Monday, October 17, 2005 12:42:43 PM
In May 1975 Scientific American wrote the following about earthquake prediction: “Recent technical advances have brought long-sought goals within reach. With adequate funding several countries, including the U.S, could achieve reliable long-term and short-term forecasts in a decade.”
Today 30 years (that is three decades) later a new report published by Nature disclosed that a long-term study in the U.S. (California) aimed at predicting earthquakes has ended in a sad failure.
News in Science: http://www.abc.net.au/science/news/stories/s1481635.htm
To a certain extent scientists can predict location and size, but the timing is obviously a great problem – leaving people in Kashmir and other quake prone regions unprepared.
Earthquake prediction is still an imprecise science.