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What on earth

August 2009

( Monthly archive )

Bursting Glacial Lakes in Nepal

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A glacial lake is a lake formed by the melting of glacier ice. In a time like now with global warming most glaciers on earth are retreating, resulting in more and swelling glacial lakes - lakes that are often formed behind terminal/end moraines, also known as moraine dammed glacier lakes. A serious problem with such lakes is that when the water reaches a certain level the dam will burst and an extremely large amount of water will suddenly flow into lower valleys with potential catastrophic results.

Studies of the past 30 years show that the temperatures in the Himalayas are rising up to eight times faster than the global average. Nepal has more than 2,300 glacial lakes and experts say at least 20 are in danger of bursting. One of them is the Imja Glacier above Dengboche, which is retreating by about 70 metres a year, and the melting ice has formed a huge lake that could devastate villages downstream if it bursts. The Imja lake, that was nonexistent in 1960, is now the second largest glacial lake in Nepal and is considered the most dangerous. It covers almost one square kilometre, and is estimated to hold 36 million cubic metres of water.

Information about how many people would be affected by a glacial lake bursting remains limited, but experts say the floodwaters could reach as far as Nepal's southern planes and beyond. Environment secretary Uday Raj Sharma said last week the bursting of the Imja lake would be like a "Nepalese tsunami," comparing it with the 2004 Indian Ocean disaster in which around 220,000 people died.

Global Warming - Imja Glacier - on YouTube (of November 10, 2007):






Academics


Great Pacific Garbage Patch #2

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In June 2009 a high-seas mission departed from San Francisco to map and explore the Pacific Garbage Patch, as I mentioned in a post about the garbage patch on 27 May 2009. The ocean scientists recently came back from there voyage, and in fact the situation is worse than they thought. They found plastic debris strewn across a 2,700 km long stretch of open sea.

Smaller expeditions have come across the patch before, but researchers from Project Kaisei and the Scripps Environmental Accumulation of Plastic Expedition (SEAPLEX) journeyed through the entire area, collecting samples the whole way. The plastic trash is difficult to visualize from satellites since much of it consists of tiny plastic flecks beneath the surface of the ocean. Among the upsetting things seen by the team: barnacles attached to plastic bottles, and crabs, sea anemones, and sponges living alongside the trash. And while the expedition covered 2,700 km, members of the Kaisei team say the patch could be much, much larger.

The team have brought back samples, they will spend at least six months on analysis of the problem to figure out the density of debris in the ocean, sort out the types of plastic there, and determine the ecological impact on wildlife in the Pacific. Some researchers even theorize that the plastic could be recovered and turned into fuel.

Cleanup will be difficult because the vast majority are small, about the size of a thumbnail or smaller - a lot of particles are about the size of the animals that are living out there, so that would certainly present a challenge to removing those particles.

The Eastern Garbage Patch floats between Hawaii and California and has earlier been estimated to be an island of rubbish twice the size of Texas and created from six million tonnes of discarded plastic.





PS of 31 August 2009:
See also http://sio.ucsd.edu/Expeditions/Seaplex/

Academics

Strong Earthquake - No Damage

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A 6.8-magnitude quake occurred in the Banda Sea, Indonesia, on Friday 28 August at 09:51 local time. It caused no severe damage, and although it was under sea it triggered no tsunami.

If you wonder why? the answer is simple, it was far too deep. And by deep I mean really deep - at a depth of 633.2 km. It is about as deep as earthquakes go. The deepest earthquake ever recorded is 705 km deep, under the Fiji Islands in the Southwest Pacific, on 6 May 2007.

Such deep earthquakes only occur in subduction zones - and only in some old subduction zones.



Looking at a map of historic seismicity from USGS we can see that the quake occurred in a band of former deep earthquakes (marked in red) at a certain distance from the surface frontier of the subduction zone marked as a purple line. In this area it is in fact relatively easy (even though the plate tectonics in the area are rather complex) to follow the inclination of the Benioff zone from shallow earthquakes, 0 – 36 km deep, to the deepest earthquakes 500 – 800 km deep. The earthquake foci normally plot along a dipping plane at an angle of 33 to 60 degrees and such a plane is called a Benioff zone. Earthquakes along Benioff zones define a lithospheric plate that descends into the mantle beneath another, overlying plate. The zone is named after Hugo Benioff, a US seismologist who first described this feature.



In Danish:





Academics

Invest in Climate Science to Save Money

“Predictions of regional climate change for the next few decades are characterised by high uncertainty, but this uncertainty is potentially reducible through investments in climate science.”



This conclusion may not be new, but I find it nice to see it backed up by new research published by scientists from the UK's National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) in the scientific journal, the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. The study shows that investments made now, can lead to as much as 10-20% improvement in climate predictions for the UK and Europe in the coming decades, and up to 20% across the rest of the globe.

As some (climate) science bloggers have pointed out adaptation to climate change may be a smarter way forward than climate engineering (also known as geoengineering). Anyway a certain amount of climate change is inevitable, and we will certainly need to adapt. Policy-makers currently need better predictions to aid planning for adaptation to climate change in the coming years, and such improvements could present enormous economic savings: uncertainty in climate forecasts means that adaptation measures have to be designed with greater resilience, making them more expensive.

“Because the costs of adaptation are expected to be very large, the clear implication is that reducing uncertainty in climate predictions is potentially of enormous economic value.”



Invest more in climate science - NOW!

Reference:
Hawkins and Sutton
The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
2009 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
(So far only preliminary version)





Academics

Is Paleodictyon a Living Fossil?

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A team of a dozen scientists now report new in situ observations and laboratory studies of specimens of a small (diameter 2.4–7.5 cm) strikingly hexagonal form originally described from sedimented steps in a wall of the axial valley of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge (water depth 3430–3575 m) near 26°N, 45°W that appears to be identical to the iconic form Paleodictyon nodosum described as a trace fossil from Eocene flysch deposits at sites in Europe and Wales.


(This photo of Paleodictyon is from the Benkovac Stone Unit. The Late Eocene Benkovac Stone Member of the Promina Formation of northern Dalmatia, Croatia, is a thinly bedded succession of alternating carbonate sandstones and calcareous mudstones, ca. 40 m thick, exposed as a narrow, SE-trending outcrop belt near the town of Benkovac. The Eocene was an epoch from ca. 56 - 34 million years ago.)

The team has gathered enough evidence to prove that the organism represents one of the world’s oldest living fossils, perhaps the oldest. The ancestors of the creature, Paleodictyon nodosum, go back to the dawn of complex life. And the creature itself, known from fossils, was once thought to have gone extinct some 50 million years ago.

So far it has not been possible to capture one of the creatures alive. It thrives in restricted areas of Atlantic seabed. Its only visible feature consists of tiny holes arranged in six-sided pattern. Until the real creature has been caught the scientists still vigorously debate what it is. The main question is whether the hexagonal patterns are burrows or body parts, vacant residences or animal remains.

The new paper seeks no consensus on the question of whether the holes and subsurface networks represent burrows or body parts. Dr. Seilacher, who backs the burrow idea, sees the tunnels as a kind of farm where an unknown type of worm or other organism raises micro-organisms to eat, while Dr. Rona sees the holes as body parts, perhaps from a type of compressed sponge. The lack of biological clues, he said in an interview, may arise because microbial predators eat the remains after the creatures die.

Reference:
Rona et al.
Paleodictyon nodosum: A living fossil on the deep-sea floor
doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2009.05.015
(Article in Press)





AcademicsTop Blogs

Goldrush on Svalbard?

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Svalbard is known for its coal production, but now they hope to start up gold mining. Store Norske Gull, a daughter company of the Store Norske Group, who operates Norwegian coal production on Svalbard (Spitsbergen), started looking for gold at the St. Jonsfjord (indeed named after the writer of John’s Gospel) in 2004. They continued their exploration in 2008, and now in 2009 after two weeks geological surveying in the field (10 people taking samples with hammer and spade) they are optimistic enough to want to start drilling. The samples have been very promising. Logistically speaking drilling is not straight forward - there are indeed no roads in the area.

The company has already applied to the Governor of Svalbard for permit to bring drilling equipment to St. Jonsfjord . If a permission to start drilling is given, the company plans to start the operation next spring (2010). The Governor of Svalbard has refused to consider an application only for temporary placement of equipment, and has asked Store Norske to send an application covering the whole operation. For the operation it will no doubt be necessary to conduct an environmental impact assessment.

On Greenland I have visited a gold mine, and seen that extremely high precautions to protect the fragile arctic environment is possible - and still leaving a reasonable profit for the company.



In Norwegian:




Academics

Are Impact Craters Useful?

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I have just read a post that I would like to have written - but didn’t.

Nitish Priyadarshi at “Environment and Geology” did, and I am delighted to recommend his post, where he tells how economic deposits are associated with terrestrial impact structures.

Over to:




AcademicsTop Blogs

Plastics In Oceans Decompose, but Release Hazardous Chemicals

The good news is that plastics in Oceans decompose with surprising speed.

The bad news is that during these processes it releases toxic substances into the water.

Reporting - at the 238th National Meeting of the American Chemical Society (ACS) - a first study to look at what happens over the years to the billions of kilos of plastic waste floating in the world’s oceans, researchers came to the “surprising” discovery that plastics — reputed to be virtually indestructible — decompose with surprising speed. Scientists always believed that plastics in the oceans were unsightly, but a hazard mainly to marine animals that eat or become ensnared in plastic objects. Plastic in the ocean decomposes as it is exposed to the rain and sun and other environmental conditions.

The author described a new method to simulate the breakdown of plastic products at low temperatures, such as those found in the oceans. The process involves modeling plastic decomposition at room temperature, removing heat from the plastic and then using a liquid to extract the BPA (potentially toxic bisphenol A ) and PS oligomer. Typically, he said, Styrofoam is crushed into pieces in the ocean and finding these is no problem. But when the study team was able to degrade the plastic, it discovered that three new compounds not found in nature formed. They are styrene monomer (SM), styrene dimer (SD) and styrene trimer (ST). SM is a known carcinogen and SD and ST are suspected in causing cancer. BPA ands PS oligomer are not found naturally and, therefore, must have been created through the decomposition of the plastic, he said. Trimer yields SM and SD when it decomposes from heat, so trimer also threatens living creatures.





AcademicsTop Blogs

Short History of Baltic sea

Reading a thesis is not done in half an hour. Struggling my way through a new interesting thesis by Christin Eriksson at the Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, on the "Characterizing and Reconstructing 500 years of Climate in the Baltic Sea Basin” I got stuck during the paragraph about the geologic history of the Baltic Sea (reminding me of some of the material I read 30-40 years ago. To refresh my memory I have dived into some of the articles on Wikipedia and a few of my old books to refresh my memory.

Before the Baltic sea there was the Eemian sea, a body of water located approximately where the Baltic sea is now during the last or Eemian Stage (of the Ice Age), roughly 130,000 to 115,000.

The not-so-long history of the Baltic Sea starts, however, about 15,000 years ago with the formation of the Baltic Ice Lake, 15,000–11,600 years ago - so The Baltic Sea is one of the youngest on the Earth. During each ice-sheet advance, the Baltic area was strongly eroded. It resulted in the formation of a vast depression, occupied today by the Baltic Sea.

Large ice sheets that had been dominating the region for several thousand years were now retreating rapidly, leaving behind suppressed land and discharging large amounts of freshwater. The map shows Late Baltic Ice Lake around 10,300 years ago, with a channel near Mount Billingen through what is now central Sweden. (Map of the Early Baltic Ice Lake, about 13,000 years ago is found here).

Clays, deposited in the Baltic Ice Lake, are conspicuous by alternating light-coloured coarser-grained layers and darker finer-grained layers. The former were deposited in summers, the latter – in winters. These deposits contain small amount of organic matter.

The Baltic Ice Lake was soon replaced by the Yoldia Sea, which lasted for approximately 900 years. At this stage, a connection with the outside ocean was established near Närke and Vänern, situated just south of the retreating ice sheet. The name of the sea is adapted from the obsolete name of the bivalve, Portlandia arctica (previously known as Yoldia arctica), found around Stockholm. This bivalve requires cold saline water. In the initial phase of the Yoldia Sea saline water poured into the Baltic, before the acceleration of glacial melting.

The connection with the ocean later closed as the Yoldia Sea was replaced by the Ancylus Lake, and a freshwater system now came into being. The map shows the Ancylus Lake around 8,700 years ago. The relic of Scandinavian Glacier in white. The river Svea älv formed an outlet to the Atlantic Sea. Salt water did not enter the lake, which became entirely fresh as the lake rose above sea level. The ancylus lake is named after the freshwater limpet Ancylus fluviatilis.

Deeper parts of the Yoldia Sea and Ancylus Sea were areas of fine-grained clay deposition with infrequent faunal fragments.

Towards the end of its history the level of the Ancylus Lake was falling following the formation of a new outlet at the Great Belt. The Ancylus Lake reached the level of the sea ca. 8500 years ago, marking the beginning of the Mastogloia Sea. Many researchers have been unwilling to recognize the Mastogloia Sea as a separate stage in the development of the Baltic Sea, favouring including it in either the Ancylus Lake stage or the Littorina Sea stage. The transitional Mastogloia Sea was so named because it was inhabited by characteristic diatoms of the genus Mastogloia.

The Littorina Sea (also Litorina Sea) later followed, when a connection with the outside ocean was reopened approximately 8500 years ago, due to the great sea level rise resulting from melting ice sheets. The wide and deep straits in the south (the so-called “Dana Elv” which as one of Europe’s water-richest rivers flew through the deep channel of the Great Belt) allowed for extensive water exchange with the North Atlantic, and the salinity of the Littorina Sea was higher than the Baltic Sea as we know it today. It existed around 7500–4000 years ago and followed the Mastogloia Sea. The Littorina Sea was a period of transgression and maximum salinity during the warmer Atlantic period of European climatology. At the optimum, approximately 4500 years ago, the sea contained twice the volume of water and covered 26.5% more surface area than it does today. The map shows the Littorina Sea around 7000 years ago.

Silt deposits, accumulated at that time in deeper waters, contain abundant fragments of marine microfauna and microflora. Shallow water sand deposits are abound in marine bivalves of Cardium sp. and Macoma balthica.


The transgression phase of the Littorina Sea continued for approximately 3000 years in its southern parts, caused by a rapid sea level change that dominated the isostatic uplift (following the Ice Age). When the sea level rise ended, the land uplift in Sweden and areas north of Lithuania caused regression of the Baltic Sea, resulting in shallower sills and thereby reduced Atlantic inflows. Even today, the land is still recovering from the last glaciation, and isostatic maps indicate that Sweden is experiencing isostatic uplift in the north and isostatic depression in the south.

Now if you want to know more about the latest 500 years of the Baltic Sea you may read the interesting thesis (I still haven’t got to the end of it!).


In Swedish:




AcademicsTop Blogs

Spitsbergen Pollution

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Pollution knows no frontiers and has also reached the (former pristine) Arctic. Pollution, global warming and acidification of the ocean is threatening the vulnerable environment of the Kongsfjorden in Svalbard. Kongsfjorden on the west coast of Spitsbergen is a perfect laborarory for watching how pollution and climate change affects fauna and flora.

First a few words about Kongsfjorden (I have been told that this fjord was originally named Kings Bay, later translated into Norwegian). Kongsfjorden leads to Ny-Ålesund, one of the four permanent settlements on the island of Spitsbergen in the Svalbard archipelago. Ny-Ålesund is one of the world's northernmost settlements at 78°55′N 11°56′E, and is the world's northernmost functional public settlement. At the bottom of the fjord you see three spectacular mountain peaks, known as “Tre Kronor” which means three crowns. They were named by a Swedish expedition after the three Royal Crowns in the Swedish coat of arms. The peaks are individually called Svea, Nora and Dana (symbolising the royal crowns or kingdoms of respectively Sweden, Norway and Denmark).



Kongsfjorden is situated far from any pollution source and where Atlantic waters via the West Spitsbergen Current meet the Arctic waters. A project called the Alkekonge Project has been set up to study the impact of climate warming on Arctic zooplankton communities, Little Auks (Alle alle) and their physical environment. The goal is to obtain data on water circulation, heat and salt transport by the West Spitsbergen Current, fjords hydrology and fjords - deep sea exchanges, optical parameters concerning the phyto- and zooplankton living conditions, plankton communities and local Little Auk population parameters, breeding and feeding ecology and behaviour. Little auks breeding in Spitsbergen, feed mainly on the large copepod Calanus glacialis, so tend to restrict their foraging activity to Arctic Water and avoid Atlantic Water, which contains mainly smaller copepod, Calanus finmarchicus. Parallel to the changes in zooplankton community structure a change in vital population dynamical rates of Little Auks is expected. In the areas where the Little Auks can reliably forage, the reproductive output, corrected for predation, should be higher than in colonies where Little Auks have to either fly far or utilize scattered patches of large zooplankton. Clear, natural system environment-zooplankton-seabirds seems to be a perfect tool for envisaging into future climate changes.

Alkekonge means in fact Little Aulk. As the bird is on the top of the food chain it is an excellent indicator of what happens further down the chain. Sign of a changing situation is also that until 2002 the fjord was filled with cold water and ice. In 2006, however, warm atlantic water flew into the fjord. Since then we have seen three consecutive practically ice free winters in the fjord, while the ice used to be a metre thick in the winter months.

Flotsam is another indicator. This year saw a new record in flotsam (delivered by the Gulf Stream) on the Svalbard coasts. You may not be able to read Norwegian, but the view alone of the image on top of this (Norwegian) page should be enough to tell you that the situation is grave.

Well, as you know temperatures change. 5000- 8000 years ago the water temperature here was 2°C warmer than until 2005, so a comparison with past climates is also possible. In another project sediments from the bottom of the Kongsfjorden is being sampled and studied.


In Norwegian:




AcademicsTop Blogs

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