My OperaWILL KATIA TAKE A SWIM OR ARE YOU SWIMMING ???
Friday, September 2, 2011 3:53:11 PM
NEW: STORM TOUR 3 STORM CHASE PHOTOS
Next 6z Update: NAM 3:30a | GFS 5a | GGEM 6a | UKMET 7a | Euro 8a
Next 12z Update: NAM 9:30a | GFS 11a | GGEM 12p | UKMET 1p | Euro 2p
Next 18z Update: NAM 3:30p | GFS 5p | GGEM 6p | UKMET 7p | Euro 8p
TODAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND VERY WARM LO: 67 HI: 82
SATURDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND RATHER HOT WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LO: 69 HI: 84
SUNDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND RATHER HOT WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LO: 74 HI: 87
MONDAY: CLOUDY BUT VERY WARM WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LO: 69 HI: 84
TUESDAY: CLOUDY BUT VERY WARM WITH LOTS OF RAIN LO: 64 HI: 79
WEDNESDAY: CLOUDY BUT VERY WARM WITH MORE RAIN ... THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES LO: 62 HI: 73
THURSDAY: CLOUDY BUT VERY WARM WITH A FEW LINGERING AREAS OF LIGHT RAINFALL LO: 64 HI: 79
FRIDAY: CLOUDY BUT VERY WARM WITH A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 67 HI: 82
SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT RATHER HOT WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 64 HI: 83
SUNDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT MUCH COOLER WITH A FEW MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 62 HI: 80
*****************************************************************************************************************************
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND MUCH WARMER WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 72 HI: 82
FRIDAY: CLOUDY BUT COOLER WITH RAIN AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ... TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME LO: 68 HI: 78
SATURDAY: CLOUDY BUT STILL RATHER WARM WITH MORE LIGHT RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LO: 66 HI: 76
SUNDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT MUCH WARMER WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 69 HI: 79
"WEATHER OR NOT"
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
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2011 WEATHERGEEK.NET FANTASY WEATHER - BALTIMORE MARYLAND WEEK 7:
FORECASTER JOSHUA KELLY: SCORE WAS 15 POINTS (WIN)
FORECASTER BRIAN SCHLEY: SCORE WAS 10 POINTS (LOSS)
WEATHERTALK 2011 WINTER SEASON SNOW BETS:
1) 3.0 INCHES OR GREATER AT BWI WHEN 4.0 INCHES WAS REPORTED - BET $5.00 FOR A WIN ON 01/20/11
2) 6.0 INCHES OR GREATER AT BWI FOR A STORM TOTAL WHEN 7.9 INCHES WERE REPORTED - BET $10.00 FOR A WIN ON 01/26/11
3) 5.0 INCHES OR GREATER AT BWI FOR A STORM TOTAL WHEN NO FINAL REPORT WAS ISSUED FROM BWI BUT TV HILL DID REPORT 5.5 INCHES - BET $5.00 FOR A LOSS ON 02/10/11
4) THE HIGH TEMP AT BWI WILL BE 43°F OR COLDER WHEN 47°F VERIFIED - BET $5.00 FOR A LOSS ON 02/16/11
5) A BET WAS MADE FOR THE TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE REST OF THE SEASON AT BWI TO BE 3.0 INCHES OR GREATER BETWEEN MIDNIGHT ON 03/14/11 AND MIDNIGHT ON 04/01/11 BUT BWI ONLY RECORDED A TRACE OF SNOW ON 03/31/11 - THIS BET WAS A $5.00 LOSS ON 04/01/11
ECMWF (EUROPEAN) FORECAST MODEL:
Always Check The Time And Date Of Each Product, Remember To Hit Refresh For The Latest Run
ECMWF: Courtesy of College of Du Page):12Z RUN
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -200mb Wind Speed
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -500mb Heights, Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -700mb Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -850mb Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -850mb Temperature, Surface MSLP
-
ECMWF: Courtesy of College of Du Page):00Z RUN
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -200mb Wind Speed
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -500mb Heights, Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -700mb Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -850mb Winds
-00 -24 -48 -72 -96 -120 -144 -168 -Loop -850mb Temperature, Surface MSLP -
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 2, 2011 4:05:27 PM
WTNT33 KNHC 021456
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011
...DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST...
RAINBANDS MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 91.5W
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H.
A CONTINUED SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. WINDS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE BEING REPORTED ON OIL RIGS NORTH AND
EAST OF THE CENTER AT ELEVATIONS OF A FEW HUNDRED FEET.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM NEARBY
OIL RIGS AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1005
MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING...MAKING OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 2, 2011 4:06:06 PM
WTNT32 KNHC 021457
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 02 2011
...KATIA REGAINS HURRICANE STATUS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 52.4W
ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.4 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H AND A MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER RATE OF
SPEED IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155
MILES...250 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE LESSER
ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Saturday, September 3, 2011 3:07:16 AM
WTNT33 KNHC 022347
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011
...TROPICAL STORM LEE INCHING NORTHWARD...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 91.6W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST. LEE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY
ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA DURING THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. AN ELEVATED
COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING STATION AT SOUTHWEST PASS LOUISIANA
RECENTLY MEASURED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 48 MPH WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH.
A WIND GUST TO 38 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN BOOTHVILLE
LOUISIANA.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM NEARBY
OIL RIGS IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE EAST OF THE WARNING AREA OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA
AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE RESULTING IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
WITHIN THESE AREAS. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Saturday, September 3, 2011 3:08:02 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 022050
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 PM AST FRI SEP 02 2011
...KATIA MOVING OVER OPEN ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH 75 MPH WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 53.5W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST. KATIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE OF SPEED IS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE LESSER
ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Saturday, September 3, 2011 3:12:55 AM
SATURDAY...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY.
* TIDAL ANOMALY...AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTION.
* TIMING...THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE.
* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION ALONG SENSITIVE AREAS
OF THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND UPPER TIDAL
POTOMAC RIVER...ESPECIALLY ANNAPOLIS...ALEXANDRIA...AND THE
WASHINGTON CHANNEL IN SOUTHWEST DC.
HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
FOR LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
HAVRE DE GRACE...2:27 AM...
BOWLEY BAR...12:06 AM...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...11:14 PM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...9:44 PM...
CHESAPEAKE BEACH...8:27 PM...
ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER...
WASHINGTON CHANNEL...12:13 AM...
ALEXANDRIA...12:31 AM...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Sunday, September 4, 2011 4:31:15 PM
WTNT33 KNHC 041450
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011
...LEE DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 91.9W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. LEE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
MOVE SLOWLY OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...
445 KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS...A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...
72 KM/H AND A GUST TO 49 MPH...79 KM/H. NUMEROUS OFFSHORE OIL RIGS
ALSO CONTINUE TO REPORT SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS A FEW
HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER.
A STORM SURGE VALUE OF MORE THAN 4 FEET RECENTLY OCCURRED JUST SOUTH
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AT AMERADA PASS.
RECENT REPORTS FROM OIL RIGS AND COASTAL MONITORING STATIONS
INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA COAST. WATER
LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ARE OCCURRING
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Sunday, September 4, 2011 4:32:06 PM
WTNT32 KNHC 041452
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 04 2011
...KATIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 59.2W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...KATIA WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND KATIA COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE BY MONDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
175 MILES...280 KM. NOAA BUOY 41044 LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF KATIA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 90 MPH...144
KM/H AND A GUST TO 107 MPH...173 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON RECENT PRESSURE
REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 41044 IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE PRIMARILY AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT OR
MONDAY. SWELLS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Monday, September 5, 2011 3:53:53 PM
WTNT32 KNHC 051446
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST MON SEP 05 2011
...KATIA STRENGTHENS AND DEVELOPS A LARGE EYE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 63.3W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST. KATIA
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND KATIA COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...THE GREATER
ANTILLES...AND EAST-FACING BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. SWELLS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Monday, September 5, 2011 3:57:18 PM
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...ANNE
ARUNDEL...CALVERT...CARROLL...CHARLES...FREDERICK MD...
HARFORD...HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE
GEORGES...SOUTHERN BALTIMORE AND ST. MARYS. THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA. IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...ARLINGTON/FALLS
CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...FAIRFAX...LOUDOUN...NORTHERN FAUQUIER AND
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK.
* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
* TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LEE WILL INTERACT WITH A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS. WITH GROUND SATURATED AND CREEKS AND
STREAMS RUNNING HIGH DUE TO LAST WEEKS RAINFALL FROM IRENE...
FLASH FLOODING MAY RESULT.
* VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS...
AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN URBAN AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Tuesday, September 6, 2011 4:21:02 AM
TUESDAY...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY.
* TIDAL ANOMALY...ANOMALIES BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FT ABOVE
ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTION
* TIMING...OVERNIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE
* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION ALONG SENSITIVE
AREAS OF THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND UPPER
TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...ESPECIALLY ANNAPOLIS...ALEXANDRIA...AND
THE WASHINGTON CHANNEL IN SOUTHWEST DC
HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES
FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
HAVRE DE GRACE...5:37 AM AND 5:28 PM...
BOWLEY BAR...3:15 AM AND 3:06 PM...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...2:24 AM AND 2:15 PM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...12:54 AM AND 12:45 PM...
CHESAPEAKE BEACH...11:37 PM AND 11:28 AM...
SOLOMONS ISLAND...9:46 PM AND 9:37 AM...
POINT LOOKOUT...8:47 AM AND 10:02 PM...
NOW ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER...
WASHINGTON CHANNEL...3:22 AM AND 4:04 PM...
ALEXANDRIA...3:40 AM AND 4:22 PM...
INDIAN HEAD...3:08 AM AND 3:50 PM...
AQUIA CREEK...1:54 AM AND 2:36 PM...
GOOSE BAY...11:14 PM AND 11:56 AM...
COLTONS POINT...10:04 PM AND 10:46 AM...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Tuesday, September 6, 2011 4:21:36 AM
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND VIRGINIA...
* THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
* MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE
WILL INTERACT WITH A SLOW MOVING FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS. WITH THE GROUND
SATURATED AND CREEKS AND STREAMS RUNNING HIGH DUE TO LAST WEEKS
RAIN FROM IRENE...FLASH FLOODING MAY RESULT.
* VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS...
AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN URBAN AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Tuesday, September 6, 2011 4:22:22 AM
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...
HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...
CENTRAL BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
NORTHWESTERN BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
* UNTIL 215 AM EDT
* AT 1012 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING FROM
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PIKESVILLE TO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS ACTIVITY IS
TRAINING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE COCKEYSVILLE...COLUMBIA...ELDERSBURG...ELLICOTT CITY...
GAMBER...LOCHEARN...MILFORD MILL...OAKLAND...OWINGS MILLS...
PIKESVILLE...RANDALLSTOWN...REISTERSTOWN...SYKESVILLE...TIMONIUM...
TOWSON...WOODLAWN...FALLSTAFF...HOMELAND...HOWARD PARK AND ROLAND
PARK.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE FALLEN TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Tuesday, September 6, 2011 4:22:52 AM
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...
HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...
CENTRAL BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
NORTHWESTERN BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
* UNTIL 215 AM EDT
* AT 1012 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING FROM
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PIKESVILLE TO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS ACTIVITY IS
TRAINING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE COCKEYSVILLE...COLUMBIA...ELDERSBURG...ELLICOTT CITY...
GAMBER...LOCHEARN...MILFORD MILL...OAKLAND...OWINGS MILLS...
PIKESVILLE...RANDALLSTOWN...REISTERSTOWN...SYKESVILLE...TIMONIUM...
TOWSON...WOODLAWN...FALLSTAFF...HOMELAND...HOWARD PARK AND ROLAND
PARK.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE FALLEN TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Tuesday, September 6, 2011 4:23:39 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 060234
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST MON SEP 05 2011
...KATIA BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE THE MAIN HAZARD ALONG U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 64.4W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.4 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB...27.94 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...THE GREATER
ANTILLES...AND EAST-FACING BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. SWELLS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 7, 2011 4:08:39 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 070236
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 06 2011
...KATIA EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 67.2W
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.2 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF KATIA IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE BETWEEN THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...THE GREATER
ANTILLES...AND EAST-FACING BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY.
RAINFALL...KATIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 7, 2011 4:09:22 AM
WTNT34 KNHC 070240
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 06 2011
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 38.1W
ABOUT 995 MI...1600 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1580 MI...2540 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.1 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 7, 2011 4:12:30 AM
AFTERNOON...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS...NORTH-CENTRAL
AND LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA.
* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH A WARM
FRONT...PRODUCING HEAVY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5
INCHES POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN MAY
CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
* VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS...
AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN URBAN AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 7, 2011 4:13:54 AM
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
* TIDAL ANOMALY...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTIONS.
* TIMING...NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.
* EXPECTED IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING ALONG
THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC
RIVER...ESPECIALLY ANNAPOLIS...ALEXANDRIA...WASHINGTON HARBOUR
AND WASHINGTON CHANNEL IN DC.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 7, 2011 8:24:30 PM
BALTIMORE CITY AND CENTRAL BALTIMORE COUNTIES...
AT 316 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ONLY LIGHT RAIN REMAINING OVER BALTIMORE CITY AND CENTRAL BALTIMORE
COUNTY. HOWEVER...STREAMS CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY RISE FROM RAINFALL
EARLIER OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES. IT IS ALSO IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE
HEAVIEST RAIN OCCURRED IN NORTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTY. MANY OF THE
ELEVATED STREAMS THIS RAIN CAUSED FLOW INTO BALTIMORE CITY...SO JUST
BECAUSE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS OVER DOES NOT MEAN THE FLOOD THREAT HAS
LESSENED. BE ALERT FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS
DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR...EVEN IN PLACES THAT ARE NOT FLOODED
NOW.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ROSEDALE...
WOODRING...ROLAND PARK...MORGAN STATE UNIVERSITY...HOWARD PARK...
HOMELAND...GUILFORD...FALLSTAFF...TOWSON...TIMONIUM...ROSSVILLE...
PIKESVILLE...PARKVILLE...COCKEYSVILLE AND CARNEY
DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Thursday, September 8, 2011 3:23:12 AM
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...
PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...
NORTHWESTERN CALVERT COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND...
SOUTHEASTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...
EASTERN CHARLES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND...
NORTHWESTERN ST. MARYS COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND...
* UNTIL 430 AM EDT THURSDAY
* AT 1022 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
BOWIE TO WICOMICO RIVER...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. FLASH FLOODING
WILL RESULT FROM THIS ACTIVITY.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN INCLUDE
ANDREWS AFB...ANNAPOLIS...ARNOLD...BOWIE...CAMP SPRINGS...
CLINTON...CROFTON...DUNKIRK...FORESTVILLE...GALESVILLE...GIBSON
ISLAND...GOLDEN BEACH...GREEN HAVEN...KETTERING...LA PLATA...LAKE
SHORE...LARGO...LONDONTOWNE...MARLTON...MAYO...MILLERSVILLE...
MITCHELLVILLE...ODENTON...PAROLE...PASADENA...SEVERNA PARK...SHADY
SIDE...ST. CHARLES...UPPER MARLBORO...WALDORF...WOODMORE...BODKIN
POINT...FORT SMALLWOOD STATE PARK...HALLOWING POINT...PINEHURST...
PORT TOBACCO RIVER...RHODE RIVER...RIVERIA BEACH...SEVERN RIVER...
SILLERY BAY...SOUTH RIVER...SWAN POINT AND WICOMICO RIVER.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Thursday, September 8, 2011 3:24:15 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 080253
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST WED SEP 07 2011
...KATIA TURNING NORTHWARD BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 70.0W
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THE
HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTH BY THURSDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF KATIA WILL MOVE BETWEEN THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM. A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH OF THE
CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 67 MPH WITH A GUST TO
83 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...AND EAST-FACING
BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY.
RAINFALL...KATIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Thursday, September 8, 2011 3:25:29 AM
WTNT35 KNHC 080250
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2011
...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE POSITION OR INTENSITY OF NATE DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 92.5W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD
DRIFT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND COULD CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY.
RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Thursday, September 8, 2011 3:26:39 AM
WTNT34 KNHC 080307
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 PM AST WED SEP 07 2011
...MARIA RACING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 46.2W
ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS
IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS RAPID MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT
TIME...A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
MARIA WOULD APPROACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO REACH
MARIA LATE THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41041 LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER
RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H...AND A
WIND GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/H.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 4:15:06 AM
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...VIRGINIA AND
NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
MARYLAND...ANNE ARUNDEL...CARROLL...FREDERICK MD...HARFORD...
HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE GEORGES...
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON. THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA.
IN VIRGINIA...ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...CLARKE...
FAIRFAX...LOUDOUN...NORTHERN FAUQUIER...PRINCE
WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK...SOUTHERN FAUQUIER AND
STAFFORD. IN NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...BERKELEY...JEFFERSON
AND MORGAN.
* UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY
* SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED...WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.
* VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS...
AS WELL AS FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 4:16:00 AM
WTNT34 KNHC 090256
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...CENTER OF MARIA STILL MOVING WESTWARD...NEW TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 54.6W
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD APPROACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON
FRIDAY... MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY
NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON
SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41040 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE
WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
BY LATE FRIDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA LATE FRIDAY...SATURDAY...
AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 4:16:40 AM
WTNT35 KNHC 090245
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011
...NATE CAUSING HEAVY RAINS AND HIGH WINDS ON THE COAST OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 92.2W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST. NATE IS
STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A SLOW
NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NATE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...WITH
FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM PEMEX OIL RIGS IS 994
MB...29.35 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 4:17:13 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 090242
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...KATIA ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 68.8W
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM NW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST ACCOMPANIED BY A SHARP INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATIA IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...AND ONLY
SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THAT. KATIA IS EXPECTED TO
TRANSITION INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM SYSTEM BY SATURDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES...370 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 5:10:49 PM
EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...ANNE
ARUNDEL...CARROLL...FREDERICK MD...HARFORD...HOWARD...
MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE GEORGES AND SOUTHERN
BALTIMORE. THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...FAIRFAX...LOUDOUN AND
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK.
* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
* MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. WITH THE
GROUND ALREADY VERY SATURATED...THESE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE ENOUGH TO PROMOTE FLOODING.
* HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS... AS
WELL AS FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 5:11:39 PM
WTNT32 KNHC 091434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011
...KATIA MOVING OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA
AND NOVA SCOTIA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 65.8W
ABOUT 485 MI...785 KM N OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND KATIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
SATURDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...410 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 5:12:10 PM
WTNT35 KNHC 091433
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011
...NATE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FROM
TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO
TO VERACRUZ.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF
MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY
EARLY SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 5:14:58 PM
WTNT34 KNHC 091446
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011
...MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 57.5W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LESSER
ANTILLES EARLY TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 9, 2011 5:16:43 PM
EVENING...
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.
* TIDAL ANOMALY...1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTIONS.
* TIMING...NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR INUNDATION ALONG THE WESTERN
SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.
HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES
FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
HAVRE DE GRACE...8:34 PM...
BOWLEY BAR...6:12 PM...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...5:21 PM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...3:51 PM...
NOW ALONG THE MIDDLE POTOMAC RIVER...
INDIAN HEAD...6:42 PM...
AQUIA CREEK...5:28 PM...
GOOSE BAY...2:48 PM...
COLTONS POINT...1:38 PM...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 14, 2011 2:47:29 PM
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT.
* TIDAL ANOMALY...AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTION
* TIMING...DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS EVENING
* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS
HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
BOWLEY BAR...9:53 PM...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...9:02 PM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...7:32 PM...
NOW ALONG THE UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...
WASHINGTON CHANNEL...10:16 PM...
ALEXANDRIA...10:34 PM...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, September 14, 2011 6:36:13 PM
WTNT34 KNHC 141733
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
200 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
...LITTLE CHANGE WITH MARIA...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 69.6W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H AND
A GUST OF 51 MPH...83 KM/H.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 23, 2011 3:27:49 PM
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...ANNE ARUNDEL...
CALVERT...CARROLL...CHARLES...FREDERICK MD...HARFORD...
HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE GEORGES...
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE AND ST. MARYS. THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. IN
VIRGINIA...ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...FAIRFAX...KING
GEORGE...LOUDOUN...PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK AND
STAFFORD.
* THROUGH THIS EVENING
* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER FOUR INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
IN BANDS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL BE NEAR AND EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR.
* RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 2 INCHES IN 3 HOURS LIKELY WOULD BE
ENOUGH TO TRIGGER FLASH FLOODING.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 23, 2011 3:31:57 PM
WTNT31 KNHC 231454
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
...OPHELIA CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES QUICKLY WESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 52.6W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
=
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST
AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
OPHELIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR OVER THE
=
WEEKEND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...
415 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
REPORTS FROM A NOAA BUOY JUST WEST OF OPHELIA INDICATE THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Monday, September 26, 2011 3:57:45 AM
WTNT31 KNHC 251444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011
...OPHELIA MAKES A JOG TOWARD THE WEST BUT EXPECTED TO TURN BACK
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 60.4W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
AREA LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...
335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Monday, September 26, 2011 3:58:25 AM
WTNT31 KNHC 252040
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
500 PM AST SUN SEP 25 2011
...OPHELIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 60.9W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW...AND THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OPHELIA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Friday, September 30, 2011 3:56:43 PM
WTNT31 KNHC 301431
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
...OPHELIA WITH 115 MPH WINDS...BECOMES THE THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OF
THE 2011 SEASON...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 62.8W
ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
** NO CURRENT ADVISORY IN EFFECT **blazin3596 # Wednesday, October 5, 2011 4:25:33 AM
WTNT32 KNHC 050235
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1100 PM AST TUE OCT 04 2011
...PHILIPPE TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...A MORE NORTHERLY MOTION IS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 60.4W
ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST. PHILIPPE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FROWARD SPEED BY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR
THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN