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North Sea Tsunami of 5 June 1858

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A thorough study of old reports, newspapers, and other sources provided useful hints that a tsunami occurred in the North Sea Basin on 5 June 1858, with run-up values of up to 6 m along the west coast of Denmark. In a study published in the Journal of Coastal Research the German geographers Jürgen Newig and Dieter Kelletat from the university of Kiel, Germany, concludes that this tsunami was triggered by an underwater landslide in the Atlantic Ocean.

The Danish Meteorological institute (DMI) has recently released a report that suggested that the risk of a tsunami off Danish coasts was very low. DMI predicted that a tsunami was likely to occur once every 1,000 years and that it would most likely be catalysed by a seabed shift in an area north of Scotland.

Actually there is a comprehensive tsunami warning system being put in place throughout Europe. In Denmark, DMI has been assigned the responsibility of being the tsunami watchdog and will convey any dangers of tsunamis the same way they do major storm systems, utilising the media, police and other emergency crews. The tsunami warning system is scheduled to be ready and fully implemented sometime 2013.

While a storm in the North Sea can be predicted days ahead of time, with a tsunami there is only about a five to six hour window before the water masses hit the Danish coast.



In Danish:


In German:




Academics

Indonesian Tsunami

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At 21:42 p.m. local time on October 25, 2010, a 7.7 magnitude earthquake occurred off the coast of Indonesia. The quake struck 20.6 km below the floor of the ocean, spawning a 3 m high tsunami on Pagai Island. News reports have told of more than 300 casualties with around 400 people still missing at the time of writing. Hundreds of wooden and bamboo homes were washed away on the island of Pagai, with water flooding crops and roads up to 600 m inland. In Muntei Baru, a village on Silabu island, 80 percent of the houses were badly damaged.



The earthquake occurred as a result of thrust faulting on or near the subduction interface plate boundary between the Australia and Sunda plates. At the location of this earthquake, the Australia Plate move north-northeast with respect to the Sunda plate at a velocity of approximately 57-69 mm/yr. On the basis of the currently available fault mechanism information (see “beach ball”) and earthquake depth it is likely that this earthquake occurred along the plate interface. The subduction zone adjacent to the region of this event last slipped during the Mw 8.5 and 7.9 earthquakes of September 2007, and the new event appears to have occurred near the rupture zones of those earthquakes. Today's earthquake is the latest in a sequence of large ruptures along the Sunda megathrust, including a M 9.1 earthquake that ruptured to within 800 km north of this earthquake in 2004; a M 8.6 700 km to the north between Nias and Simeulue in 2005; and a M 7.5 300 km to the north near Padang in 2009. The new earthquake occurred near the southern edge of a Mw 8.7-8.9 rupture in 1797 and within the rupture area of a Mw 8.9-9.1 earthquake in 1833.

This NASA image above shows the region where the earthquake and numerous aftershocks occurred on October 25 and 26, 2010. Bathymetry appears in shades of blue, and topography appears in shades of brown. Thin black lines delineate coastlines, and a thick black line marks the fault line in this region. The epicenter of the 7.7-magnitude earthquake appears as a red star. Aftershocks appear as red circles, with bigger circles indicating stronger aftershocks.

On my diagram below the area of the recent larger earthquakes is (approximately) shown in blue.



Further information at Dave’s Landslide Blog: http://daveslandslideblog.blogspot.com/2010/10/mantawai-islands-tsunami-and-eruption.html
If you read Italian Aldo Piombino has written a good account here: http://aldopiombino.blogspot.com/2010/10/il-terremoto-e-lo-tsunami-del-25.html



In Danish:
http://ing.dk/artikel/113327-indonesiens-ulykke-skyldes-efterskaelv-fra-kaempe-tsunami-i-2004



Academics

Storegga Tsunami Flooded Doggerland

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Dogger Bank is a name I remember from when I was a teenager. It was regularly mentioned in a weather forecast especially for the fishers, broadcasted just before the morning news. Yes, on the radio, we had no TV when I was a teenager, which was back in the 1950's.

Dogger Bank is a large sandbank in a shallow area of the North Sea. It extends over approximately 17,600 km2. The water depth ranges from 15–36 m, about 20 m shallower than the surrounding sea. It is a productive fishing bank. The location of the Dogger Bank is marked with a red line in the following satellite image.

10,000 years ago, which means just after the latest glacial, or in other words the Early Holocene, the Dogger Bank was a range of hills in a land area covering a large part of what is now the southern North Sea. You could walk from Denmark or Germany to England – well you would have to cross a few rivers, of course, as there were no bridges – and archaeologists have documented that the land was populated. The archaeologists have named it “Doggerland”. I don't know how appropriate the name Doggerland is considering that “dogge” is an old Dutch word for fishing boat (better related to the fishing bank!). The following map shows the hypothetical extent of Doggerland about 10,000 years ago.

As sea levels rose after the end of the last glacial, and the level of the land sank due to isostatic adjustment after the Scandinavian ice cap had melted, Doggerland became submerged beneath the North Sea, cutting off what was previously the British peninsula from the European mainland around 8500 years ago. The Dogger Bank, which had been an upland area of Doggerland, is believed to have remained as an island until at least 7000 years ago.

I would like to highlight two events with special impacts on Doggerland.

First the drainage of the large North American glacial lake, Lake Agassiz. The catastrophic meltwater release from Lake Agassiz may have caused an abrupt 0.25–0.5m sea-level jump around 8300 years ago, and triggered the so-called ‘8200 calBP’ cold event around the Atlantic. This would have inundated a large part of Doggerland and furthermore it may have become unusually cold and windy on the remaining coasts of Doggerland.

Secondly the Storegga Slide Tsunami about 200 years later or around 8000 years ago, which would have had a catastrophic impact on the ontemporary coastal Mesolithic population. Following the Storegga Slide tsunami, it appears, Britain finally became separated from the continent and, in cultural terms, the Mesolithic there goes its own way.

The submarine Storegga landslide off the Norwegian coast is now usually described as three subsequent slides. The second of these generated a tsunami that apparently involved some 2400–3200 km3 of material that spread across the North Atlantic sea floor, altogether covering an area of around 95 000 km2. Traces of this tsunami have been identified in many regions in the North Atlantic, including Scotland, England and Denmark, but it also seems to have propagated as far as to the east coast of Greenland. The slide occurred at a time when the sea level in the southern North Sea stood about 17 m higher than the present level.

As we are talking about a coastal area Doggerland was probably relatively densely populated for that time – I am talking about near 1 inhabitant per km3. Maybe some 700 to 3000 individuals were affected. This does not necessarily imply that all were killed immediately, although given the likely rapidity and scale of the event, a significant number of people would almost certainly have been caught and drowned by the rapidly rising waters, while many others would have been displaced. The consequences would not have been limited to the wave’s immediate impact, as productive coastal areas could have been devastated, shellfish beds destroyed and covered by sands, together with any fixed fishing facilities, well-attested for the Late Mesolithic period. There are signs that the tsunami probably occurred during late autumn, so that any stored foods meant to last over the winter may also have been lost, with subsequent starvation among survivors. It is conceivable, particularly in the context of continuing rising sea-levels at this time, that the final abandonment of the remaining remnants of Doggerland as a place of permanent habitation by Mesolithic populations was brought about by the Storegga tsunami. Following the Storegga Slide tsunami, it appears, Britain finally became separated from the continent and, in cultural terms, the Mesolithic there goes its own way.

The following map, extensively cropped from Weninger et al. (2008), show the estimated coastlines around 9000 years ago (blue line) and around 8000 years ago (red line).



Just two final remarks:

1. Tsunamis can be extremely dangerous, and may occur in places, where they were never expected.
2. Sea level rise can be an extremely serious problem for coastal and island populations.

I am not selling this as the truth and nothing but the truth, but it does seem to fit rather well with the available data, and that is more or less what science is about - it remains a working hypothesis.

Note:
calBP is short for calibrated years before present, where present means the year 1950 – calibration converts dates like radiocarbon or other dates to calendar years.

Main reference:
Weninger et al.
The catastrophic final flooding of Doggerland by the Storegga Slide tsunami
Documenta Praehistorica XXXV (2008)
Freely available online at
http://sprint.clivar.org/soes/staff/ejr/Rohling-papers/2008-Weninger%20et%20al%20Documenta%20Praehistorica.pdf

PS:
I intend to write something about the third Storegga Slide in a forthcoming post.



Academics

Chile Earthquake

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A magnitude 8.8 magnitude earthquake has occurred offshore Maule, Chile, Saturday 27 February 2010 at 03:34:14 AM at epicentre according to USGS. Geotripper writes that this is the sixth largest quake recorded in the world since 1900. The earthquake occurred in the subduction zone where the Nazca Plate is subducting beneath the South American Plate. The US Geological Survey said the earthquake struck 90 kilometres northeast of the city of Concepcion at a depth of 35 km.

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center in Ewa Beach, Hawaii issued a tsunami warning for regions near the epicentre, and said that sea level readings indicate a tsunami was generated. It may have been destructive along coasts near the earthquake epicenter and could also have been be a threat to more distant coasts. At Valparaiso, Chile, the height of the tsunami was 1.3 m.

It is still too early to get an overview of death toll and damage.



Location: 35.846°S, 72.719°W



More news reports and blog posts are streaming in just now, but as I said it is still too early for any real conclusions.



Academics

Great Pacific Tsunami Threat

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Research suggests that future tsunamis could reach a scale far beyond that suffered in the tsunami generated by the great 1964 Alaskan earthquake. The 1964 Alaskan earthquake – the second biggest recorded in history with a magnitude of 9.2 – triggered a series of massive waves with run up heights of as much as 12.7 metres in the Alaskan Gulf region and 52 metres in the Shoup Bay submarine slide in Valdez Arm.

(See also my post on Largest Earthquake Ever Recorded - with a magnitude of 9.5)

The study published in the journal Quaternary Science Reviews shows that the potential impact in terms of tsunami generation, could be significantly greater if both the 800-km-long 1964 segment and the 250-km-long adjacent Yakataga segment to the east were to rupture simultaneously. The data indicate that two major earthquakes have struck Alaska in the last 1,500 years, and according to the findings a bigger earthquake and a more destructive tsunami than the 1964 event are possible in the future.

The two mentioned earthquakes ca. 900 and ca. 1500 years ago simultaneously ruptured adjacent segments of the Aleutian megathrust and the Yakutat microplate, with a combined area ca. 15% greater than 1964, giving an earthquake of greater magnitude and increased tsunamitriggering potential.

Reference:
Shennan et al.
Multi-segment earthquakes and tsunami potential of the Aleutian megathrust
Quaternary Science Reviews: Volume 28, Issues 1-2, January 2009, Pages 7-13
doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.09.016

http://www.dur.ac.uk/news/newsitem/?itemno=8306
http://www.unews.utah.edu/p/?r=071709-1
http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1723347/pacific_tsunami_threat_greater_than_expected/index.html?source=r_science
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/07/090720083421.htm
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2009-07/du-ptt072009.php
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/07/tsunami/

In Danish:
http://politiken.dk/videnskab/article755056.ece
http://ing.dk/artikel/100164-forskere-har-undervurderet-tsunami-risiko-for-usa?utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=nyheder



AcademicsTop Blogs

Tsunamis and Asteroids

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Tsunamis are NEWS, asteroid impacts are NEWS. Mix the two and you get GREAT NEWS. Let them hit New York and you have everybody listening!

There may be clues - but where is the smoking gun? You guessed it? Yes, the researchers are still looking for a crater.

A group of scientists from the Harvard University led by Katherine Cagen claims that a massive tsunami wave swept over the coastal regions of New York some 2,300 years ago, and even more, that the catastrophe most likely was caused by an ancient asteroid crashing somewhere in New Jersey's continental shelf. Sceptics are not convinced, though.

What are the clues?

1. The scientists found carbon spherules (perfectly round particles that form in the extreme pressures of an impact).
2. The scientists found grains of several shocked minerals, of the sort that only are found in impact ejecta or in meteorites.
3. The scientists have taken samples of suspicious-looking sediments along the coasts of New Jersey and Long Island that might have been washed up in a tsunami (or were they left by a strong storm - it is difficult to tell).

"We're making the pretty outrageous claim that not only did a tsunami hit the New York metropolitan area 2,300 years ago, but it was caused by an asteroid impact for which we can't find a crater"


Katherine Cagen is reported to have said.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27827830/
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/11/20/asteroid-tsunami.html (with video clip)
http://news.softpedia.com/news/Ancient-Asteroid-Provoked-New-York-Tsunami-98366.shtml

Indeed, she has a good story - if she can prove it by hard evidence.

Supposed evidence for a 2300-year-old tsunami deposit from Long Island, New York, were by the way presented at the Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union in 2006. See abstract here.



The Storegga Submarine Landslide - and Tsunami

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Landslides come in many sizes. Submarine landslides can be really huge - in fact I would say unbelievable huge. The most colossal event of its kind ever discovered (as far as I know) happened 60,000 years ago. The slide occurred off the African coast when sand and mud rushed some 1,500 kilometres down a slightly sloped seafloor, with an initial burst of speed estimated at 70 km/h.

The Storegga Slide was also one of the bigger - or should I say Storegga slides, because sometimes it is seen as a series of slides. The Storegga Slides are considered to be amongst the largest known landslides. They occurred under water, at the edge of Norway's continental shelf (Storegga is Old Norse for the "Great Edge"), in the Norwegian Sea, 100 km north-west of the Møre coast. An area the size of Iceland slid into the Norwegian Sea. This collapse involved an estimated 290 km length of coastal shelf, with a total volume of 3,500 km3 of debris (Haflidason et al. (2004) estimated that the minimum volume of sediments displaced was 2400 km3 and the maximum was 3200 km3). The (largest) incident occurred around 6100 BC, that is around 8000 years ago. The mass slid around 800 kilometres into the deep sea, and its back edge is around 300 kilometres long.

Some authors associate the failure of the Storegga Slide with excess pore pressures caused by gas-hydrate dissociation due to sea-level/water-temperature change, other authors consider that the Storegga Slide may have been triggered by offshore earthquakes.

The Storegga submarine landslide occurred indeed (supposedly?) from an area rich in gas hydrates and at about the same time as a large increase in atmospheric methane concentrations recorded in a Greenland ice core. This increase has been hypothesized to reflect methane releases from the Storegga slide debris for several hundred years following the slide. Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, and methane release from the Storegga submarine landslide may have contributed to the rapid termination of the brief but intense cold event about 8200 years ago and the subsequent evolution of Holocene climate (The Holocene is a geological epoch, which began approximately 10,000 years ago). See: Methane gas release from the Storegga submarine landslide linked to early Holocene climate change: a speculative hypothesis.

The slide speed and the displaced volume were such that they produced a megatsunami. Its consequences are noticeable in Scotland and along the coasts of Iceland, Norway, the Faroe Islands and Shetland. There is evidence that the tsunami reached a height of 25 metres in Shetland. This gigantic tsunami is known as the Storegga Tsunami.

* http://www4.hydro.com/ormenlange/en/about_ormen/key_features/storegga_slide/index.html
* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Storegga_Slide
* http://www.geos.ed.ac.uk/homes/s0456225/Storegga.html
* http://www.naturalsciences.be/active/sciencenews/archive2005/tsunami
* http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071121145010.htm

“Record-breaking Height for 8000-Year-Old Tsunami in the North Atlantic” by Bondevik et al.
Eos,Vol. 84, No. 31, 5 August 2003, pp 289–300






Largest Earthquake Ever Recorded

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The greatest earthquakes occur in subduction zones, where one tectonic plate is sliding beneath another. Virtually all of the big earthquakes, the ones of magnitude eight or nine or above, happen at sea. The largest earthquake ever recorded is no exception to this rule.

The epicentre of the Great Chilean Earthquake of 22 May 1960 was about 160 km off the coast of Chile in the Peru-Chile Trench (39.5° S, 74.5° W) with a focal depth of 33 km. Two days later, on 24 May 1960, Cordón Caulle, a fissure vents system located in the Chilean Lake District, erupted, sending ash and steam as high as 6 km.

At the Peru-Chile trench the Nazca Plate is subducted beneath the South American Plate. In the area hit by the earthquake the dip of the subduction zone is about 30° and the subduction gives rise to an arc of still active volcanoes.

Buildings fell all along the Chilean coast from Conception to the southern end of Isla Chilor. The towns of Valdivia and Puerto Montt were devastated. (The earthquake is also known as the 1960 Valdivia earthquake / Gran terremoto de Valdivia).

The earthquake set off huge landslides and sent rocks and boulders tumbling down the mountain sides. The land around the city of Puerto Montt sank and coastal areas were flooded. Rivers had their courses changed and landslides created new lakes. Many of the landslides occurred in the Chilean Lake District from Lago Villarica to Lago Todos los Santos.

The earthquake set off huge tsunamis which radiated out from the epicentre, travelling at speed of up to 350 km/h, the Chilean coast was devastated by a 25 (or was it 12 ?) m high tsunami which arrived 10 to 15 minutes after the quake. Remains of houses were carried inland as much as 3 km. There was also severe damage in the Philippines, Hawaii and the japan.

Over 2000 people died and 3000 were injured. 2 million people became homeless. There were not extremely large numbers of victims, for such an earthquake, because the population was alerted on that something was going to happen by previous shakes and underground noise.

Map of some of the places mentioned and the most important volcanoes in the district. In 2005 we made our way from Puerto Montt to San Carlos de Barriloche in Argentina through the Chilean Lake District (bus, boat, bus, boat, bus) - as many tourists do. Under way I photographed the following volcanoes: Osorno (famous for its Fujiyama look), Puntiagudo ("Volcán Puntiagudo" (Spanish for "Sharp-pointed Volcano") is a stratovolcano with a prominent 2,493 m high sharp-pointed summit that results from glacial dissection and gets its name from this feature), and Tronador. See the 3 photos below.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/world/events/1960_05_22.php
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Chilean_Earthquake
http://www.gochile.cl/html/ChileValdivia/Chile-Valdivia-Terremoto.asp
http://www.geophys.washington.edu/tsunami/general/historic/chilean60.html
http://www.usgs.gov/faq/list_faq_by_category/get_answer.asp?id=154





Notes:
The volcano Puyehue is often cited as the volcano that erupted on 24 May, but actually it was the nearby fissure volcano Cordón Caulle. Although Cordón Caulle is sometimes listed as part of Puyehue volcano, it is tectonically and magmatically distinct from Puyehue. No historical eruptions are known from Puyehue, and eruptions in 1921-22 and 1960 listed in some sources actually occurred at Cordón Caulle volcano located to the Northwest.

As far as I know the epicentre of the main quake was at 39.5° S, 74.5° W - some maps however show it inland (including the USGS map). Well of course there were more than one shock, but even then?

Can earthquakes trigger volcanic eruptions? The volcanic eruption 2 days after the 1960 Chilean earthquake has been taken as evidence, but that could still be a coincidence, and the question is still debated. That volcanoes, on the other hand, can cause earthquakes, is well known.

What I wanted to stress here is the role of subduction zones for important natural hazards like earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis and landslides.



Great Lisbon Earthquake 1755

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I am back home from a week in Lisbon, where I was several times reminded of the Great Lisbon Earthquake.

On 1 November 1755 Lisbon was shaken by a violent earthquake. It occurred at 9:40 in the morning during High Mass - a mass to celebrate All Saints' Day, also known as All Hallows or Hallowmas, an important religious holiday in this strong Roman catholic country.

Geologists today estimate the Lisbon earthquake approached magnitude 9 on the Richter scale, with an epicentre in the Atlantic Ocean about 200 km west-south-west of Cape St. Vincent (See map). Estimates place the death toll between 60,000 to 100,000 people, making it one of the most destructive earthquakes in history.

More than 20 churches collapsed, and due to the candles lit for the celebration fire quickly broke out, and flames raged for five days. Gigantic fissures up to five metres wide appeared in the city centre. Survivors rushed to the open space of the docks for safety and watched as the water receded revealing the sea floor. Approximately forty minutes after the earthquake, an enormous tsunami engulfed the harbour and downtown, rushing up the Tagus river. It was followed by two more waves.

Many people at the time saw the disaster a God’s punishment - because the town was too rich, because of the inquisition (the Spanish Inquisition was established in 1478), because of idolatry or other sins? Apart from theological, philosophical (including work by Voltaire), and literary discussions, however, scientists got involved. It was the first earthquake studied scientifically for its effects over a large area, and it led to the birth of modern seismology.

I stayed at a hotel a few hundred metres from the Santa Justa Lift (also known as the Carmo Lift). The Santa Justa Lift was designed by an apprentice of Gustave Eiffel (the one with the Eiffel Tower). The iron lift is 45 metres tall and it brought me from the downtown streets to the uphill Carmo Square. From the roof of the lift construction (with a bar, where I had an espresso) there is a nice view over downtown Lisbon and the Carmo Convent. This mediaeval convent was ruined in the Earthquake, and the ruins of its Gothic church are the main trace of the great earthquake still visible in the city. The ruins were preserved to remind Lisboners of the destruction.

I went down to the docks and took the train to see one of the most impressive monuments in Lisbon, the Jeronimos Monastery. The vaulting in the church withstood the earthquake of 1755, which probably says something about the architecture. In the same district - called Belém, which is in fact Portuguese for Bethlehem, and pronounced more or less as “blem” - there is an old tower, the Torre de Belém. The tower was built in the same style as the Monastery between 1515 and 1519 in the middle of the river Tagus to defend Lisbon and the monastery. Today, however it stands on the water’s edge practically moored to the north bank, the river having altered course during (and after) the earthquake and tsunami of 1755.

From there the train moves on to the romantic fishing port - and holiday resort with yacht harbour - of Cascaias, about half an hour’s ride from Lisbon (30 kilometres west of Lisbon). A large portion of the village was destroyed during the earthquake in 1755. But today it is bustling, and I had a nice evening meal at the beach with cockles and local wine.



PS of 17 April 2008
The position of the epicentre is disputed (See comments). The source mechanism seems to require generation at a subduction zone, but where would that be?

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