13 September - The Climate Beat
Wednesday, September 14, 2011 4:24:09 AM
A few simple rules (essentially: no handball, no fouling, score by putting the ball in the net, no offsides) can explain enormously complicated behaviour (overhead kicks and flowing 40-pass moves). Similarly, the three simple rules of heritable traits, variation within a population, and differential reproduction can and do explain an incredibly complicated biological world. It's elegant, predictive, entirely falsifiable ("Fossil rabbits in the Precambrian!") science. It has been demonstrated beautifully in the lab, in the astonishing Lenski experiment; the evolution of microbes in the face of antibiotics is well documented and dangerous.
( Yes, well. A few simple rules of Talking Points also tend to explain media coverage too, not least of which involves conflating unrelated issues as illustrative of mental confusion...which is correct ! )

From Comments
Reality returns
A Selection of Brief Comments on Global Warming from UN-IPCC Invited Participants
Part A of four parts
It is right and in the public interest to expose the truth as told by those nominated and participating in the UN-IPCC, both skeptics and believers. As George Orwell once wrote: "In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.”
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1. Russia - Dr Yury Izrael, past UN IPCC Vice President, director of Global Climate and Ecology Institute, member of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
"There is no proven link between human activity and global warming.”
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2. Dr. Oliver W. Frauenfield (Climate Scientist), Contributing Author to the UN IPCC Working Group 1 Fourth Assessment Report, with the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences Division of Cryospheric and Polar Processes at the University of Colorado.
"Without question, much more progress is necessary regarding our current understanding of climate and our abilities to model it.”
"Only after we identify these factors and determine how they affect one another, can we begin to produce accurate models. And only then should we rely on those models to shape policy. Until that time, climate variability will remain controversial and uncertain."
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3. Dr Patrick Michaels (Climatologist and Ecologist) UN IPCC Expert Reviewer and University of Virginia professor of environmental sciences. Former Virginia State Climatologist.
“It would be nice if my colleagues would actually level with politicians about various ‘solutions' for climate change. The Kyoto Protocol, if fulfilled by every signatory, would reduce global warming by 0.07 degrees Celsius per half-century."
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4. USA - Dr. David Wojick is a UN IPCC expert reviewer, who earned his PhD in Philosophy of Science and co-founded the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie-Mellon University:
"In point of fact, the hypothesis that solar variability and not human activity is warming the oceans goes a long way to explain the puzzling idea that the Earth's surface may be warming while the atmosphere is not. The GHG (greenhouse gas) hypothesis does not do this." Wojick added: "The public is not well served by this constant drumbeat of false alarms fed by computer models manipulated by advocates."
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5. South Africa - Dr. Philip Lloyd, UN IPCC co-coordinating lead author, Nuclear Physicist and Chemical Engineer, and author of more than 150 refereed publications.
“The quantity of CO2 we produce is insignificant in terms of the natural circulation between air, water and soil. I am doing a detailed assessment of the UN IPCC reports and the Summaries for Policy Makers, identifying the way in which the Summaries have distorted the science.”
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6. Norway – Dr Tom Segalstad (Geologist & Geochemist) UN-PCC Expert Reviewer , a professor and head of the Geological Museum at the University of Oslo and formerly an expert reviewer with the UN IPCC:
"It is a search for a mythical CO2 sink to explain an immeasurable CO2 lifetime to fit a hypothetical CO2 computer model that purports to show that an impossible amount of fossil fuel burning is heating the atmosphere. It is all a fiction."
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7. Japan - Dr Kiminori Itoh (Environmental Physical Chemist) Yokohama National University UN-IPCC expert reviewer
“Man-made warming is the worst scientific scandal in history.”
“When people come to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.”
You may have seen the list of Talking Points up at Grist. That has nothing on this.
Climate Change : The Next Generation
None of which tackles the innate absurdity of 'scientific' predictions of the future.













