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ekzept

data, science, statistics, economics

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exuberant exhortation

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exhuberant exhortation
why this is a big deal.






YM handle disneylogic
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stellar

the gutsy explorers at
Woods Hole Oceanographic
Deep Sea News
exploring Earth, the Ocean Planet

this is ekzept


As a matter of practice, I do not friend members of the Opera community who have blank profiles or minimal pages and blogs

for my ballerina

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A song for my beautiful ballerina
(4 MB MP3, mono to keep small).

Autumn, m'love, I dream of us dancing long hours, arms entwined on a warm western coast, while the sun sets, deep and red.

("Ballerina" by Special EFX. Here's the full stereo 10 MB version, MP3.)

places to live and the unreasonable potency of the Wah Effect

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What makes places to live attractive? Why does someone choose to live one place or another? And why is the Wah Effect so creatively potent?

It certainly seems to matter a lot where you live. These anecdotal reports raise, of course, the possibility of fallacy even on the philosophical level, as concerns Taleb and others. There are four broad categories of purpose, reason to live somewhere:
  1. reasons of constraint
  2. reasons of opportunity
  3. reasons of affection
  4. reasons of well-being
Reasons of constraint occur when your place of residence is limited by statute, or operational legalisms, often prohibitions. Race and religious biases enshrined in law are examples. Prohibitions against immigration are another.

Reasons of opportunity are the pushes and pulls of jobs and financial circumstance, moving overseas to take a more lucrative job, or maintaining two wildly separate holdholds in a relationship because each partner has their own career to pursue, and this is deemed best for them separately and together.

Reasons of affection are simply wanting to live places in order to be close to those we love, whether significant others or communities with which we have emotional bonds.

Reasons of well-being are motives which make some locales more attractive because they are comparatively safe, whether that marginal safety is actual or not.

I'll drop constraint and well-being from consideration, concentrating on the tradeoffs between opportunity and affection.

While materials and things enable, empower, and further, they can also constrain. If lack of opportunity pushes people to violate reasons of constraint or reasons of well-being, there isn't enough opportunity, and this can be bad. If opportunity compromises affection, however, there is a serious risk of ending as Don Quioxte observed, wondering on your deathbed why you had lived. This is the theme of the song "Lyin' Eyes" by The Eagles.

So says the rational analysis. I prefer another.

The minor biblical figure Naaman took wagonloads of soil with him, in gratitude for his apparent cure from leprosy by the god of Israel. Naaman felt he needed the soil of the Land in order to worship this god properly. In short, he used his power, wealth, and influence to bring place with him, or an approximation of it. I would prefer to think that we have more insight and wisdom than Naaman. Whether it is a J.K.Rowling or a Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak in a Silicon Valley garage, those passionate in and with creativity can find ways of transforming their situations into greatness. It's not always possible, and it doesn't always work, but the wah-wah pedal can transform a good performance into a heart-wrenching great one, a singularity of the spirit.

And the Wah Effect is not that special, an accidental distortion in frequency. Yet masters to use it create rivotting emotion out of the expected, almost out of nothing.

Every place has its wah-wah pedal. And Naaman was just wrong.

Song, Feelin' Stronger Every Day by Chicago (8 MB MP3). Only some of the lyrics apply, only the happy pro-coupling ones. Music's great, though.

mean free path

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Definition. The mean free path of a particle is the average distance a particle travels between collisions with other moving particles. Related concepts include mean time between collisions, a more complicated expression involving mean free path and a distributon of particle speeds. Analogously, in life, mean free path is the time between homes, or between regions of comfort. People are, to borrow and stretch the physical analogy, highly inelastic, so when they "collide" with a new home, they remain there for a while.

I'm on a journey to happiness, in the delightful throes of romance and hope, and am very much kinetic. I don't know the future. Being in flight carries anxiety, and some discomfort doing the things that just need to be done, in the hope that amidst all the burden of necessity there will be time for sharing.

These photographs document a stop along the way, places of love, busyness, ceremony, joy, tears, and my active choice to pursue these, after so many many years of being buffetted by shoulds. So, unlike the particle, I am steering this course, I am sailing this ship, even if I need to tack.

Read more...

"Will someone not rid me of this meddlesome priest?"

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Does anyone else find it deeply disturbing that, according to a story on NPR News today, the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops managed to get Pelosi to (effectively) agree to an anti-abortion plank in the recent health care bill passed by the House of Representatives? Or that this organiozation, the Catholic Church, entrenched in privilege, power, and shielded from taxes, wealthy in property, can nonetheless use the power of pulpit to advance its own narrowly-defined non-universal causes?
(posted by cellphone at laundromat)

Hear Me Calling

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(a blog post for Autumn)



It's in the Rain

as performed by Enya

Every time the rain comes down
I close my eyes and listen
I can hear the lonesome sound
Of the sky as it cries

Listen to the rain
Here it comes again
Hear it in the rain

Feel the touch of tears that fall
They won't fall forever
In the way the day will flow
All things come, all things go

Listen to the rain, the rain
Here it comes again, again
Hear it in the rain, the rain

Late at night I drift away
I can hear you calling
And my name is in the rain
Leaves on trees whispering
Deep blue seas, mysteries

Even when this moment ends
Can't let go this feeling
Everything will come again
In the sound falling down
Of the sky as it cries
Hear my name in the rain

Written by: Ni Bhraonain, Eithne Ryan, Nicky Ryan, Roma Shane

(MP3 link, 5.7 MB)



Amarantine

as performed by Enya

You know when you gave your love away
It opens your heart, everything is new
And you know time will always find a way
To let your heart believe it's true
You know love is everything you say
A whisper, a word, promises you give
You feel it in the heartbeat of the day
You know this is the way love is

Amarantine
Amarantine
Amarantine
Love is always love

Amarantine
Amarantine
Amarantine
Love is always love

You know love may sometimes make you cry
So let the tears go, they will flow away
For you know love will always let you fly
How far a heart can fly away

Amarantine
Amarantine
Amarantine
Love is always love

Amarantine
Amarantine
Amarantine
Love is always love

You know when love's shining in your eyes
It may be the stars fallen from above
And you know love is with you when you rise
For night and day belong to love

(MP3 link, 4.4 MB)

Autumn

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Early a wonderful, vibrant, creative, love-filled Friday morning, 23rd October 2009, by the Charles River, near Harvard.

strange courage from Tennessee

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Anecdote of the Jar

I placed a jar in Tennessee,
And round it was, upon a hill.
It made the slovenly wilderness
Surround that hill.

The wilderness rose up to it,
And sprawled around, no longer wild.
The jar was round upon the ground
And tall and of a port in air.

It took dominion everywhere.
The jar was gray and bare.
It did not give of bird or bush,
Like nothing else in Tennessee.

-- Wallace Stevens



Nuances of a Theme by Williams

It's a strange courage
you give me, ancient star:

Shine alone in the sunrise
toward which you lend no part!


I

Shine alone, shine nakedly, shine like bronze,
that reflects neither my face nor any inner part
of my being, shine like fire, that mirrors nothing.

II

Lend no part to any humanity that suffuses
you in its own light.
Be not chimera of morning,
Half-man, half-star.
Be not an intelligence,
Like a widow's bird
Or an old horse.

-- Wallace Stevens



Wallace Stevens is my favorite poet. I've cited him before. I so enjoy his metaphysical, rational passion, a combination of things which probably can only be expressed in poetry and song.

long discussion on the Kullback-Leibler divergence

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There's a long discussion about the Kullback-Leibler divergence and its relationship to the Akaike information criterion available, one to which I contributed. This turned rather philosophical, which I don't think was strictly necessary, or important.

WHOI's Nereus is active again!

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supposed inflation because of government overspending, the price of gold, and the dollar

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I've read several articles blaming the falling dollar and the rising price of gold upon market response to excessive government spending over the long term, often highlighting the health care reforms being avidly debated in Congress and among the citizenry. I heard something like that from a commentator on CNBC, too, on a recent flight. It makes no sense.

While there is a plausible mechanism and model that says excessive government spending raises in the minds of investors the possibility of government default years down the road, if that were true, you would expect to see interest on government debts ticking up, because investors holding it would be demanding higher prices at auctions to incur that additional risk. There is no evidence of that. It is lamentable that these people make these comments when they really ought to know better. I heard a similar thing on CNBC when the recent Nobel awards in economics were announced. The announcer presented a p-baked version of Ostrom's work (p<<1), heavily biased with an anti-government regulatory slant. That's a misrepresentation of Ostrom's work. Sure, Ostrom argues government regulation isn't necessary, but large corporations aren't either, at least in certain markets, and corporate interference in these markets -- such as the Internet -- is just as bad as government interference.

Back to the dollar and gold, the reason the dollar is going down is because, well, interest rates and projected corporate earnings are low, and people are putting monies in other "banks" which promise higher inflation-adjusted rates. (Our inflation rate remains low, too.) As far as gold goes, the monetary system of old is rearranging itself, and there is substantial pressure on commodities. I think people are piling into gold because its a safe midpoint place to stash cash while things sort out. There are also speculators.

The rise in price of gold was forseeable, even a few years ago, simply China's ascendency and invoking a notion of continuity in people's perceptions of nations' influence and control.

on common carriage

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About cooperatively managing a common asset, the subject of the recent award of a Nobel Prize in Economics to Elinor Ostrom, and, on a related matter, to Oliver Williamson. Martin Wolf does a nice summary of this as well. Here is the book that spells it out.

It is interesting that what seems to work in these regards is intelligent cooperation, neither extreme, competitive individualism nor government rule-making and intervention. This cooperation includes the shunning and punishing users of common resources who do not cooperate or exceed the perceived thresholds of fair consumption.

How this might be done against large corporate exploiters is something which, I guess, needs to be worked out. It's interesting that, in some sense, viewed from this perspective, a corporation is an extension of government because it only exists by government say-so as an entity.

November 2009
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