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Words From The Wilds

Investing

Links to my popular articles on Triond

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I have written articles which some may find quite helpful. Other readers have found some of these useful and I thought I would post a few of the more popular links here in case some of my Opera readers are also interested.

Fix that plugged drain in minutes
Improve your dart game
Lawn mower repair (electrical)
Minor Poulan chain saw repair
Make an inexpensive bird-feeder

You may also want to have a look at some of the other writing I have at Triond.

From an investing point of view, much has happened in the last several months, although I am sticking with a few income trusts to weather the recent storms we have had in the investing community. Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust may be moving to a dividend-paying open-ended fund structure and, although there is concern from unit-holders, this is a change that I will ride out, having received many decent distributions in the last few years. The distribution rate has been reduced in the last few months but still manages C$0.026/unit which would be 11+% annual yield at recent market prices. Canwel Building Materials Income Fund has very recently reduced it's distribution as well, coming in at about 23% yield/year at today's prices. Looking at Rogers Sugar Income Fund, distribution rates are holding for now and yield about 13%/year at present market prices. Difficult times require difficult decisions and I trust that the manager's of these funds and trusts that I have been following have taken a logical and sensible approach to their responsibilities.

At today's market prices, the average yield for the income trusts/funds that I have listed previously in this blog is about 17% before taxes.

2009 - A Year To Adjust

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Changes need to be made in our thinking in order to survive as investors in this topsy-turvy world of late. When all of this downturn started last year, I vowed to maintain my positions on the holdings I had in my portfolio. Every time I have done this in the past years (to be safe), I generated many actual losses that would have been fine as paper value losses had I retained the holdings. This time I am increasing my holdings through use of a DRIP (dividend re-investment program). This is a time when the units of the particular trust have started a small recovery but have much value left to recover. In this way, I can accumulate more units without the cost of transaction fees, which are absorbed by the trust company itself. What this means to me is that even with small $ value of dividends being received, I can still acquire more units each month which will increase the dividends received for the following month, which will facilitate the purchase of more units, and so on. This is a low-cost, albeit slow method for rebuilding value in my portfolio without injecting more of that hard-to-get cash, and risking even greater losses if the global economy continues to weaken.

An Exciting Excursion

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Well, now for something a little different. My wife and a friend took the Smart Car out to a nearby forestry area today where there is much wildlife to see and photograph. Their original intent was to do a fair bit of walking but while they were strolling, they were surprised by a small black bear cub about 50 yards away. As they didn't see the mother around, they quickly turned and headed back to the car. When they returned home just a few minutes ago, I questioned why they didn't capture the bear with the camera. That would have made a pretty good photo. I am glad, though, that they opted for a safe retreat rather than spend more time in the area. Other than that, they did take some pretty nice photos of flowers they saw on the walk. It is a beautiful Ontario day with a blue, blue sky and nary a blackfly nor mosquito in sight (a true rarity for lately), with fresh, clear air and lots of sunshine.

Finally Some Positive Movement

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After some significant drops in market price over the several months since last fall, we see a small rebound for some of the trusts I have been following. Here is an update to 2008-Apr-15 showing gains/losses since 2006-June-13 (not including normal and special distributions):

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (+9%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (+22%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (+33%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-24%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-35%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-28%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-29%)
Badger Income Fund (+20%)

I am still accumulating some of these as the price/distribution is still great (good income generators).

Not A Great Autumn for Trusts and Many Others

Here it is 2008 February 29, and the market has confused many of us for several months. The continuing worries about recession in the U.S. and the effects on the global economy have investors either sitting on the hands, wringing their hands, or out of the market. Personally, my inclination to sit in the sidelines and watch rather than take the temptation and buy up the bargains. Many investors (Canadian especially) have seen their investments dwindle over the last couple of years as various tax changes have hit deep into the value of their holdings. Combine this with the present financial woes of the U.S. and the cost of an expensive, continuing war overseas, and the myriad of other global effects (not the least of which is global warming and the resulting changes to an individual's financial life), and it is difficult to recoup losses taken in the past few years.

Here is the update on the income stocks I have been following showing how much their market value has changed from 2006-June-13 to 2008-Jan-15:

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (-2%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (+26%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (+24%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-26%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-25%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-22%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-36%)
Badger Income Fund (+17%)

These are still good income producers and some represent great bargains at present market costs. For more information, please refer to http://www.nextbigwhoop.com/income_production.htm

It Has Been A While

Being a few months since my last posting, some changes to the income trust situation have occurred with a rebound in the market price for some of these. However, reasonable distributions continue to be paid out regularly to unitholders. Distributions remain decent for most and great for some (still). Canwel provides about 16% income (annually) before taxes, based on recent prices.

Here is the update for price performance (not including income received) since first mention here several months ago (the market prices are as of 2007-06-15 and the changes are since my first mention):

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (+22%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (+19%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (+10%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-1%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-18%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-6%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-15%)
Badger Income Fund (+1%)

That's all for now.

And What Now?

Well, there are some good deals still out there in trust world. Actually, with the low market prices for some of these, the yield is quite good. The market for these investments still appears a little confused, possibly until the next election. Still, the distributions are decent for most and great for some (still). Canwel, for example, still yields about 18% income before taxes, based on recent prices.

Here is an update for price performance (not including income received) since first mention here several months ago for those trusts that I am following (the market prices are as of 2007-03-16 and the changes are since my first mention):

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (+31%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (+5%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (-3%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-15%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-16%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-12%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-26%)
Badger Income Fund (-9%)

For more detailed information on these, see http://www.nextbigwhoop.com/income_production.htm

2007 Brings Less Uncertainty for Trusts

Well, I would have thought that by now the income trust tax issue would be settled and if you believe Mr. Flaherty, it is. There have been a few distribution cuts announced, some affecting the trusts I am following. In spite of these reductions, the yields still appear very good compared to bank interest or GIC interest, with most yields at least 10 or 11%. Canwel (my favourite) has yet to announce a reduction and is paying out about 17% (based on Jan 15, 2007 market prices).

Since first mention here several months ago, the market prices (at 2007-01-15) and changes since my first mention are:

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (+22%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (+11%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (-6%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-10%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-13%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-13%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-16%)
Badger Income Fund (-18%)

I believe that with about 4 years left until the tax changes affect most of these, there is sufficient time for good income and perhaps some (seems very likely) market price appreciation which will reduce the yields for new unit holders but will benefit existing holders of these trusts. Of great interest to me is Energy Savings Income Fund which is very inexpensive to buy at present (C$12.69) and which has recently announcecd its 24th distribution increase since inception, now paying C$1.035 per unit per year or C$0.08625 per month per unit.

That's all for now.

Nice Burn

Well, it has been quite a fall. Due to lack of information about changes to the Canadian income tax that most trusts will pay after 2011, it truly has been difficult knowing what to think about this investment vehicle.
I still have great faith that the trusts I am following will survive in one form or another, and will continue to benefit the unit-holding investor, if not as well as before, then still much better than other forms of (more) conservative investments. The businesses that underly most of the trusts mentioned here have been successfully and progressively operating for several years. I see no reason why these companies cannot adjust for the changes and reduce distributions to investors to offset the changes. This will create a lower-yield investment that will still be very healthy.
Here is an update to show how the value (not including income) of investments that I am following is tracking since I first mentioned them here several months ago:

Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (+16%)
Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (-1%)
Badger Income Fund (-8%)
Rogers Sugar Income Trust (-8%)
Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (-9%)
Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (-15%)
Yellow Pages Income Trust (-14%)
Penn West Energy Trust (-16%)

Most of these show a 10 to 15% loss (result of Canadian income tax changes). However, all of these trusts have continued to pay good distributions during this period, and show every indication of continuing to do so for the near future. I have stopped following Tahera Diamond and IPSCO in this blog. For a different view, check Next Big Whoop.

Slowly but surely

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A brief update to show how the value (not including income) of investments that I am following is tracking since I first mentioned them here several months ago:

  • Penn West Energy Trust (+1%)
  • Sentry Select Diversified Income Trust (+12%)
  • Badger Income Fund (+7%)
  • Boston Pizza Royalty Income Trust (+6%)
  • Cominar Real Estate Income Trust (even)
  • Rogers Sugar Income Trust (-4%)
  • Yellow Pages Income Trust (-11%)
  • Ipsco Steel (-6%)
  • Canwel Building Materials Income Fund (-17%)
  • Tahera Diamond (-42%)

Most of these show a modest improvement since the last review posted here except for Tahera and Yellow Pages.
July 2009
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