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A blog mostly about the Opera browser

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About These Articles - Opera in the News

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Opera in the News

Sticky Note

Purpose & Content

The purpose of this blog from 2004-2006 was to post pointers to news media and trade press reports on the Opera browser and on browser technologies in general. I'm interested in how web browser technologies are developing, how the technologies are marketed, as well as who is doing what in the industry and why. Also, I'm interested in mobile/wireless applications of web browsers. I am an Opera user. This is an independent journal.

Updates

This blog is closed, but I continue to blog on the topic of nuclear energy at 'Idaho Samizdat' Now in its 3rd year of operation, as of June 2009, it has readers in 70 countries. I remain interested in Opera and a user of the Opera browser.

Sources of News About Opera

Opera maintains its own web page of news items in a variety of languages.
http://www.opera.com/press/articles/

The unofficial Opera Watch blog here.
http://operawatch.com/

You can search Google News here.
<http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&ned=us&q=opera+browser&btnG=Search+News>

And I am here

Dan Yurman Email 43N 112W -7 GMT




AJAX - not just for cell phones

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More than a few folks are thinking AJAX must be some kind of cell phone programming language because that's what Opera talks about all the time. News you can use Adobe and Opera have teamed up with a whole bunch of other firms to promote the use of AJAX technologies. Thanks to Marco Casario we get a heads up that 13 more firms, including Opera, have joined the OpenAJAX initiative which is sponsored by IBM.

An Opera spokesman said there are these advantages to the move . . .

"The Opera browser enables AJAX to reach beyond the desktop to mobile phones, game consoles, set-top boxes, portable media players and other devices," said Scott Hedrick, EVP Devices, Opera Software ASA. "With Opera 9, we have introduced AJAX-based widgets and we are seeing an explosion of interest in the use of AJAX to create widgets and dynamic user interfaces for mobile phones and other devices. OpenAjax is an important initiative to encourage standardization and a vibrant AJAX developer community."

Other firms that joined include Adobe and Software AG. AJAX is used by Google's GMAIL and Google Maps.

The significance for Opera here is that in addition to its work with AJAX on mobile devices the firm is now also likley planning to expand the use of these technologies with TV set top devices such as cable TV controls and for home entertainment systems.

Mighty mini at 2.0

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Opera updated its "Mini" software with new features including easier downloads of cell phone content, products, and features.

IDG News Service provided this summary of the new features.

A new feature in Opera Mini 2.0 removes a step often required of mobile users who buy mobile content. Some mobile content providers sell ringtones or images by asking customers to send a specified word via text message to a certain number. The buyers then receive the content via text message and are billed for the purchase on their regular accounts.

The new Opera Mini 2.0 feature skips the initial text message requirement. When Opera Mini 2.0 users visit a content provider's site and decide to purchase a ringtone, for example, they can click on a link to buy it. Opera Mini 2.0 automatically sends the appropriate text message so that the user doesn't have to navigate away from the Web page, enter the messaging application, and send the message. The content is then delivered to the buyer via text message and the user is billed for the ringtone as agreed, typically via regular bill.


Opera releases Public Beta 1 of Merlin - Opera 9

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Opera press release here

CNET computer trade press report here

CNET video review of features here


Does Firefox's Market Share Matter?

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According to computer trade press reports, Mozilla's Firefox web browser has passed the magical 10% market share figure. What does this mean and why does it matter?

First of all what's magical about 10% market share? Well, for one thing it's double digits. For another, market share for a web browser is important because of the revenue deals that it can generate with paid search. For instance, every time an end-user clicks on an advertisement displayed via Google, resulting from a search through the Google search bar on Firefox, Mozilla rings up a sale. In 2005 it is reported that Mozilla had $70 million USD in search related revenues. On that count it means for Firefox that every one percent of market share is worth $7 million USD in search related revenue.

For Opera with its emphasis on cell phone browsing the revenue equation has several parts. First, customers are likely to spend more time using the cell phone, which is revenue for the network operator. Second they are more likely to click on search related advertising which is revenue for Opera. Third, Opera gets licensing revenues for deals that put its Mini software on cell phones.

Mozilla does not have a mobile browser for cell phones that is a completed shipped product. Opera's Mini software for cell phone browsing may offer the firm a strategic advantage that takes it out some of the pressure of head-to-head competition for desktop market share.

Opera's total revenue in 2005 was about $23M USD. It is difficult to break out the desktop revenues related to search because the firm does not report them that way. Significantly, Opera changed its desktop revenue model in Fall 2005 dropping the $39 USD licensing fee for the desktop browser and opting for paid search revenues by building market share. Opera inked search revenue deals for the desktop and cell phone browsers with Google and other search engines. In 2005 Opera's revenues from Internet devices increased by $3.2 million USD over 2004.

Second, market share is important because it attracts independent application developers. Mozilla has long promoted the development of open source extensions to its browser. Since programmers have to make a buck to live, the develop applications for the "platform," e.g., browser, that has the greatest market share because that's where the money is. As Mozilla's market share grows, the number of extensions available for it reinforce its attractiveness to end-users. The more attractive a product is, the more people use it, and the more search related revenues it gets. So, it is in Mozilla's interests to promote extensions to build market share.

Opera's current shipped desktop browser 8.54 doesn't support extensions like the Firefox browser. That will change with version 9 of the Opera desktop browser code named "Merlin." Opera will offer widgets, which are desktop applications that work with the browser. Opera Widgets are small web applications run directly on a user’s desktop. With Opera Widgets you can quickly write small, focused applications that perform useful tasks. They can interact with online services such as news feeds, dictionaries or search engines.

"Merlin" is currently in a pre-beta stage called "Technology Preview." Weekly builds are available for anyone who wants an early look at the product. The Weekly Builds are snapshots, they are not as thoroughly tested as a Technology Preview or a Public Beta. You should only use these builds if you are not afraid of losing data (e-mail, bookmarks, anything) or crashing your computer.

Independent software developers will be able to make widgets that work with Opera 9. Widgets are a terrific way to address the market share building power of "extensions." It will be interesting to see if Opera widgets have the same attractive power to independent software developers as Mozilla extensions.

Both browser companies are in a race to build market share, and there is only one place it can come from, and that is at Microsoft's expense. The Redmond, WA, software giant is currently stuck in the mud with delays announced last month for the ship dates for the new desktop operating system code named "Vista" which includes Internet Explorer 7. Every month of delay by Microsoft is more time for Mozilla and Opera to build market share. It also gives Apple Computer, with its new Intel-based Macs, a window of opportunity to build market share. These delays won't last forever. Once Vista does ship the throw weight of Microsoft's marketing efforts will have an impact. Whether Mozilla's market share is retained or grows, and what happens with Opera 9, are developments to be watched with interest.

For the statistically curious, here is a summary of recent browser market share statistics.

Report: Firefox Past 10 Percent Share
By Nate Mook, BetaNews
April 4, 2006, 4:54 PM

Web analytics firm Net Applications announced Monday that the open source Firefox browser has finally passed 10 percent market share, according to the firm's statistics for March. The 10.05 percent usage was up from 9.75 percent in February. Microsoft's Internet Explorer still holds a commanding lead with 84.7 percent of the market, Net Applications said.

However, according to another analytics firm, Firefox had already surpassed 10 percent market share last November. OneStat.com reported at the time that Mozilla browsers had reached 11.51 percent usage globally based on a sample of two million users from 100 companies.

Despite the conflicting numbers, it's clear that Firefox continues to gain a foothold -- especially overseas. Internet Explorer, meanwhile, is continuing its slow slide. The ubiquitous browser held 86 percent of the market last November, and its market share of the browser has fallen every month except one since December 2004, when it controlled 90.31 percent of the market.
Over the last year, Firefox has gained an additional 3.34 percent of the market.



Dolphins Surfing the Internet with Opera Mini

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Dolphins Using Opera Mini to Surf the Net

A marine biologist at Sea World in San Diego, CA, has announced that he taught a group of dolphins there to communicate with humans via the Internet using the Opera browser. Robert S. Perry, PhD, a marine biologist, held a press conference this morning to explain his research results.

According to Perry he created a large underwater keyboard with buttons the size of bagels which the dolphins push with their snouts. Each key gives off a distinctive high frequency sound at a pitch which allows the dolphins to associate graphic shapes on each key with a specific sound.

"As you know," Perry said, "dolphins have terrific hearing so it is only natural to use sound to help them communicate with us. I limited the keypad to just ten buttons because I felt it was the optimum number. The keypad has ten buttons like a cell phone. Perry said he hooked up Opera mini to the keypad because it is already designed to surf the Internet with that interface.

Plus Perry says, Opera has a office right in San Diego so he got lots of help.

"The kid who came over was dynamic, young, hip, and wanted to talk to me about viral marketing. He even had an earing. Once I convinced him there was a higher calling in science, he took the plunge and helped me to the max."

The dolphins were trained to associate sound with key buttons. So the next step was to associate the sounds with messages. For instance, the dolphins were trained to ask for fish, toys, or quiet time.

After a while Perry said the dolphins got bored so he had to think up new things to keep their interest. That's when he hit on the idea of submerging a giant plasma screen underwater and teaching the dolphins to call up images on it by using the keyboard. He hooked up a personal computer, on dry land, to the Internet and set it to Google Images as the home page.

"The dolphins went nuts," Perry said. "They got very excited when they realized when they hit the right combinations of keys they could see pictures of other dolphins, tuna, squid, or people like their trainers."

One unhappy result occured when the dolphins scored a picture of a killer whale. The whales are predators and hunt dolphins for food. When they saw the giant image of the whale on the underwater plasma screen, the dolphons fled to the furthest corner of the pool and had to be coaxed back to use the keypad again.

"The way we did it," Perry said, "is that we shrunk the image of the whale down to the size of a twinkie. That made it look like the whale was far away, and the dolphins came back from of their end of the pool and used the keypad again."

For now the dolphins are still using the keypad, but Seaworld has put a dolphin friendly filter on the Internet interface to keep the animals happy.

Perry says the next step is to establish a common vocabulary with the dolphins to try to understand more about what they are thinking. He's hoping the Opera mini will continue to serve his research well.

Contact Robert S. Perry, PhD, Sea World, San Diego, CA


Mozilla plans profit sharing - sort of

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In a previous blog post I reported that the Mozilla Foundation, which develops and releases the Firefox web browser and the Thunderbird email program, had pulled in tens of millions of dollars based on search advertising deals with Google, Amazon, and other web portals. Published reports in the computer trade press put the amount of revenue for 2005 at $72M USD. This figure is in dispute but the order of magnitude of the revenue stream is not.

The question, of course, is what Mozilla plans to do with all that money? With fewer than 50 full time employees, Mozilla relies on the free labor of thousands of programmers around the world to develop its products under the opens source banner. Well, now comes the monkey wrench in the open source gearbox. Some people who worked on Firefox now feel like chumps having donated their time, talent, and energy only to see a few folks rake in the cash. To its credit the Mozilla foundation has figured out it needs to find a way to share the wealth.

According to a report on CNET, the foundation plans to directly fund developers and community programming projects that support open source projects. Here's a condensed version of the news report.

Mozilla plans to fund developer community

By Ingrid Marson, CNET
Story last modified Thu Mar 23 06:41:30 PST 2006

The Mozilla Foundation is planning to use some of its millions of dollars in revenues to fund active members of its developer community. Mitchell Baker, the chief executive of the Mozilla Corporation, the commercial subsidiary of the Mozilla Foundation, said Mozilla plans to put some of its excess revenues back into the community.

"The Mozilla Group--the foundation and the corporation--has a set of employees that provide a critical mass where things can happen, but it is only a piece of the project. There are vast numbers of things that happen outside our employee base," she said. "We have a commitment that while we have funds beyond our operating levels, some of it should to go to community members. We want to do that in a way that promotes the community."

[snip]

"There's not a model in the open-source community that we can point to and copy," she said. "We have contributors spread around the world doing a range of different things and we need to work out what would make sense for them. We don't want to set up a model, have a big PR event about it, disperse the money and then find out it has no effect or gets to the wrong people."

Though a number of open-source projects, such as JBoss and MySQL, have used their revenues to hire contributors, it is relatively unusual that money is put straight back into the community, according to Rishab Ghosh, the program leader of an EU-funded open-source research project at Dutch research institute MERIT.


OK, this sounds a lot better than another Silicon Valley take-the-profits-and-run story. Obviously, Mozilla has its work cut out for it in terms of figuring out how to share its profits without becoming, de facto, a global body shop for open source programmers. There is a lot of talent out there and finding a way to shape it constructively to advance open source projects could be Mozilla's biggest challenge to date. If they are successful, it could also be their biggest accomplishment.



Gates - Microsoft late to market with IE7 & VISTA; Office 2007!

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Bill Gates told the audience at a computer trade show this week Microsoft made a mistake in waiting to build new innovations in its own browser technology, Internet Explorer. A few days later Microsoft announced Windows Vista, the newest version of its PC operating system, would be delayed until winter 2007. News media reports gave conflicting reasons for the delay including security and marketing considerations. The delay surprised Wall Street analysts. Last week CEO Steve Ballmer promoted Vista to senior executives of large corporate customers in New York, announcing a $500 million marketing campaign for the product.

Industry analysts said there are several reasons for the delay. Some features won't be ready, some hardware manufacturers won't have PCs ready to run all versions of Vista, and Microsoft wants the marketing space to itself in the post Christmas season rather than competing with general merchandising for advertising space and media attention.

Would someone please get Mr. Gates a tissue for his crocodile tears about the delay of IE7? Come on. Since when did a monopolist worry about technological innovation? The only reason Microsoft is finally getting off its stand pat position on its desktop browser is competition from Firefox and Opera. Opera is developing version 9 of its desktop browser releasing weekly builds of the preview edition. Firefox announced this week the ALPHA version of version 2 of its browser product.

Gates put a remarkable spin on the firm's answer to the wake up call from browser competitors.

According to computer trade press reports, Gates said the company is building innovations into IE to improve the user experience, enhance security, and add next-generation technologies such as RSS (Really Simple Syndication). He said Microsoft already is looking ahead to the next two releases of IE, and expects the next version, IE 7, to be broadly adopted once it is released later this year.

"In a sense we're doing a 'mea culpa' in saying we've waited too long for a new browser release," Gates said during his talk to kick off Microsoft's first show for designers and developers of high-impact Web sites. "We are very immersed in the browser as a platform."

IE 7 will be included in the Windows Vista operating system, which will now ship in 2007. Microsoft said it will offer a version for Windows XP at the same time. Really?

Readers should realize that Microsoft's so-called minimum configuration of a PC ready to run Windows Vista is probably just half of what you will really need. The main product will require a 64-bit dual core Intel-based PC with at least 1 Gb of memory and a high end video card. You'll want at least a 19-inch flat screen monitor running 1280 x 1024 resolution with a fast refresh rate. Expect to pay $1,200 to $2,000 for this machine in 2007.

Frankly, unless someone comes along with a real killer application that I can't do without, I see no reason to make that kind of investment just for a new version of Microsoft's operating system.

UPDATE

Office delayed as well.

Microsoft delays Office relaunch
BBC 3/24/06

Office 2007, like Windows Vista, will now arrive next year. Microsoft has put back the consumer launch of its new Office software suite to 2007, to coincide with the delayed start date for Windows Vista.

[snip]

But a version will be available for corporate customers from November 2006. Microsoft confirmed that the mainstream launch of its new Office 2007 system would also be delayed to January. This will enable Microsoft to market it in tandem with Vista.


The phrase that comes to mind in response is, "I'm from Missouri. Show me." This is a short hand phrase for profound skepticism. The BBC report also notes that Microsoft has replaced several key executives responsible for the Vista operating system and the next verion of Office. For a firm that has trampled many others with its clodhoppers many wonder is it really about marketing or is the Redmond software giant tripping over its own feet?

Microsoft's biggest challenge will be the value of its own products already in the hands of customers. Windows XP and Office 2003 work well enough. For a corporate customer with thousands of desktops there has to be a real value in buying the next generation of the operating system and office suite. Of course it is no small matter [drumroll please] to consider the cost of hardware upgrades to take advantage of the top end versions of these products. The best business advice anyone can offer is to wait for the first service pack of new editions of Microsoft software before upgrading.


Click fraud's insidious threat to the web

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A New Case of Offering a Slice of Pie When There is No Pie

A "bunko game" is not a new Internet online passion. It is the act of swindling by some fraudulent scheme. Click fraud is a "bunko game" and Google just paid $90 million USD to settle a suit with advertisers who have claims about being cheated going back to 2002.

Click fraud could be a threat to any Internet web site or enterprise that depends on advertising supported search revenues. It isn't the web site operator who usually is the perpetrator of click fraud. Usually, they are the victim, along with the advertisers.

According to an article in the Washington Post this week, "The two most prevalent types of fraud are competitive sabotage -- rivals clicking to drive up ad costs for competitors -- and affiliate spam -- affiliates clicking on ads appearing on their own sites to boost their share of ad revenue from Google or Yahoo."

The Post article also notes, "Cynics fear that the search engines are too afraid of how much revenue they might lose to truly commit to fighting click fraud."

The problem has gotten so bad, and click fraud may be more prevelant than admitted by search engine giants like Google or Yahoo, that some analysts are concerned it could burst the current Internet boom like a birthday party balloon. If advertising click through rates cannot be trusted, then advertisers will either stop using Internet search as a medium or the market will shrink to those very large advertisers who have the resources to police their own click through rates. Either way the volume of Internet advertising, and the content that is supported by it, could shrink dramatically over a very short period. It won't take much for all the small 'mom-an-pop' advertisers in the so-caled "long tail" to turn tail and run away from having anything to do with Internet advertising.

Further, online content providers who previously relied on Internet advertising will either shift to a subscription business model (prepaid or pay-as-you go) or go out of business. If you think there is a "digital divide" now, just wait until free Internet web sites roll up their virtual sidewalks and ask for a cover charge at the door before you login.

Things that Go Bump in the Night

What does this mean for Opera? It certainly is something that likely keeps the the firm's top executives awake at night. Why? The reason is Opera changed revenue models in Fall 2005. It dropped licensing fees for the Opera desktop and shifted gears to gain revenues from click through advertising based on online search agreements with Google, Amazon, and others. Opera renegotiated its search as revenue contract with Google and dropped banner ads supporting the desktop browser. Browser searches now default to Google search where Opera is paid with a higher AdWords revenue share than before.

Opera's "mini software for mobile devices has a similar revenue producing deal with Google. Google supplies the default search function for Opera Software's mobile browser software.

The very real threat to Opera is that click fraud could undercut critical revenues for the firm. With total revenues of just $23M in 2005 Opera cannot afford to see its search revenue returns sliced and diced by scam artists. Opera isn't alone in this boat. Mozilla's Firefox, which reportedly had $70M in search advertising revenues in 2005 faces a similar threat. While the two organization are competitors for search revenues, they have in common a heavy reliance on Google, Amazon, and other search giants for click through rates.

Is Google's Success Threatened by Click Fraud?

This isn't a problem that Opera can solve by itself. Opera relies on Goolge for revenues and that's where the problem really lives. First of all, Google, which denied at its annual meeting earlier this month that click faud was a problem, needs to get its head out of the sand and address the problem head on. BusinessWeek ripped Google for not doing enough to stop the problem. A very real threat is that Wall Street analysts might take a second look at Goolge's stock price if they believe revenues are undercut by click fraud.

It is understandable why Google sought to minimize the problem at its annual meeting. Click fraud is the monster under the bed, the boogie man in the closet, and very much the firm's worst nightmare. The issue is how much of Google's $6B in search revenues comes from click fraud. Google has a lot more to lose than Opera, but then the entire Internet has a lot to lose if Google's success turns out to be built on a house of cards. This is a case where the players need to get their act together and solve the problem.

Here's the rest of the story . . .

&*&*&*

In Game of Click and Mouse, Advertisers Come Up Empty

By Leslie Walker
Washington Post
Thursday, March 16, 2006; Page D01

. . . click fraud may be far more common than search engines are willing to admit. Over the past year, click fraud has mushroomed into a problem so thorny that some analysts fear that it could bring the high-flying Internet economy to its knees.

[snip]

If revenue from paid links suddenly were to shrink or dry up, you could kiss a lot of Web sites goodbye.

Google has repeatedly pooh-poohed click fraud, contending that it is a minor annoyance that it has under control with automated detection technology. At a meeting with analysts two weeks ago, chief executive Eric Schmidt said click fraud "is not a material issue." Co-founder Sergey Brin said such cases amount to "a small fraction" of Google's ad clicks.

But six days later, Google surprised analysts when it agreed to settle an Arkansas class-action lawsuit by setting aside $90 million worth of ad credits to advertisers that can show invalid click charges dating to 2002.

[snip]

Some analysts worry that Google is rushing to establish a legal precedent that could undermine a more serious click-fraud suit pending in federal court in California. That suit, which alleges that Google knows that click fraud is rampant and has not taken significant steps to prevent it, will be considered for class-action status at a hearing in May.

[snip]

For $29 or so, anyone can buy fake traffic generator software such as Smart HitBot, Fake Hits Genie and Fakezilla, programs that can send bogus traffic to any Web page or ad.

But click-fraudsters have to watch out because more and more electronic sleuths are trying to catch them. Start-ups with names like Click Tracy, Click Detective and WhosClickingWho analyze traffic and tell advertisers about suspicious activity, such as a surfer in Malaysia repeatedly clicking on ads for a dentist in Baltimore.

Established Web analytic firms are adding fraud-detection capabilities, too. ClickTracks, for example, recently started a service that analyzes 20 variables surrounding each click and compares them with historical data to determine which are legitimate.

Jessie Stricchiola, president of Internet ad consultancy Alchemist Media Inc., said the big stumbling block that search engines face in combating fraud is lack of access to evidence that could prove it -- namely, what customers do after clicking on ads. Bogus visitors almost never buy anything, while a certain percentage of legitimate customers do. Advertisers, however, are reluctant to share sales data with the search engines.

Stricchiola is pushing for standards in Internet ad auditing. She recently teamed with Fair Isaac Corp. to study whether its formulas for detecting credit card fraud might help identify click-fraud.


Getting over 'so what' on "Acid Test" for browsers

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Why care about the browser "Acid Test?"

The Web Standards Project online Acid Test for web browser occasionally stirs up computer trade press interest, but few end-users understand what the topic means to them. The real issue less about the end-user experience and more about a cost savings campaign by developers who are frustrated over the lack of web site software standards. Also, some browser firms, like Opera, and their users, are frustrated by web sites that won't display properly because they are coded in closed proprietary formats.

As part of the campaign of opening the web, in April 2005 the Web Standards Project published a online test of the compliance of a web browser with software technologys standards. Any browser could match its software code agains the test and get instant results online whether it passed or not.

The test is really an effort to draw a line in the sand between compliance with open industry standards and exclusionary web sites based on closed proprietary formats. The team that prepared the Acid Test wrote, "Today, the Web Standards Project (WaSP) is putting the makers of Web browsers and Web design tools on notice by announcing Acid2, a test designed to expose flaws in the implementation of mature Web standards such as HTML, CSS, and PNG. By making sure their software adheres to the test, the creators of these products can be more confident that their software will display Web pages correctly.

Hakon Lie, chief technology officer for Opera, proposed the creation of the Acid2 test as a way to highlight the lack of support for some standard HTML (Hypertext Markup Language) and CSS (Cascading Style Sheet) features in Internet Explorer (IE) and other browsers. Lie is an expert in web standards. Opera develper Tim Altman has an update on progress with Opera 9, code named "merlin" and work on it to pass the Acid Test.

Fundamentally, the Acid test is about reducing developer costs. As a programmer, it is costly to develop multiple versions of a web site for a client because each browser has its own way of displaying the HTML code for each page. According to the Web Standards Project, the fractured browser market adds at least 25% to the cost of developing web sites. Some developers just give up and design to the lowest common denominator, but to the loss of competitive advantage for their customers because of less interesting websites and loss of key functions. Other developers load up their websites with multiple versions of code, one for each browser, and became bandwidth hogs. Finally, some designers give up on web standards altogether, and develop exclusively in proprietary environments. In response to these problems, The Web Standards Project (WaSP) was formed in 1998 with the goal of promoting core web standards and encouraging browser makers to do the same, thereby ensuring simple, affordable access for all.

The situation today isn't much better. According to the Web Standards Project,
Though today’s browsers support standards, tens of thousands of professional designers and developers continue to use outdated methods that yoke structure to presentation, in some cases entirely avoiding semantic structures and misusing (X)HTML as a design tool. Highly paid professionals continue to churn out invalid, inaccessible sites filled with structurally meaningless markup, huge image maps, excessively nested tables, and outdated detection scripts that cause the very usability problems they were originally intended to prevent.

Who passed the Acid Test?

Apple Computer's Safari was the first to pass the test last year. It took until March 2006, about a full year's worth of work, for Opera's developers to get to a point where it passed the test. The next question is "so what?" IDG, the trade press wire service, says that while that may earn the company bragging rights in the developer community, it's unlikely to convince more Web users to switch from Microsoft's Internet Explorer. They may be right.

If more browsers support the features in the test, designers will be able to create better sites. Developers often feel they can't use some available tools because they aren't supported in IE, the most widely used browser, Opera's Wie told IDG, "There's a reluctance for developers to use features that aren't widely supported. The least advanced browser holds things back," he said.

IDG reports that last year, Chris Wilson, a developer working for Microsoft on IE, wrote in a blog posting that Microsoft wasn't planning to ensure that IE7, the next version of IE that is currently available as a beta, could pass the Acid2 test. He describes the Acid2 test as a broad "wish list" of browser features that goes beyond standard CSS and HTML.

Will users switch browsers if it passes the Acid test? It isn't likely according to Iris Cremers, an analyst with Forrester Research who told IDG it is "a tough sell," adding, "that's not going to do the trick. There's really no novelty there," she said. A recent Forrester study showed that 59 percent of Web users in North America and 69 percent in Europe use IE. Despite the buzz around competitive browsers, last year just 13 percent of Web users in North America switched their browser, the study found.

Opera's support for the Acid Test is a clear message to developers that support for Opera on their web sites is less costly than support for other browsers. That's got to lead to competitive advantage for some of them, and it may make a difference in boosting market share for Opera.

Sidebar - The Acid Test Online

Guide to the Acid Test
http://www.webstandards.org/action/acid2/guide/

Reference page - no test

This is the reference page which shows the outcome of a successful test. This is what you should see.
http://www.webstandards.org/files/acid2/reference.html

Real Test Page

This is the page where you really test the browser for compliance.
http://www.webstandards.org/files/acid2/test.html#top

Acid2 is a test page for web browsers published by The Web Standards Project (WaSP). It has been written to help browser vendors make sure their products correctly support features that web designers would like to use. These features are part of existing standards but haven’t been interoperably supported by major browsers. Acid2 tries to change this by challenging browsers to render Acid2 correctly before shipping.

Acid2 is a complex web page. It uses features that are not in common use yet, because of lack of support, and it crams many tests into one page. The aim has been to make it simple for developers and users to check if a browser passes the test. If it does, the smiley face on the left will appear. If something is wrong, the face will be distorted and/or shown partly in red.


Ideas for marketing the desktop

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A Generous Caffine Boost for Desktop Marketing

Opera has posted a job listing for a Global Marketing Vice President focused on the desktop browser. In a previous blog entry I noted this position had been vacant for some time. Obviously, Opera considers the desktop to be an important part of their business strategy. Keep in mind that version 9 of the Opera browser, code named "merlin," is coming later this year. Along with the Opera mini software for browsing on cell phones, these are the biggest acts under Opera's tent. As a serious Opera blogger I would be remiss if I did not offer my suggestions for action once that person is found and on the job. Everyone else will sooner or later so here are my thoughts. I'll bet these ideas, in one form or another, have been knocked around in Opera's offices a few times. What matters is here is execution.

Success on the Job

The most important success factor in the job posting is this one.

The successful candidate will be based in Oslo. Success within this role will be measured firstly by increase in market share – online customer acquisition and usage of the Opera browser, secondly by revenues generated.

As I see it this new Opera executive should focus on three key goals. Above all else get out of Oslo and get on the road.
  • Raise brand awareness for the desktop browser, as well as for use of the Opera browser on other platforms including mobile devices
  • Increase market share for the desktop browser in the US as measured by web analytics
  • Expand the overall number of users of the Opera desktop browser in the US

Marketing Activities

In terms of the US market Opera needs a user group to be a source of advocacy and expertise with the computer trade press, online forums, and with major PC user groups. An project to develop a relevant US website and blog has not made progress. A web browser is a visual experience. Ideas to engage Opera with branding initiatives such as product placement on US television have been set aside due to the urgency of other marketing projects such as the Times Square event last January. No problem with the Times Squre event, but where was the follow-up? All of these attributes, if developed, could transform a US user group into a contributor to Opera’s brand image.

Opera’s efforts with cell phones, mobile devices, and embedded system markets will be more successful if it invests systematically in raising brand awareness for the desktop product. This can be done in the US market and for global markets. This approach is consistent with CEO Jon S. von Tetzchner’s statement to ZDNet India last month (22 Feb 2006) while opening Opera's new web developerment center in Chandigarh, India.

The desktop market is important to it because of both the revenue and the visibility it offers. In markets where Opera has a strong desktop presence it has been easier to get business from other markets such as mobile phones.

Taking Opera's CEO at his word, here's a quick list of things the new Opera Vice President for Desktop could consider his first day on the job.

Branding Strategy - Raise brand awareness of the Opera browser through a targeted media strategy to get earned media coverage in major newspapers and on network television. A browser is a visual experience and brand awareness will be enhanced by getting it in front of mass audiences. This means Opera must use the mass media. This result can be achieved through product reviews, targeted press releases to technology editors, and using a public relations agency to gain appearances on TV shows and through product placement in entertainment venues.

US User Group - Recruit high-quality members to participate in user groups. A high quality member is technically adept, is a user of the product, and has an interest in it that goes beyond being simply a “fan” of the product. Promote Opera users' groups to the trade press, general news media, major user groups, and in online forums, making it an adjunct to Opera’s efforts to build brand awareness. For example, include an active website, blog, and email list plus visibility for Opera executives and developers with the group and on the publicly-accessible website and blog.

End-User Guide - Develop an easy-to-use online guide to the Opera browser. Arrange for publication of a guide similar to the “Missing Manual” series published by O’Reilly to be handed out to user groups, downloaded as a PDF from Opera’s community pages, and sold through retail channels in hardcopy. Develop collateral materials, including video, to be used in presentations to user groups, at universities, and in web-based “live” presentations to technology editors. Right now Opera's help fiels are scatter about not only on its own site, but also on a wide range of third-party sites. This content is excellent, but it is like a scavenger hunt to find all of it.

Market Research - Use market research and competitive intelligence to shape product and marketing strategy. As a small company, Opera understands the need to constantly focus and refresh its resources on generating revenue. It can enhance revenue if it sees all of the opportunities as well as the threats from the competition. Ultimately, these methods are about managing risk and deciding which bets the company wants to make in terms of product development and target markets to drive revenue generation.

Revenue Based on Branding & Marketing Activites

All this branding and marketing activity has got to produce revenue. The near term opportunity for Opera is to use its own community web pages as a revenue source. If Opera can drive desktop browser usage, it can also drive users to its community web pages. It just needs lots more of them.

Revenue from Blogging - Opera’s community blog pages offer new revenue opportunities if a critical mass of users can be attracted to them. The key success factor associated with revenue from blogging is the number of weekly page views is a much stronger predictor of weekly ad revenue and price than are either the number of inbound links or the number of blogs providing those links. For example, Typepad has 12 million blogging customers who are generating advertising revenue for the firm. Typepad shares some of this revenue with their customers which makes the whole package very attractive. There is unrealized revenue potential from blog-related advertising that will result from getting more people using the Opera browser and its community pages. You can get two benefits – more users of the desktop browser and more advertising revenue. The community web pages must be reliable and they must be promoted along with the browser. Opera will need several million users to get a critical mass. Currently, it has less than half a million regular users. Raising brand awareness of the Opera browser for desktop and mobile device products can drive new users to the community web pages.

Are You Right for the Job?

Opera is honest about the challenges facing the new VP for Desktop Marketing. In the job announcement, Opera says, "Qualified candidates must be naturally creative, think strategically, have strong communication abilities, analytical skills and a track record of developing product “buzz” online with limited resources." Obviously, a proven track record in viral marketing will be a plus. There you have it. If interested apply here.

UPDATE - the actual job posting was taken off Opera's website this week (March 15)


Mozilla makes millions through Google searches

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Internet shopping for information, home appliances, cars, clothes, records, and books is fueling the spectacular growth of the Mozilla open source software foundation and its signature product the Firefox browser. According to an Internet Week report, Mozilla gained a reported $72M of revenue in 2005 from click through searches on Google via the Firefox browser. By comparison, Opera had $23M in total revenues in 2005 according to its public financial report.

Mozilla's Revenues

The revenue number for Mozilla is in some dispute, but a spokesman for Mozilla said the estimate isn't off by much. Eventually, as a nonprofit corporation, Mozilla will have to file a revenue statement with the US government tax agency. That statement is a public filing which means the real number will come out sooner or later.

It should be lost on no one that Google strongly supports the Firefox browser through a free toolbar and the search giant pays programmers to work on developer of each new version. Google is using Firefox to drive searches, and click through advertising, to its search portal. Google reported that in 2005 it had revenues of $6.1B. More than half of that amount, $3.4B, came from search related advertising alone.

Opera's Revenues

Undoubtedly, Opera, which also has search revenue deals with Google for desktop and mobile device products, would love to have Mozilla's numbers. According to the public 4Q05 year-end report, Opera's year-end financials tell a story of a company speeding up its transition from licensing desktop browser software to end users to licensing its mobile technologies to Internet devices sold by telecommunuications giants. This month Opera inked a deal for Opera mini with T-Mobile to put the software on three new phones sold in Europe. This is the latest in a string of deals that put Opera's software on mobile devices marketed to millions by cell phone firms. The T-Mobile deal alone boosted Opera's stock price by 8%.

Opera made the desktop browser free in 3Q05, which resulted in a significant drop in those revenues. Previously, a desktop license cost $40. However, Opera made huge gains in revenues from Internet devices with an increase of $3.2M in revenue over 2004. Opera also inked search revenue deals with Google, Amazon, and other search engine portal sites for both the desktop browser and Opera mini, the firm's newest mobile device software.

Here are some additional highlights. Opera's financials are reported in NOK. I've converted the figures to USD.

* Total operating revenues $22.8M, down 18% from 2004 (-$4.9M)
* Total operating expenses $22.6M, up 45% from 2004 (+7.0M)
* Earnings after taxes dropped from $8.7M to $0.5M

Opera hired 69 staff during 2005 and revenue per employee dropped 39% from $142K to $86K. Payroll increased 42% from $3.5M to $4.9M.

These numbers clearly show Opera's significant investments in new product development and marketing. The company operates on a global basis with fewer than 300 paid employess. By comparison, Mozilla reportedly has fewer than 50 paid employees, but still depends on a worldwide network of volunteer developers who participate as part of the open source movement.

What we are talking about here is Internet commerce. A great roll'n roll song titled Money for Nothing by the group Dire Straits has lyrics that go like this . . .

Now look at them yo-yo’s that’s the way you do it
You play the guitar on the mtv
That ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it
Money for nothin’ and chicks for free
Now that ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it
Lemme tell ya them guys ain’t dumb

We gotta install microwave ovens
Custom kitchen deliveries
We gotta move these refrigerators
We gotta move these colour tv’s


And here is the rest of the story about Mozilla's millions . . .

http://www.internetnews.com/dev-news/article.php/3590756

March 10, 2006
Mozilla's Millions?

By Sean Michael Kerner
Internet News

Thanks to Google, Mozilla is raking in millions of dollars of revenue, which is used to pay the employees of the recently formed Mozilla Corporation and fund project and infrastructure development.

Google, which makes its share of philanthropic and open source donations, also directly employs a few Firefox developers, including lead developer Ben Goodger.

Google isn't just paying Mozilla "millions" out of the kindness of its heart. It's more so based on the same basic principle which it pays other partners and affiliates, namely search.

The default start page for Firefox includes a Google search dialogue box. It also defaults to Google search in its engine option on the Search Bar within the browser navigational toolbar. Mozilla gets paid a publicly undisclosed amount for each Google search query made from Firefox by a user.

That Google pays content and search partners, as well as AdSense participants, is not new. What is interesting, however, is the amount that Mozilla earns from its users' Google queries.

"We are very fortunate in that the search feature in Firefox is both appreciated by our users and generates revenue in the tens of millions of dollars," Mozilla head Mitchell Baker wrote in a recent blog post.

One blogger has speculated that the figure is as high as $72 million in fact.

Mozilla Corporation board member Chris Blizzard said that the $72 million figure is not correct, "though not off by an order of magnitude."

The Mozilla Corporation uses the fund to pay its employees which currently number 40 full-time equivalents (FTE) according to Baker. Most of those FTE's reside in either Mountain View, Calif., or in and around Toronto, Canada.







Opera's passage to India

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Opera Software has announced plans to open a testing and development facility in Chandigarh, India. The firm is planning a stronger focus on the Indian market, targeting primarily mobile phone services providers. The center will have 12 staff in the first year, including quality assurance testers for Opera's products.

The office will support the mobile browser developer's products, as well as 'Open the Web' evangelists. 'Open the Web' evangelists are Opera's Web technology experts assigned to help Web masters and developers create sites that are compliant with open standards.

Opera is targeting both mobile phones users and PC users in India. The desktop market is important to it because of both the revenue and the visibility it offers. In markets where Opera has a strong desktop presence it has been easier to get business from other markets such as mobile phones.

Opera CEO Jon S. von Tetzchner made the passage to India from Norway to open the center. He said the company decided to open its own office, rather than work through a third-party provider, because this would be the most efficient way to improve its products while attracting India's highly-skilled employee base.

"The country's tremendous growth in both Internet users and mobile subscribers sets a strong foundation for our business objectives," Tetzchner said. "At the same time, investing in the technical talent that India produces will help accelerate innovation in the desktop, mobile and device markets."

Opera is currently recruiting for staff to work at its new office in India.




Opera plays pac man

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Opera expanded its reach this week in terms of platforms which use the desktop browser. Opera is now available on the Nintendo DS WiFi enabled hand held game console in Japan with U.S. release expected later this year. The Opera browser, coupled with WiFi hot spots, will allow Nintendo users to play games online with other users. McDonald's is expected to co-market the device by providing wireless hot spots at over 6,000 locations. Embedding the browser in the game device, and linking it to a major fast food chain, is a clear push by Opera at gaining market share with teens and young adults. For these customers the placement could generate crossover branding opportunities for Opera. If as a teen or 20 something you've seen the browser on your game device, why not also have it on your cell phone? The branding image of Opera's browser could hitch a ride on big macs and pac man. Stranger things have happened :-)

By John Gaudiosi
Reuters
Thursday, February 16, 2006; 2:49 AM

LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) - Nintendo is expanding the entertainment capabilities of its best-selling Nintendo DS, making it possible to watch live television and surf the Internet using the dual-screen portable game device.

Oslo, Norway-based Opera Software is creating a Web browser for the handheld that will work with the built-in Wi-Fi functionality of the Nintendo DS. Once gamers buy the browser, which will come on a standard cartridge, they will be able to surf the Web on both the touch-sensitive and regular screens using the stylus and on-screen keypad for input.

[snip]

Nintendo also is rolling out additional features for the Nintendo DS, which so far has sold more than 14.4 million units. Starting next month, gamers will be able to download game demos, trailers and other content via retail kiosks that send content over Wi-Fi. Nintendo is also introducing Voice-over-Internet-Protocol with new games that will allow players to use the built-in microphone to talk in real time before and after online matches of games like "Metroid Prime: Hunters."

In November, Nintendo partnered with Wayport to allow gamers free Wi-Fi hot spots at more than 6,000 McDonald's restaurants. When coupled with the new Opera software, gamers would be able to play online games or search the Web at these hot spots for free, or log into thousands of other hot spots around the country at the standard rate.


Yet another battle of the browsers

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Internet Week has an 18-page comparison of Internet Explorer, Firefox, and Opera here. It include side-by-side comparisons and screen shots.

It's probably going to cause every other computer trade press publication to swear off browser comparisons for a while. If you want the final word on this month's browser versions you need look no further. Of course within six months Opera will ship version 9, Mozilla will issue at least several patches for Firefox, and by summer 2006 we are likely to see version 7 of Internet Explorer. So hang on to you hats or at least your keyboard.

Opera on your TV, Videos on your desktop

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Most readers think of the Opera browser in terms of being a desktop browser and on your cellphone. Perhaps what fewer people know is that Opera has a growing line of business as a browser for television sets connected to cable TV systems and for home entertainment centers.

Two developments this week could advance Opera as a mediator of television and video services in the workplace and the home.

Set Top TV Controls

This week Opera inked a deal with Amino IPTV a manufacturer of set top TV control boxes for the home, hotels, education, and corporate video services. With offices in the Cambridge, UK, Atlanta, GA, US; and, Hong Kong the firm offers Opera a global reach for integrating the browser into video and multimedia entertainment equipment.

Even better the deal includes the Opera browser with Amino's software development kit, Video device manufacturers now have the ability to integrate Opera its web browsing capabilities into the on-screen interface. The next time you surf the Internet from your hotel TV set you may find yourself using the Opera browser.

Video Download on Demand

Equally interesting this week is the announcement that BitTorrent, the peer-to-peer file sharing software that will be included in Opera 9, has announced a deal to license video downloads to your desktop or PC-connected home entertainment center. The deal, which will be available in the UK this Spring, offers users with high speed connections the ability to purchase video downloads for home viewing. Assuming Opera 9 is released later this year, its users in the UK may be able to access the capabilities of BitTorrent for downloading video on demand to their desktops.

***

Opera press release here



Opera 9 Tech Preview 2 is Out

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Technical preview 2 of Opera 9 code named "Merlin" was released today by Opera. Arve Bersvendsen has an excellent summary of features and screen shots here. Also, Tim Altman, an Opera developer, has a rich summary of Opera 9 features here.

Just to provide a quick summary Opera 9 includes the following features;

* Widgets - these are small web applications like clocks, weather, sports scores which run outside the browser and are cross platform which means you can run them under Windows, Linux, and MAC OS X.

* Content Blocking - in Opera 9 you can right click on any web page and select "block content" to stop external images or flash movies from loading.

* BitTorrent - this is the peer-to-peer file transfer utility. According to WebProNews, the Transfer Manager in Opera used to handle downloads will also handle the BitTorrent file transfers. "Implementing BitTorrent is a natural choice, considering its efficient use of bandwidth and worldwide popularity. For users this means that they can browse and download content in an application they're familiar with," Christen Krogh, Opera VP of Engineering, said in a statement.

Ashwin Navin, BitTorrent's president, waxed effusive about Opera's integration of BitTorrent and its collaboration with Bram Cohen, who created the file sharing technology. "With BitTorrent Search, Opera will be offering its users a seamless experience for discovering and downloading large files from the thousands of BitTorrent publishers around the world," he said.

BitTorrent speeds up the process of downloading large files through the clients that use it. Each client that downloads a file makes that file available for uploading back to the Internet, where other users can download it.

By bringing a number of clients into play, a torrent file downloads from multiple sources. Instead of one file coming from a single source, subject to the limitations of that site, smaller chunks of the file download can generally be downloaded faster.

Other improvements in Opera 9 include;

* Updated source viewer which includes syntax highlights

* Customizable searches

* Site-specific preferences

Also, Opera has taken a page, apparently, out of Google's playbook by tagging the web page for the preview edition of Opera 9 as "Opera Labs." As most readers know Google has a separate web page for newly emerging applications called Google Labs. Opera is now featuring its new technologies the same way. Check it out here.

Is Opera Trying to Do Too Much?

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Opera is spreading out in a number of directions and the question is, for a small company with a global reach, whether it is trying to do too much?

I need to emphasize that my posts here are my own and do not reply on any "inside knowledge" about the company. That said my view is that most likely Opera has two main priorities. They are completion of development and release of version 9 of the desktop browser code named Merlin and the recently released Opera Mini for cell phone and mobile/wireless devices.

But wait there's a lot more.

Last Fall Opera deployed its community web pages with free social blogging services. The objective is to get people to use Opera's cell phone browser to blog and increase usage of the mobile product line.

Opera used the giant Consumer Electronics Show in January to showcase its TV set top browser software for home entertainment devices.

In 2004 Opera also released browser product offerings in the automative and airline industry. You can control your car or watch a movie while airborne using the Opera browser.

Overall, it isn't too hard to see that the company might be starting to spread itself a bit thin.

Opera's own statements to investors indicate in the third quarter of 2005 it earned $5.6M with a loss of $450,000 (coverted from TNOK). The firm now has over 250 employees worldwide with a hiring campaign well underway.

The big push for Opera in 2006 is expected to be revenue from licensing or marketing partnerships that put the Opera browser on mobile phones. Opera also expects to push the home entertainment product line and has a new executive in charge of that market. Selection of a VP for the desktop market is still pending. What could be coming in the future is whether the Opera mini will support the delivery of video to mobile devices. This could create linkages between these markets.

I doubt someone is ever going to walk into a home consumer electronics store and ask for a television and stereo music entertainment system specifically because Opera is the browser that controls it. Opera's success in selling the browser to home entertainment device manufacturers is going to be based on the brand name of the desktop browser plus performance and pricing of the licensing deal. The branding effect is the main reason Opera promotes the desktop browser. The desktop browser is a key to branding for sales of the browser where Opera earns its revenue, which is on mobile devices, entertainement devices, and embedded systems etc.

Interestingly, the desktop market is very active. The desktop is the most significant platform used by members of Opera's community web pages. Opera most likely sees the community blog pages as being a potential showcase for both desktop and mobile versions of the browser. Release of version 9, code named Merlin, may emphasize integration between desktop and mobile devices. As noted above, with version 9 being a significant priority for the firm, watch how the company promotes its across application spaces, e.g., desktop, mobile, TV, etc.

So what must Opera do for its community web pages to succeed?

This is one of the areas where Opera appears to be pursuing the theme that "a man's reach must exceed his grasp." Opera has both reliability problems and capacity problems. Access to this blog space is repeated interrupted due to server errors and slow performance is often the norm. My favorite error message is "bad upstream server."

My suggestion is that Opera deploy mirror servers outside of Norway for its community pages to avoid the now long standing performance and reliability issues that have continuously troubled the community web pages since their launch in September 2005. As it is now February 2006, it is no longer possible or relevant to assign these issues to "growing pains."

If Opera wants to play as a global company, it should consider how it will provision its community web pages with assured access by users. I've noted that other firms with global community blog services have offered users access to servers in Asia, Europe, and North America in an effort to avoid single points of failure with one server farm.

Blogging services that fail through technical shortfalls or mismanagement, or both, get negative computer trade press. See for instance this report from Computerworld on Typepad's service and access problems which resulted in significant outages in December 2005.

While Opera's web pages are free for now, and Typepad is a commercial service, I assume it is only a matter of time before Opera offers advertising on community pages perhaps even offers to share revenues with the best bloggers. This business model can succeed if Opera is able to execute its technical plan and management processes in ways that avoid the current access, reliability, and performance problems.

Users who invest heavily in blogs, with or without the expectation of revenue, will migrate quickly to other services if the ISP or blog service cannot perform in a reliable manner. The Computerworld article cited above cites others blog services' problems and the marketing hit they take in their brand value for "single points of failure."

Opera has less than half a million users on its community web blogs and Typepad claims 12 million users. Assuming Opera wants the page views needed to boost revenues from its search deals with Google, Amazon, etc., it has to take a lesson from Typepad's rough experience.

Does the desktop market matter to Opera?

The question now facing Opera is how much faster can it expand without busting the seams of its current capabilities to support the products and services it already has. The desktop market is mostly likely to lag since Opera's revenues from it are hardly significant compared to revenues from mobile devices.

Opera wants very much to reach "young, hip, and dynamic" users with its mobile device software and services either directly or through marketing partners and their devices running the Opera browser. Opera my be successful in many parts of the world, Asia, Europe, where the Internet is mostly accessed from mobile wireless devices rather than desktops.

In the U.S. where the desktop on broadband or wireless laptop are still the devices of choice for accessing the Internet, Opera may be less market penetration, but may not care, or at least not much. The desktop might be seen by Opera, especially in the U.S., as a necessary evil, but not as the main event. Interestingly, in email exchanges with mainstream media reporters at the Washington Post and Wall Street Journal, the feedback they get is that what U.S. Opera users care about is primarily using the browser on the desktop. U.S. users, except for the most digitally "hip" just don't blog from their cell phones. They use text messaging from cell phones and instant messaging from desktops.

Now it may be that Opera can find a way to promote the Opera mini as a means to support text messaging and instant messaging on mobile devices. I don't know if social blogging alone will achieve that result. Websites that promote exchange of photos such as MySpace and Flickr include uploading of photos from cell phones. The so-called 20-something generation is the big user group. Can Opera use the desktop to build brand recognition for cell phones that use Opera mini and with this demographic? Will just viral marketing to one age group of end users be enough?

Neither Opera nor Mozilla's Firefox have overt enterprise strategies. A lot of the desktop marketing efforts by both firms are aimed directly at end users. So if you look at market share for browsers, Microsoft, which markets its PC operating system and Office suite globally to enterprises, is likely to continue to dominate the browser market. Indeed, after a noisy start Firefox is still hovering in the range of 10-15% market share depending on how you count and where. Opera's next version of its browser software will identify itself as Opera and this may bring an end to under counting of users. Even so, despite going free earlier in 2005, Opera's market share in the desktop arena is still so small it is almost an afterthought in the statistics. If Opera wants enterprise sales it has to find a way to deliver value to large organizations either directly or through partners without losing brand building momentum in the process. It also needs a resource package for deployment and support across a compnay's internal network. IBM may have promoted Firefox to hundreds of thousands of its employees, but you can be sure they didn't do it with downloads, employee-by-employee, from Mozilla's website.

So, there is a lot on Opera's plate, and the company cannot be faulted for its ambitions. That's good for investors. End users must be realistic about what the company is trying to do. If you want to use Opera on a mobile device chances are you will get your way.

More to come on this next week.






Web development tools & Opera

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One of the issues that gets a lot of attention is how web sites recognize Opera and then serve the full suite of capabilities for that site to users of the browser. As Opera's installed base of users grows, now that desktop piece is free, there could be a way to promote web site services aimed at Opera users by pursuing relationships with publishers of web site development tools. This move could really get things moving for Opera in terms of making the desktop a more important product platform for Opera rather than just as a test bed for applications targeted at mobile devices.

As Opera subscribes to well-understood web site standards, and related webs site performance issues, this isn't a technical issue. It is a marketing issue. For instance, most web site development tools offer a "preview mode" for your default browser. It should be simple enough to specify Opera as the default browser. Could things be taken to the next step?

Could Opera align via a marketing agreement with publishers of web site development tools? The goal would be to offer added value features which become available if the developer specifically targets Opera as the browser of choice for the web site user?

One opportunity would be a testing procedure in the desktop development tool to see how the HTML code complies with specific well understood industry standards. Another opportunity is related to Opera's small screen rendering technologies. See more on this below. A third is for web site services on mobile devices I'm only mentioning three for examples. What else can you think of?

My point is that if Opera wants more web sites to offer the full range of services to Opera users, it needs to address the developer side of the issue and get tools out there that make it more productive to serve to Opera.

The equation now is that web developers don't necessarily think about Opera. They think about Internet Explorer or Firefox. What if Opera offered web site development software publishers a toolkit to add to their products, either in the next release cycle or as an add-on, that gave them some kind of competitive edge? The value proposition is that it would need to help the publisher sell more software licenses and the developer make better web sites.

Opera is already doing this to some extent in its deal with Adobe announced in April 2005. The Opera browser is integrated in Adobe Creative Suite 2. This design and publishing environment uses Opera as the engine for the majority of content manipulation, powering Adobe GoLive CS 2, Adobe Photoshop CS 2, and other components of Adobe Creative Suite 2.

Opera said in its press release it has, "leveraged its cross-platform performance to join Adobe in helping developers create optimal Web pages for both desktop computers and mobile devices."

Perhaps the most interesting part of the deal is that using the Adobe Creative Suite 2 with Opera, Web designers have the ability to view how Web page content will look on a small screen. Opera's Small-Screen Rendering (SSR) technology reformats Web pages to fit the screen of mobile phones, eliminating horizontal scrolling. Web developers can now design their sites to be optimally viewed on any device, regardless of the screen size.

This idea goes beyond publishing APIs or being a rendering engine or viewer. It tries to get at being a valued added partner in the published tool with the end result in mind that web sites that use the tool will be much more likely to deliver the full suite of services to people using the Opera browser.

Web sites like Yahoo or some music sites actively discriminate against people who use ANY browser other than Internet Explorer. What I see as the goal of this idea is that the partnership with web development tool makers is that their products now make it easy to offer the same services to Opera as they do to Internet Explorer and without loss of programmer productivity.

Of course this is a goal, but if Opera wants more page views, and more search results on Google that produce revenue, it needs more web sites that are friendly to Opera. Rather than going through the back end and approach web sites that suck, this is a front end approach that knocks off the problem before it occurs.

Coupled with the release this month of the Opera mini, which potentially puts the web on hundreds of millions of cell phones, and the firm could really get the train moving, just as I said :-)


Opera mini makes big impression

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After a stealth release in Europe, Opera rolled out the global release of Opera mini, a cell phone application that makes hundreds of millions of cell phones potentially able to run the Opera browser and surf the net from a wireless device.

Mobile phones must support Java in order to use the new browser. Opera Mini compresses Web pages by up to 80 percent and reformats them using what Opera calls small-screen rendering for easier browsing on mobile screens.

Opera said using the software will lead to significantly faster browsing and reduced phone bills for users who pay per kilobit of data traffic. Opera Mini's start page integrates a Google search box.

Opera will soon offer customized versions of Mini to mobile phone operators and handset manufacturers.

The browser is available in English, German, Spanish, French, Russian, Polish, Norwegian, Swedish, Danish and Finnish. More languages will be added in the coming months. Download and installation is no more complicated than downloading a ringtone.


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