Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12
Sunday, 7. June 2009, 21:27:19
31st May @ 03:22 just ended.
this one the 7th June @ 18:12 has just started and wiil end
15th June or thereabout, with the phase @ 22:15
Now the thing is if there was a strong positive in the North Atlantic there would be a hurricane in it for this phase. With the oscillation positive in the North Pacific there is more likely going to be convergence in that ocean. Maybe off Mexico.
Maybe more strong earthquakes near the Isthmus of Panama.
I don't know if it is going to be a positive or negative oscillation here but at least the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have realised these things can be set up in a matter of days:
http://news.softpedia.com/news/El-Nino-Could-Form-in-7-Days-113540.shtml
The last spell should have been thundery but the thing turned into a real sunny one at first, going downhill on Saturday as the next spell came along.
So here we are once again with a pattern that should be cool, dull, overcast and not particularly wet.
It has rained continually, isn't that cold and has been completely overcast. And the spell has hardly started yet. This could be fun.
WIDGETIZE
Weatherlawyer # 7. June 2009, 21:44
Looks pretty negative in the North Atlantic to me with low Highs and high Lows:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxsem.html
That's a seismic convergence then IIRC.
Weatherlawyer # 8. June 2009, 18:52
This one is from the The Meteorological Service of Canada:
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_100.gif
The outline is a little vague for this Canadian Analysis of the Northern Hemisphere. Once you get the hang of it and how to get the picture enlarged, you can see an amazing amount of detail.
This particular charts shows that both the North Atlantic and the North pacific are decidedly lax at the moment and thus there will be no hurricanes this spell.
Or not as the case may be.
Anyway, the point I would hazard a tail on is the negative anomalies in the North Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. And the importance of this is that with a double negative we get underground bonaventure. God being in the detail.
Weatherlawyer # 8. June 2009, 19:54
http://www.aol.com.au/news/story/Tornado-in-Italy-rips-off-roofs-20-injured/2112331/index.html
Weatherlawyer # 11. June 2009, 06:41
Knocked Back.
A phase at midday or midnight indicates a misty cool spell of clam weather with any winds coming from the north or east.
This is true too for times at 6 o'clock.
The pressure system is stalled with Lows and Highs in almost equal number surrounding Britain and the overall pressure something like 1016 millibars.
Going back one hour to 11 o'clock (or 5) the weather in Britain tends to be fine. Cold nights and sunny days with little cloud.
Back another hour and the weather tends to be unsettled with ridges or troughs (spurs from High or Low pressure areas) intruding.
Those spells are likely to bring volcanic activity earth wide. Which in turn aught to mean that the pressure in the North Atlantic at least (I can't really comment on the North Pacific) should be slack. That is, the Low pressure areas not very low and the Highs not very high.
With lunar phases at around 9 or 3 o'clock there should be a lot of thunder about Britain. (Not that much as other countries go but for us any thunderstorm is to be savoured.)
8 and 2 o'clock phases should bring tornadoes to the US Midwest. (Actually it should bring a series of nation wide storms there starting in the NW and moving to the east in summer further south in winter.)
In Britain we tend to get ridges and troughs again but the clouds betraying the weather are more like the ones associated with derecho winds in North America; long cylindrical striations usually stretching from hill to hill often crossing the horizon.
And with the phases at 1 o'clock and at 7 o'clock we get weather from the Atlantic proper. Driving rain and windy stuff. Lots of it.
OK. That was the easy bit.
Now let's look at the permutations.
Weatherlawyer # 11. June 2009, 07:18
This means that the weather was more like
Only we had thunder too. So the spell was as if the phase was knocked back several hours. Along with a negative anomaly in the North Atlantic (North Pacific too) which indicates it was knocked back ... which ...how many...
errrmm....
I should have paid more attention to the weather. It rained not too heavily and was warm most of the start of this spell not all that far removed from the code. Except for the rain and the warm and...well, at least it was overcast.
Which is why I couldn't see the striations.
Yesterday was heavy rain all day and thundery in the afternoon. Not much wind if any. Pleasantly mild. So that was definitely three hours backwards.
That's the equivalent of a hurricane of F3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Nothing reported but a lot of tornadic activity in the US:[quot= BND.com]The tornado that touched down Monday west of O'Fallon cut a 10-mile-long path and ended just south of Mascoutah, damaging 100 buildings and causing $1 million damage, St. Clair County Emergency Management Agency estimates.
No injuries were reported.
Of the 100 buildings damaged, 85 are in O'Fallon and Shiloh, and 15 are in Mascoutah, the agency estimates.
http://www.bnd.com/news/local/story/801997.html
Quite a nasty spell from earlier on in the month on here by the look of it:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/090610_rpts.html
I'll post a sequence to my photo albums when I have more time.
The spell looks to have contained the equivalet of a severe cyclone at sea. Over the threshold for hurricanes maybe an SF 3. Certainly an SF 2.
Weatherlawyer # 12. June 2009, 07:43
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/090527_rpts.html
The largest earthquake intensities since the 6th June were a 5.5 in Fiji on the 7th and a 5.9 M. in Chili on the 10th. Things should get really interesting for about the 15th.
A volcanic spell in the middle of a wet run, with a strong likelihood of a continuing negative in the North Atlantic and maybe the Pacific too.