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Son of Mars

Never give up

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Entry for August 21, 2008

There are no stupid people just stupid decisions. No matter how stupid this decision is, it’s right only at this moment, not at all. In fact we cannot predict the future, all we try to do is find a linear way based on some things happened in the past and other things would be happened in near future, not far future. So that some ridiculous decision of other guys could be a wise decision after all and time is the best answer. Sometime your expected things happen, and you (like a child) would shout at the top of your voice proudly “I’m right again, I’m so wise”. Obviously, it seems that your brilliant intelligence show you the right way, but after all you yourself wouldn’t know if it happened logically or accidentally. This is the fact, in psychology and cognitive science they call it “confirmation bias”. I’ve got a friend, he usually said that I did or said many right things from people assessment to making decision, etc …, he said that I’m his miracle mirror, and sometimes repeat my words that I cannot remember where or when I said these. Of course, I did some right thing, but I still don’t know that if I stay there a little bit longer what would happen. In short it likes a confirmation bias, “a tendency to search for or interpret new information in a way that confirms one's preconceptions and avoids information and interpretations which contradict prior beliefs”. I, of course, sometimes try interpreting information in accord with my common sense, or fishing an agreement, and sometime luckily I’m right. However I cannot do everything smoothly day by day, I’m a guy who has many mistakes obviously and sometime like a greenhorn with empty brain. So you yourself make your own decision and are responsible for this. Maybe you’re right; maybe I’m wrong, time is the final answer. In fact, what goes around comes around, you only try to do something that’s suitable with our opinion, wait and see what would happen next and hope your expectation come true.

Confirmation bias