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Chthonic Wildlife Ramblings

Reflections of a heterodox conservationist

Posts tagged with "poaching"

Crocodiles- a conservation success story- Part III

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This continues the post on Tuesday on crocodile conservation

Last post I discussed why many conservation models of harvest were overly pessimistic. Conservation through sustainable use, could and did work. This post moves onto the poaching issue.

"...a future Hermes Bag?"


In the immediate post-war period, crocodiles in the North of Australia were heavily hunted. Harvest levels were in excess of financial considerations, because crocodiles were also regarded as a pest. That meant people still went out and shot them, even if their hunting costs exceeded the return on leather. The population of crocs shrank to about 5% of their pre-harvest levels.

In response to this, West Australia, the Northern Territory and Queensland began to ban harvests to protect crocodile numbers. This wasn't coordinated, so poaching occurred in some states that had banned hunts, and the skins smuggled into other states that had not.

The fear that a resumption in the skin-trade would lead to increased poaching again seemed realistic. The argument is easy to understand. Suppose we have a wildlife product, and there are two ways to obtain it. You could have someone poach it at presumably low cost (small boat, rifle, sharp knife) or you could ranch or farm it. Ranching and farming involves big expenses- pens to house the animals, food for the crocs, staff to manage the population.

On this basis, it seemed clear that poaching would remain more attractive than ranching crocodiles. One operation is very low cost, one operation has much higher costs.

The fallacy in the argument is one that is often employed. The fallacy is that wildlife products are homogenous. I have a suspicion this follows from many wildlife harvest models being based on fisheries models. Fish tends to be reduced to a standard price per unit weight. Terrestrial wildlife however, can vary greatly in quality. Hermes and other luxury producers don't want poached leather. It's low grade and has many flaws. Crocs living in the wildlife get their skin scratched and scarred. This destroys the value of their skin. Crocs on farms and ranches, are much higher quality. This gets around the cost issue.

In fact, wildlife products are often characterised by wide price-dispersion. Goliath butterflies in Papua New Guinea can vary in price from 1 kina to 30 kina. It's all based on the quality of the specimen.

Poaching of crocodiles (for commercial gain) has been pretty much extinguished in Australia. The legal market has drowned the illegal market in a flood of high quality, high volume, uniform skins.


Recent tiger poaching story

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The Bangkok Post reported on the rescue of a malayan tiger, caught in a trap- Malaysian officials save endangered Malayan tiger. Quotes below are from the article.

Malaysian wildlife authorities rescued a five-year old Malayan tiger, badly injured in a snare set up by poachers near the country's jungle border with Thailand, officials said Monday. ...

"We received a tip-off on Saturday and a joint patrol with the World Wildlife Fund for Nature-Malaysia's wildlife protection unit found the injured animal," northern Perak state wildlife and National Parks director Sabrina Shariff told AFP.



The Malayan tiger was only recognised as a separate subspecies to the Indo-Chinese tiger in 2004. It's range includes southern Thailand as well as Malaysia.

"We face a major problem from Thai and Malaysian poachers who set up numerous snares in the Belum-Temengor forest reserve area between the two countries, with such traps normally located close to roads as the animals are attracted by sound and food smells."



This reinforces a point that is often over-looked in wildlife poaching. The people that actually poach wildlife are typically locals. They are often drawn from hunting cultures, and in many parts of Asia, have less than amicable relations with the authorities. Poachers aren't foreign criminals ranging through forests trying to kill tigers.

The smuggling conspiracies for tiger parts depend heavily on these local experts to kill tigers for them. Without the cooperation of local communities amongst- or adjacent to- tiger populations, there would be very little poaching.

Sabrina said authorities were also concerned that poachers were targeting other wildlife in the area including Bucking deers, whose footprints were found around other snares near the tiger.



Again, this point was made in my paper in Global Crime on the black market for tiger parts. Tigers typically make up a minority of the species that are poached. Indeed, it's often more true to say that most poachers are leopard poachers who occasionally take tigers.


"This incident clearly demonstrates the need for a stronger enforcement presence in the Belum-Temengor area," WWF-Malaysia chief Dionysius Sharma said in a statement.

"If this isn't enough of a clarion call for the government to afford more resources to form an anti-poaching Task Force, I don't know what is," he added.



Unfortunately enforcement is not proving to be a very efficient way to reduce tiger poaching. The problem is that tigers are secretive animals that live in low densities, in a mosaic of habitats. Poachers have a lot of strategies to beat enforcement agencies.

Malaysia doesn't actually have a good track record of catching poachers (none in the roughly decade-long sample period I looked at). That's probably not assisted by the close proximity of the Thai border.


The government said in July it had sought the help of the military to battle poaching, adding that Malaysia was committed to an ambitious plan to double the tiger population to 1,000 by 2020.



This is part of the IUCN global plan to save the tiger. So far we're not making a lot of progress.

I note that the NZ Herald and some other newspapers that have picked up this story, mention the demand for tiger parts in traditional medicines. This is only partly correct. The market for skins (which are not used for medicine) is also large and in some parts of Asia, far more important than the medicine markets.

The Resurgent Elephant Ivory Black Market

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Recent news from Kenya (BBC link) show that the elephant black-market is resurgent. This matches earlier studies which show that poaching rates are higher than in the 1980s.



Unlike the 1980s when many and varied NGOs campaigned to save the elephant, there are no similar campaigns today. Part of the reason may simply be that in the 1980s, there was a simple target. Conservation groups campaigned to get the legal trade in ivory banned. Kenya destroyed seized ivory in pictures that appeared in media all over the world. In 1989 CITES agreed to put elephant ivory onto Appendix I. This sacrificed the legal trade, even where sustainable, to save the elephants in Africa. The last point is important. Several countries in Southern Africa had increased their elephant populations during the 1980s. The penalty they paid for better managing their populations was to lose their export income.

Today it is hard to pin down a nice, simple policy solution. Despite that, a number of conservationists remain wedded to the idea that the irregular shipments of stockpiled ivory from Southern Africa to Japan (and lately China) are fueling demand. Hence, a similar drop in poaching to that in the early 1990s, could be experienced by preventing the minute, legal trade that occurs.

The reasons for the rise in poaching are easy to diagnose.
  • After poaching waned in the early 1990s, governments and law enforcement agencies relaxed their guard. The perception was that they had fixed the problem. This was matched by Western countries reducing their contributions to anti-poaching work.
  • Smugglers rebuilt markets outside North America and Europe, and began shipping in clandestine ways rather than 'laundering' the ivory into the legal stream.
  • Asian countries in South-East Asia, and especially China, grew more affluent. Ivory is a luxury product and rising incomes brought more people into the market.
  • Asian stockpiles ran out. When the international ban was enacted, Japan had an ivory-stockpile that would last about 10 years. Stockpiles in Hong Kong were probably similar. As these stocks became depleted, ivory prices rose to 3-4 times greater than the early 1990s. In Vietnam, ivory is now priced over $US1000 per kg.
  • Economic reforms in Asia reduced transaction costs in the black-market. It got easier to visit other countries, make connections with other criminal networks and just physically trade goods. China for instance, has three of the five busiest ports in Asia now.


What is not contributing to the poaching is the small, very irregular shipments of ivory from Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe to Japan. If anything, these have probably replenished stockpiles and kept ivory prices lower than they would otherwise have been. Keeping prices low is good, as it deters smugglers.

The least useful analysis we see reported in the media is that none of the points above are deemed relevant to increased poaching. Instead we get the same myth being reported uncritically- the myth that somehow, by making a product available legally you just end up fueling demand for the illegal substitute. The answer is more mundane. Black market ivory is worth 3-4 times more than it used to. Poaching is resurgent because it's got a lot more profitable again.

Solutions to poaching?- how about ways to encourage it?

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Wildlife poaching is a pretty serious threat to a lot of species. In theory, it's one of those issues where the solution seems so clear, but implementing that solution is actually very, very hard.

We do though, seem to have a much better understanding of how to encourage and sustain poachers. Afterall, tigers in large parts of Asia are on the brink of extinction. Recent reports from Africa indicate that elephants are being poached at a greater rate than the horrors of the 1980s.

There are I think, two main proximate causes of these very conspicuous policy failures. First, we tend to treat poaching- because it is a wildlife problem- as a problem that biologists are trained to fix. But with all deference to my zoology colleagues, they don't do courses in black-market economics and law enforcement. I wouldn't trust many of my economist colleagues to undertake an ecological survey either. So there tends to be a lot of noise and talk, and policies that attack the symptoms of the trade get implemented. There's not a lot of direct action to combat the main drivers of poaching.

The second, is that poachers and smugglers are assumed to be idiots. In other words, all you have to is bust one conspiracy or monitor one route into a country, and the smugglers will give up. They won't figure out how to get around these enforcement measures. This leads to a lot of anti-poaching policy being more of the same. Repeat the same measures over and over in increasing intensity, and hope that this will fix the problem. Alas, ivory poachers have abandoned the legal supply routes in favour of routes using shipping containers, mislabeled as machine-parts or the like. It really doesn't matter anymore how hard we squeeze the legal trade (irregular shipments from Southern Africa). The smuggler's don't care because they aren't using that route.

So, how have we managed to inflate the levels of poaching for tigers and elephants so high again?


What we have learned in the wildlife smuggling business, is that trade bans in wildlife products only give you a short-term payoff. When you ban trade in certain wildlife products, then you get a drop in poaching because all the causal and small scale operations collapse. They don't have the resources or expertise to get around the law enforcement measures. And if you're really lucky, demand for the wildlife products will collapse. This collapse in demand doesn't happen a lot.

So, poaching dips down after the ban. Demand in importing countries remains high though, so the black-market price starts to rise. This lures in new smuggling firms. These are criminal firms that have the resources, have the expertise and ability to get around the law enforcement agencies. In other words, you replace casual and small scale poachers with big, organised criminal conspiracies.

That I'm afraid, then makes the problem a lot worse. Organised criminal firms are harder to stop than small-scale firms. The lesson really is that a trade ban in wildlife products has a short-shelf life. It buys you time to implement better management systems. In Africa, the CITES ban in 1989 was accompanied by a period of 4 years of increased enforcement. This trickled away as Western donors curbed funding. As Asian stockpiles of ivory ran down, prices soared again and poaching accelerated.

Similarly with tigers, the trade bans in tiger-parts has lead to sky-rocketing black-market prices and the involvement of resourceful and clever criminal conspiracies. We're effectively trying to save tigers by putting a bounty of US$50k on every wild tiger in Asia. So far that doesn't seem to be working.

What we tend to get however, is the assumption because the ban did reduce poaching once, perpetuating the ban will someday, somehow, deliver the same reduction again.



Why do tigers get poached?

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With poaching continuing to drive wild tiger populations closer to extinction, it's important to understand why tigers get poached. Reviewing some of the news reports on tiger poaching, I fear we're not really coming to grips with the causes. It's not all down to the traditional Chinese medicine market. Please note that I am not a 'keyboard-conservationist' and have visited smuggling hot-spots, researched and published work on the tiger black-market.

Poaching alas, is driven by several different factors.

First, tigers get poached because they are regarded as a pest. Villagers and farmers who live adjacent to tiger-reserves, lose livestock to tigers when these cats move out to hunt. Tigers also represent a threat to people (which is why for a long time, Asian governments culled tiger populations).
So, local villagers and farmers kill the tigers (illegally) and get away with it. This source of poaching has nothing to do with other markets.

Second, tigers get poached for their skins. Tiger skins are in demand right throughout Asia (and possibly further afield). One of the most important markets for this has been Tibet, but there is nothing exclusive about this market. This market is not supported by the Chinese TCM market. It is also a large market. The Indian poacher Sansar Chand sent hundreds of tiger skins to buyers in Tibet (alongside thousands of leopard skins).

Third, tigers get poached for curios and tonics. In many parts of Asia, tiger teeth or claws were used by local communities. E.g. in Vietnam, tiger meat or parts were used to make tonics.

Finally, tigers get poached for the bones. Tiger bones are used to make medicine to treat severe bone diseases in humans. This is the important Chinese Traditional Medicine Market. Note however, that there are Chinese communities living in other parts of Asia as well as the rest of the world. We are fairly certain that not all of these bones are ending up back in mainland China.

This highlights the problem with devising anti-poaching schemes. If we think suppressing the illegal bone market in China is going to stop the skin-trade out of India or illegal 'pest' destruction by locals, the outcome is going to be very disappointing.


Kathmandu...on again

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Well in all the highs and lows of the IUCN and the World Bank trying to set up the Global Tiger Workshop in Nepal, I might still be going.

After the IUCN pulled the plug on collaboration I was out. China was vacillating about going. I think that they may have resolved to attend now.

That means I might still be able to make it, as the Chinese are a bit keener than the World Bank to have tiger poaching experts at these events.

Complicating issues however is that I will have to fly direct from a swamp near Darwin direct to Nepal. That means no chance to return home for a breather first.

Zoo tigers and the illegal trade in tiger parts

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The recent killing of a Sumatran tiger in Jambi's Rimbo zoo in Indonesia, can be added to a number of similar abductions (and illegal sales) of captive tigers into the black market. China has reported similar thefts out of zoos within China. Vietnam has reported illegal sales of tigers out of zoos into the black market. (I reported all of this last year in my illegal tiger part trade- it's not new).

Given the low enforcement and reporting rates for this sort of crime there's likely to be a lot more of this. The reality of course, is that getting hold of captive tigers is actually a lot easier than trying to hunt them in the wild. You need local contacts and a bigger conspiracy (hence face increased detection risks).

One of the peculiar aspects to this trade however, is that it should (according to many conservationists) not be happening at all. Consumers of tiger parts are often asserted to have a preference for wild tiger parts. This is employed as an argument as to why tiger farms will not work. People won't want captive-tiger parts because of the assumed superiority of wild. Clearly there are people in the black market who do not share this belief. Captive tiger is a good, practical substitute (in the illegal trade sense) to wild tigers.

The reality is that the preference for wild parts is probably a very weak preference. It's kind of similar to someone preferring a red car to a blue car. But if the blue car wins in other features (better price) then the preference for red disappears from the comparison.

Tiger Trouble II- Reserves

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A couple of years ago, I was at one of these Tiger meetings when Indian reserves were brought up.

At that point in time, India had lost all the tigers from one of its reserves as poachers sweeped through. Nonetheless, because other reserves had not been touched, there was an air of confidence. Other reserves were being better managed and were obviously keeping poachers at bay. This is all part of the over-whelming belief that poaching can be solved by "enough" law enforcement.

I operate on the theory that poachers are not stupid. They have a large number of strategies available to evade detection, and have been using them for years.

My own thoughts at this junction, were that the survival of tigers in other reserves, had more to do with the poachers just not having 'got there'. And it had less to do with the effectiveness of management in these areas.

Now India is reporting that one more reserve (Panna) has lost all its tigers ecoworld link and that another reserve may similarly have lost all its tigers.

The global plan to double wild tiger numbers by 2020 is off to a very shaky start.

Tiger Trouble- Poaching Risks

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It pains me to say that even after I first started looking into the tiger black-market (January 2007), poaching remains a palpable threat to the survival of the species. Earlier this year I published pretty much the first and only paper on the Chinese black-market (fosusing on bones) in a peer-reviewed, academic journal. This was a result of both covert work and getting access to Chinese arrest data.

There have been of course, other studies on the black market but the confusion with the market for fakes, does limit the usefulness of these studies. Having a good knowledge of the market for fakes, is not all that helpful for the real black market.

Suffice to see, we remain locked into the same strategy to save tigers that has failed for the last 30 years. 12 months into my work, India slashed it's population estimates for tigers down from 4000 animals to 1400-1500 animals. We lost hundreds of tigers overnight with that revision, yet doing more of the same is the favoured approach.

I'm getting increasingly pessimistic. There are three major poaching risks that so far, we've been lucky enough to dodge. I'm not sure how long this situation is going to last.

First risk- the bengali tiger. India is the strong-hold of this subspecies, which ranges into Nepal, Bangladesh and Burma. At the moment, skins dominate this black-market. Nonetheless, once the skin traffickers work out how to connect to the bone markets in the east of China, they will be able to open up an entire new market. This will ramp up demand for poached bengali tigers to supply this market. So far, we've been lucky enough to escape. But the Tibet route to the east of China isn't an insurmountable barrier. We just need the criminal networks at both ends to establish communications and then it's more poaching for India.

Second risk- the Indo-Chinese tiger. At the moment, most of the (wild) bone originates from Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia and Burma. These countries are becoming closer n an economic sense to China. China has been building more roads and the like to expand trade with these countries. Incomes are rising. More and more business connections are being made. The combination of increased incomes, and falling transaction costs, makes Indo-China one of the most critical risk-spots for the tiger.

Third risk- the market for substitutes. As tiger numbers diminish, black-market consumers will shift to easier to obtain substitutes. This alas, means leopards. Most tiger-poachers are really leopard poachers who sometimes take tigers. But leopard-bone is considered a close (if inferior) substitute for tiger bone. So poaching pressure will move more in this direction.

Another possibility is that the African lion will be subject to more poaching. Lions are also a close substitute for tiger bones. And the trade routes into Africa are already present (and the existing network of elephant-ivory smugglers means the means to do this, is already in existence). Actually, there are early warning signs that lions are already being poached for this reason...

In short, the situation isn't looking any brighter for tigers, and it's increasingly grim for other closely related species.

Tiger losses in India

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It is somewhat illuminating that when I started investigating tiger poaching about 2 years ago, there were supposed to be 4000 tigers in India. Within 12 months, we were down to 4000 tigers in all of Asia. But note that in a lot of countries, we still don't know how many tigers are left in some coountries (the Sumatran population is pretty much guess-work).

In India, 30 tiger deaths have already been reported this year (note that not all tiger deaths get reported, so this is actually quite concerning.

The Hindu Times reports on some of these deaths. In the Kanha reserve, 7 tigers have been lost (one to poachers, 6 to fights amonsgt the tigers).

Other deaths have been attributed to poisoning by locals.