting through the last reel. It's a hell of a time to release the sequel.

Whiskey Bar!

Middle East Violence: Neocons' Fantasy...

The champions of American global empire are using the latest upsurge of violence in the Middle East to give new life to their discredited plan to extend the war in Iraq to Syria and Iran. The neo-con ‘Weekly Standard’ has taken the lead in its July 24th cover issue, proclaiming that the current violence is "Iran's Proxy War" against the West.

As Standard editor William Kristol puts it, "It's our war." America's, that is.

"What's under attack," Kristol argues "is liberal democratic civilization, whose leading representative right now happens to be the United States." The logical conclusion of this "war of civilizations" analysis is Kristol's advice to the Bush Administration: "our focus should be less on Hamas and Hezbollah, and more on their paymasters and real commanders -- Syria and Iran. And our focus should be not only on the regional war in the Middle East, but also on the global struggle against radical Islamism."

Progressives have no sympathy for radical Islamism, if that means those who have systematically denied the rights of women and gays, imprisoned those insisting on human rights and civil liberties, and sponsored campaigns of terror against civilians in Israel, Egypt, Jordan, India, Bali, Spain, England or anyplace else in the world.

But even many who might have forgotten the lesson before the Iraq war today rally around the cry to "Bring the troops home" rather than the neo-con appeal to extend the war into other nations. Most of us have come to the conclusion that violence is not the solution to our problems.

Which is why many of us have been sickened and saddened by the recent escalation of the struggle after Israel decided to use the capture of one of its soldiers by Hamas an excuse to re-enter Gaza and destroy its pathetic infrastructure. This punitive measure left one million of the world's poorest people, living in the world's most densely populated area, without electricity -- i.e., without refrigeration or water -- and can only be construed as an act of collective punishment for the deeds of a small group of people (the elected Hamas government which actually made a public plea for the release of the prisoner, though that did not prevent Israel from moving in and arresting a significant portion of the Hamas elected leadership).

Perhaps seeing the moment as one requiring solidarity, or perhaps instigated by its patrons in Syria and Iran, Hezbollah broke its previous pledge to respect the Israeli border, crossed it, killed a group of Israeli soldiers and captured two. In turn, Israel again resorted to collective punishment, holding much of the Lebanese civilian population responsible, bombing the civilian airport and many other civilian installations, and surprisingly finding that Hezbollah was able to respond with a barrage of missiles which killed and wounded Israelis in several northern cities.

It's ludicrous to try to establish "blame" in the sense of who did what first. Incidents of violence on the part of Palestinians and their allies cannot be separated from the constant violence of the Occupation, the continual kidnapping by the IDF of Palestinian civilians who are held in prison camps without charges or trial for as long as six months, often enduring torture as documented by the Israeli Human Rights Organization B'Tselem.

Nor can the violence of the Occupation be separated from the misguided policies of many Palestinians who have never been willing to unequivocally acknowledge the legitimacy and right of the Jewish people to the same kind of national self-determination in the land of Palestine that Palestinians rightly demand for themselves; nor from the equally misguided fantasy that peace and prosperity will come from violence rather than from the non-violent strategies used by Gandhi, MLK Jr., and Mandela in his later years.

In my books Healing Israel/Palestine (North Atlantic Books, 2003) and The Geneva Accord and Other Strategies for Middle East Peace (North Atlantic Books, 2004) I show that both sides have a legitimate narrative that needs to be heard and recognized by the other side; that neither side will ever prevail through violence, and that each side needs to acknowledge that it has been unreasonably cruel and insensitive to the needs of the other.

Yes, of course it's clear that in the last forty years Israel's had the upper hand and has used its power in an immoral way. But these are peoples with long historical memories, and Israeli partisans are as unlikely to convince Israelis whose families escaped oppression in Arab lands that there was no Arab oppression of Jews as Palestinian partisans are to convince the Palestinians that they never really lived in the homes in Palestine from which they were expelled by the wars from 1947-1967.

Nor are we likely to get to peace by trying to discount the fears of Israelis and Jews who face a stream of violence -- from terrorist attacks to Hamas-launched Qassam rockets to physical assaults on random Jewish people from Paris to Moscow -- than we are to convince Palestinians that Israel is merely being sensibly defensive and exercising its right to protect itself. These kinds of triumphalist narratives must be abandoned.

But they won't be as long as Bush and his advisors in the neo-con camp see in the current violence yet another opportunity to reframe the Middle East struggle as one that will provide ex post facto justification for the war in Iraq and enticement for new militarist adventures to destabilize or overthrow oppressive regimes in Iran and Syria.

Instead progressives need to begin with a new discourse, one that demands from both Israelis and Palestinians -- and their Arab supporters -- that they reject violence and crimes against humanity on all sides (e.g. Hezbollah's current bombing of civilians in Haifa and Tsfat as well as Israel's punishment of whole nations), and realize that their only path to peace is one that starts from a place of atonement for their own sins, and a new spirit of open-hearted generosity toward the other side, recognizing it as the only way that either side will achieve what they want in terms of social justice, peace and security.

But since there are no signs of this happening, in the short run we should be asking the international community to step in, impose a settlement on all sides that includes a return of Israel to its pre-67 borders with minor border changes (as defined in the Geneva Accord of 2003), reparations for Palestinian refugees and for Jews who fled Arab lands from 1948-1967, iron-clad security arrangements enforced by an armed international force on the restored borders, and a Truth and Reconciliation commission that is empowered to expose all acts of human rights violations on both sides -- and to impose punishment accordingly.

While partisans on all sides of this struggle must abandon their fantasy of ultimate justification of their claims, a clear first step is to dismiss the neo-con fantasy of a global war of civilizations, with its accompanying notion that this is the best way to reframe the globalisation of capital and American corporate domination of the world as a path to expand democracy and human rights. That fantasy is dead -- the Iraq invasion and subsequent tragedy has removed it from any level of plausibility. Let's not let the neo-cons use the violence between Israel, Palestine and Lebanon as an excuse to try to revive that which ought to be put to eternal rest.

TR.

Back Again...

Not much posting lately......family issues.

I was trying to figure out what I wanted to write about tonight when I came across this article from unintentionally hilarious Christian news service Agape Press (”You’ll be agape at our ignorance!”)

The article talks about the ACLU’s lawsuit against a West Virginia school that has a portrait of Jay-sus watching over students with His warm, friendly, righteously vengeful eyes. I wonder if it’s the kind of portrait that looks as though it is always watching you? Creepy.

The funniness of the article depends mostly on the heavily anti-ACLU tone (eg: “so-called separation of church and state”). What really caught my eye, though, is the term “pro-family.” What the hell is that? Is anyone here anti-family? Anybody standing in dead-end culdesacs holding signs that say things like, “MOTHER OR MONSTER?” and “NINE OUT OF TEN CANCER PATIENTS COME FROM FAMILIES!”? No? Okay, just checking.

I Googled around and found a site called the Pro-Family Network (do your own damn Googling if you want the link). The site features a lot of red, white, and blue graphics as well as a fuzzy drawing of what appears to be a Hispanic family. A banner announces “Homosexuality: It Doesn’t Have to Last a Lifetime,” apparently selling some sort of treatment program for gay folks. Aha! Now we’re getting somewhere. Pro-family means pro-hispanic families, and also anti-gay. That makes sense, because gay people can’t have families but hispanics can. Well, except for hispanics who are sterile, and the gay people who do have families already, either through adoption, insemination, or other means.

The front page of the site also boasts a big headline: “GAMBLING? IN OHIO? Not if PFN has anything to say about it! This also makes sense, because most gamblers don’t have familes, unless they are straight and hispanic.

The site also indicates they are (surprise!) against abortion. I suppose this means that not only are they pro-family, but they’re pro-families living in poverty having babies they don’t want. So we’re up to pro-hispanic straight nongamblers who live in poverty and/or hate one another.

I’d like to go on, but I’ve lost the will to live. Actually, I’m just outrageously tired and every time I blink, ten minutes pass. I’ll just wrap up this entry by spelling out the moral for you: Jesus has eyes that follow you wherever you go, and he knows when you try to call the ACLU so don’t even try it. Also: you may have thought you were pro-family, but you were wrong and creepy Jesus with his eyes — oh the eyes! — will punish you accordingly.

TR.

Let's Not Forget:…

Bush Planned Iraq 'Regime Change' Before Becoming President

By Neil Mackay
15 September 2005:

A SECRET blueprint for US global domination reveals that President Bush and his cabinet were planning a premeditated attack on Iraq to secure 'regime change' even before he took power in January 2001.

The blueprint, uncovered by the Sunday Herald, for the creation of a 'global Pax Americana' was drawn up for Dick Cheney (now vice- president), Donald Rumsfeld (defence secretary), Paul Wolfowitz (Rumsfeld's deputy), George W Bush's younger brother Jeb and Lewis Libby (Cheney's chief of staff). The document, entitled Rebuilding America's Defences: Strategies, Forces And Resources For A New Century, was written in September 2000 by the neo-conservative think-tank Project for the New American Century (PNAC).

The plan shows Bush's cabinet intended to take military control of the Gulf region whether or not Saddam Hussein was in power. It says: 'The United States has for decades sought to play a more permanent role in Gulf regional security. While the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein.'

The PNAC document supports a 'blueprint for maintaining global US pre-eminence, precluding the rise of a great power rival, and shaping the international security order in line with American principles and interests'.

This 'American grand strategy' must be advanced for 'as far into the future as possible', the report says. It also calls for the US to 'fight and decisively win multiple, simultaneous major theatre wars' as a 'core mission'.

The report describes American armed forces abroad as 'the cavalry on the new American frontier'. The PNAC blueprint supports an earlier document written by Wolfowitz and Libby that said the US must 'discourage advanced industrial nations from challenging our leadership or even aspiring to a larger regional or global role'.

The PNAC report also:

l refers to key allies such as the UK as 'the most effective and efficient means of exercising American global leadership';

l describes peace-keeping missions as 'demanding American political leadership rather than that of the United Nations';

l reveals worries in the administration that Europe could rival the USA;

l says 'even should Saddam pass from the scene' bases in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will remain permanently -- despite domestic opposition in the Gulf regimes to the stationing of US troops -- as 'Iran may well prove as large a threat to US interests as Iraq has';

l spotlights China for 'regime change' saying 'it is time to increase the presence of American forces in southeast Asia'. This, it says, may lead to 'American and allied power providing the spur to the process of democratisation in China';

l calls for the creation of 'US Space Forces', to dominate space, and the total control of cyberspace to prevent 'enemies' using the internet against the US;

l hints that, despite threatening war against Iraq for developing weapons of mass destruction, the US may consider developing biological weapons -- which the nation has banned -- in decades to come. It says: 'New methods of attack -- electronic, 'non-lethal', biological -- will be more widely available ... combat likely will take place in new dimensions, in space, cyberspace, and perhaps the world of microbes ... advanced forms of biological warfare that can 'target' specific genotypes may transform biological warfare from the realm of terror to a politically useful tool';

l and pinpoints North Korea, Libya, Syria and Iran as dangerous regimes and says their existence justifies the creation of a 'world-wide command-and-control system'.

Tam Dalyell, the Labour MP, father of the House of Commons and one of the leading rebel voices against war with Iraq, said: 'This is garbage from right-wing think-tanks stuffed with chicken-hawks -- men who have never seen the horror of war but are in love with the idea of war. Men like Cheney, who were draft-dodgers in the Vietnam war.

'This is a blueprint for US world domination -- a new world order of their making. These are the thought processes of fantasist Americans who want to control the world. I am appalled that a British Labour Prime Minister should have got into bed with a crew which has this moral standing.'

TR.

The Media's Blood...

“It was premeditated slaughter in every sense of the word. The Marines came in and they killed everyone inside.”

--Khalid Ahmed Rsayef; Haditha eyewitness

Western media is the bullhorn for the political establishment. Its message is crafted to reflect the objectives of elites and defend the interests of ownership. The recent coverage of the massacre in Haditha hasn’t changed the media’s essential purpose at all. It’s still a fully-vested partner in the corporate-state power structure.

The reporting on Haditha has been surprisingly thorough. The major American newspapers have run several articles covering the incident in great detail. The mainstream media still attracts some of the brightest, most talented writers in the country. What a pity their talent is wasted promoting an immoral and tragic war which has led us to the brink of disaster.

We don’t know why the media giants have veered from their traditional cheerleading and focused on the atrocities at Haditha. There have been scores of similar incidents reported on the internet over the past 3 years. What makes Haditha so special? .

It’s doubtful that the media executives are suddenly bothered by “pangs of remorse” about the suffering they have helped to create. More likely, the unexpected attention to Haditha indicates the growing divisions among American elites about Bush’s alarming mismanagement of the war. If the occupation had gone smoothly, there’d be no recriminations or talk of massacres. Americans like a winner, and are prepared to overlook the criminal indiscretions of their leaders if they’re victorious.

Haditha is characterized as an anomaly that diverges from the norm of military conduct. But, that is not what the Iraqis say. Even the newly-appointed Iraqi Prime Minister al-Maliki admits that such killings are a “daily occurrence” and that American soldiers routinely “crush Iraqis with their vehicles and kill them on suspicion”. In fact, it is impossible to exterminate 100,000 civilians without leaving behind a conspicuous trail of war crimes. Haditha is the inevitable upshot of military invasion and occupation; it fits into the familiar pattern of serial-killing that is listed under the rubric of “pacification”.

Stories, like Haditha, rarely find their way into the evening news. That would interrupt the optimistic flow of jingoism and cheery predictions that dominate the mainstream storyline. No one in the media would be brazen enough to suggest that the war was entirely motivated by self-interest, or that, the calls for “democratisation” and “liberation” are merely intended to divert the public’s attention from the daily record of slaughter. That would be a career-ending move, for sure.

The basic function of the media never changes. It’s a top-down corporate institution designed to provide a business-friendly world view and enhance the profits of its investors. They’re paid to transform a vicious colonial war into a “noble cause” and defend the indiscriminate killing of civilians as the highest expression of patriotism. Haditha is the logical extension of that system.

Voltaire said, “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities”. Haditha proves that Voltaire was right. He wisely anticipated the role of media in the modern era. It is the pitch-man for atrocities that are thinly-veiled as acts of self-sacrifice and humanity. Voltaire never could have imagined that the cynical manipulation of perceptions could have evolved into an entire industry. In fact, media is more like an army than an industry; a band of mercenaries who are used to carry out information-warfare against their own people.

The media campaign has been the most successful part of the Iraq war. News programs have faithfully delivered the same storyline from every soapbox in America, crowding out opposing points of view. The synchronization and uniformity of the message has left no doubt that the corporate propaganda-system is vastly superior to any other. The “profit-motive” creates the best possible incentive for manipulating the public mind and corrupting democracy. The media has become a more valuable asset to the Defence Department than an Abrams Tank or a laser-guided missile. It is the one truly indispensable weapon in the Pentagon’s arsenal.

The reporting on Haditha hasn’t damaged the Pentagon-media alliance. Iraq has produced thousands of Hadithas all of which will remain ignored or concealed by the media.

Where are the photos of Falluja?

2 years have passed since Rumsfeld flattened the city in a vindictive act of rage, and the media still hasn’t provided even one picture of the devastation. How is it that people fail to grasp this obvious sign of collaboration between the media and the Pentagon warlords?

The media knew of Haditha months before it appeared in Time magazine. They chose to ignore it rather than expose Bush’s blood-sport to the world.

Eventually, we will have to seriously address the media’s culpability in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Iraqi non-combatants. Conspiracy to facilitate mass murder is not protected under the 1st amendment any more than shouting “fire” in a crowded building. The media played a crucial role in deliberately misleading the country into a war of aggression and, subsequently, aiding and abetting the vast incidents of war crimes. For that they will have to be held accountable.

The persistent slaughter in Iraq is not just the work of right wing fanatics and neocons, but of the information-managers who pumped their lies through the public air-waves and made the war a fati accompli. They’ve played a central role in decimating Iraqi society and putting America on the fast-track to ruin.

The bloody footprints from Haditha lead straight to the corporate headquarters at Time Warner and FOX News. They are every bit as guilty as anyone who served in Kilo Company.

TR.
January 2010
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